Labor Leadership

The joke when Peter Costello was trying in vain to cobble together a viable leadership push was that he had enough supporters to fill a Tarago van. Kevin Rudd probably has around the same level of support – Kev’s van might also be fitted with a trailer to carry a few extra bods up the back – but it in numerical terms it is far from being an unstoppable juggernaut which will steamroll Julia Gillard out of the top job.

My name's Kevin, I'm from Queensland…Photo: Courier Mail

It’s the numbers that matter in politics. In the absence of good numbers, aspiring leaders fall back on psychology. History suggests it offers no sure path to the leadership. Quite the opposite.

Peter Costello was a bit like the dorky guy at the school disco who hung around in the corner hoping a girl would ask him to dance.

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  • stephen says:

    11:00pm | 07/02/12

    Yeah, Kev and Hillary are very close, aren’t they ? And I nearly made a smart-alec comment about them from the other page on breast-feeding ... but I couldn’t decide whose name to put down first. Read more »

  • Northern Steve says:

    09:14pm | 07/02/12

    Faz, difference between the way Abbott and Gillard got their jobs was that Turnbull called for a spill and the whole parliamentary party had an open debate, and then an open election.  Rudd was forced from the job by factional players in the caucus, with no open debate, no vote,… Read more »

 

Julia Gillard will need to do more to win over the MPs who have deserted her than the offer of a sizzled sausage and a weekend whiteboard session. The love may have come too late.

He's always bloody hiding in the wings. Cartoon: Peter Nicholson

With Parliament due to resume in less than two weeks, the fragility of the PM’s leadership will be the issue she most has to deal with. And for her, there can be no moving forward from the horrors of last year, until she gets the monkey off her back.

For that reason, Labor MPs are left with little doubt that the so called special caucus “planning day” scheduled for the Sunday before Parliament resumes, is all about Kevin Rudd.

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  • Tom says:

    08:56am | 27/01/12

    Bertrand, “forward looking, socially progressive”. By whose criteria do we decide what is “forward looking” and “socially progressive”? Sorry, Bertrand, they are just w$^*er words. Read more »

  • Tom says:

    08:33am | 27/01/12

    Yadda yadda, your Balmain boof-head thing ain’t working, “mate”. Read more »

 

BY all accounts it was an extraordinary sight. Kevin Rudd was in flying form. As were his guests. Last Saturday night, while dining at Noosa’s trendy eatery, Bistro C, adoring patrons mobbed the foreign minister’s table.

He's mobbed where ever he goes…

They flattered and fawned over the local celebrity, who was born nearby in the hinterland of Queensland’s Sunshine Coast. An obliging Rudd did his best to accommodate them, leaving his guests at the table to stand arm in arm for group shots with his fans. He was in his element.

But that wasn’t the most extraordinary of things. Few people noticed the other man sitting at the table with him. And why would they. The former Attorney General Robert McClelland, dumped only last month in Julia Gillard’s frontbench reshuffle, is hardly a household name in Queensland or a face that many would necessarily recognise. But there he was, the political cuckold, dining with Rudd and several members of their families, as if they were long time friends.

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  • Skittlesz says:

    03:06pm | 08/02/12

    Mercurius@101I stluae your comment for its sheer elegance, pertinence and economy of language. Read more »

  • Tim Cahalan says:

    05:10pm | 18/01/12

    i agree with acotrel. Rudd is yesterdays man and Labor mp’s are smart enough to know that a second challenge could finish the party at the next election. Read more »

 

By her own definition, Julia Gillard is the leader of a government which has lost its way. This was the rationale she famously used to justify the removal of Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister last year. Sixteen months on and Julia Gillard yesterday found herself in the invidious position of having to convene a meeting of the Federal Cabinet where she looked each of her ministers in the eye and declared she would not tolerate any more leaks from within their ranks.

House of cards: Warren's take on it all in The Tele.

There can be no greater demonstration of government dysfunction than a breach of Cabinet solidarity as seen last week over border protection. The ability to debate policy vigorously in secret is central to the effective running of government. Julia Gillard has lost this privilege. It is something which never happened to her predecessor, Kevin Rudd, albeit possibly because he was such a control freak that he never told his colleagues what he was up to anyway.

Gillard is also in more strife than Rudd ever was on border protection. Rudd might have flip-flopped on asylum seekers but Gillard has performed a 12-month tumbling routine with the result being that hardly anybody supports or, worse, understands her policy.

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  • mikeywood says:

    04:03am | 20/10/11

    then australia should not expect a free ride as it always has. little spent on defence yet we expect the US to assist if we need them….poor form Read more »

  • Dissident says:

    09:49pm | 19/10/11

    Persephone, just because you don’t understand something, does not mean it is silly and unrealistic. You don’t work in finance, do you? Debt rollover happens all the time. Consider 90 day treasury bonds. When these bonds mature, Treasury just issues more and pays out the previous bondholders. That is called… Read more »

 

Much has been made of the tasteless descriptions of Prime Minister Julia Gillard on placards at anti-carbon tax rallies. Tasteless they are. They are also not really a world away from the descriptions used by our former prime minister Kevin Rudd to convey his toxic disregard for his successor.

Then I'll grab Shorten by the neck and throttle him…Photo: Ray Strange

Since losing the job in a swift and brutal coup just over 12 months ago, Rudd has been less than circumspect in his contempt for Gillard, at times in very public settings where he has gone out of his way to run her down to anyone who will listen.

When Julia Gillard seized the leadership last year, despite the role of the factional heavies, she took personal ownership of the decision to move against Rudd, memorably declaring that his was “a government which had lost its way”. Maybe it had, but in relative terms, it’s hard to see where that assessment leaves her government. A government which has lost its way, both its paddles, and has capsized its barbed-wire canoe in the deepest recesses of shit creek.

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  • Rick says:

    05:43pm | 30/09/11

    Kevin Rudd is unstable and a halfpenny short of a shilling ... in a serious national crisis he’d go to pieces. Read more »

  • jf says:

    09:05pm | 14/09/11

    Dodge says: 11:17am | 14/09/11 “I can feel your border-line retarded anger welling up champ” “Champ”? Seano, you’re back. Read more »

 

There is a certain evil logic behind Tony Abbott’s offer to work side-by-side with Julia Gillard to fix the asylum seeker issue. Due to the vagaries of minority government plenty of other members of this shambolic parliament have had a go at playing prime minister, so it’s only fair that Abbott joins the Windsors and the Bandts, the Oakeshotts and the Wilkies, in determining government policy.

Bleak prospects…Bill Leak in The Australian yesterday.

Abbott’s offer to work with Gillard is excellent politics in its cheapest form. By extending an invitation to Gillard to support the amendment of the Migration Act to allow offshore processing, Abbott looks like the very model of civilised bipartisanship. In reality it’s a political ploy aimed at drawing even greater attention to the fact that the Gillard Government has failed, again, on border protection.

None of the options Julia Gillard has at her disposal to resolve the asylum seeker problem are politically palatable. Nor are they politically sellable, not in a climate where, according to Newspoll, just 12 per cent of Australians say that Labor is doing a good job on border protection, and are twice as likely to support the Coalition as the party which could best deal with the issue.

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  • RyaN says:

    11:57am | 09/09/11

    @TomZ: I admit it, I was tolled, I am so ashamed! Read more »

  • TomZ says:

    07:13pm | 08/09/11

    John Neve, “that stench of arrogant condescension was familiar. I’d know it anywhere.ā€ You keep changing your name Seano. Why? Read more »

 

There are two ways to deal with dumped political leaders. They can either be accommodated or destroyed. The fatal mistake the Labor Party made when it knifed Kevin Rudd last year was that it tried to do both.

I'd like to thank you all for coming. Bill Leak in The Australian.

Since Rudd’s removal the party’s public position is that there is a valuable role for Kevin to play at senior levels of government, that he is a team player, an asset in foreign affairs, someone who adds depth to the Cabinet and continues to enjoy deserved popularity with the voters.

The party’s private position is that Rudd is a high-maintenance sook, was a bully and a control freak as leader, that he is now using foreign affairs to gallivant about big-noting himself, that he is running Julia Gillard down to whoever will listen, and that it would have been best for everyone if he’d bowed out gracefully ahead of last year’s federal election.

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  • Seano says:

    03:53pm | 22/06/11

    Whatever spin you want to put on it. The problems were caused by business people who put profit ahead of their duty of care to their workers and clients. You cannot possibly legislate against greed. Read more »

  • Ben C says:

    02:49pm | 22/06/11

    @ DMZ John Howard went to an election promising to bring in the GST - as a result, the majority of the primary vote went to Labor. Unfortunately for Labor, the swings were in the wrong seats, which meant that they didn’t win government. So yes, you DID get a… Read more »

 

This time last year Labor’s factional bosses were loading the bullets into the chamber so that Julia Gillard could pull the trigger on Kevin Rudd’s prime ministership. No-one saw it coming - even on the night of the coup the most senior members of the government were dismissing the reports as a beat-up – and few predicted the chaos which would ensue.

A year from hell. Photo: Kym Smith

Caucus was so quick to fall into line that Kevin Rudd ducked a leadership ballot after confidantes advised he would receive a humiliating handful of votes. The party believed that Julia was its saviour and two months later it failed to win a majority, with Ms Gillard having taken the government from its unassailable 2007 landslide position to a shambolic day-to-day operation, reliant on the vagaries of rural independents and inner-city Greens.

The polls now all point to a comfortable Coalition win at the next election.

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  • RyaN says:

    03:19pm | 21/06/11

    @Environmental protectionist: “Everyone who acknowledges the damage we have done to our environment should not use electricity and should walk home.” well lets say if you had not attempted to word it that way and in stead said something like “Everyone who believes in anthropogenic global warming and wants to… Read more »

  • Environmental protectionist says:

    12:07pm | 21/06/11

    ryan You’re a scientist and I’m an astronaut currently on my way to Mars on behalf of Gina Rinehart and Clive Palmer. Perhaps you missed this. I notice you didn’t respond to it. Everyone who acknowledges the damage we have done to our environment should not use electricity and should… Read more »

 

There was much laughter and teasing from the Labor side about the decision of the Queensland Liberal National Party to install a leader who wasn’t even in the Parliament. Federal Labor has its own leader in exile, except he’s inside the Caucus.

In happier times, etcetera. Photo: Ray Strange

His name is Kevin, he’s from Queensland, and he’s here to do anything other than help Julia Gillard as she grapples with the horrors of minority government and seeks a difficult second term.

Julia Gillard has her work cut out for her. She’s up against not one but two alternative prime ministers, Tony Abbott and Kevin Rudd. Tony Abbott is currently unassailable. Kevin Rudd is simply uncontrollable.

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  • Emily says:

    09:45pm | 11/04/11

    Why some people still has such rosy memory of Rudd the Dudd?  He was there when all these failed Labor policies were delivered: $900 bribe to everyone; pink batts; BER; refugee; NBN; carbon tax etc etc.  He is just as useless and brainless as Gillard the Harlot and Swan the… Read more »

  • Peter says:

    07:06pm | 11/04/11

    Juliar has no intent of sacking Rudd, nor indeed is worried about a by-election. Her greatest fear is Rudd turning Independant, no by-election just a rampant Rudd on the loose, and he may even choose to back a different minority Government. Read more »

 

One of the more unusual comments of this election campaign was made by Julia Gillard on The 7.30 Report this week when the Prime Minister batted away questions about the personal repercussions of defeat on Saturday.

Fight of her life. Photo: Alan Porritt, Getty Images.

“Oh, this isn’t about me Kerry,” Gillard said. It was a funny remark, and an engagingly selfless one, as it’s hard to envisage anything more personal than serving yourself up to the judgment of the nation in a general election.

Most people who enter politics do not exit politics on their own terms. You can only begin to imagine what the sense of rejection must be like for past leaders, or even no-name backbenchers who have to grapple with the fact that the loss of their seat is effectively a signal from the community that they just don’t like them enough to make them their representative.

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  • MarK says:

    02:07pm | 19/08/10

    Don’t drink at all. Not sorrow either. More like bemused wonderment of the power of the spin. Read more »

  • heather says:

    01:59pm | 19/08/10

    well i’m an environmental scientist with four degrees and i think peak oil is cr*p too. never underesimate human ingenuity, for goodness sake, in the 1700s or so, there was peak WOOD!  not to mention other doom and gloom scenarios, anyone remember that all computers were going to die at… Read more »

 

When Julia Gillard successfully challenged Kevin Rudd for the Labor leadership, she brought the noble profession of politics in this country into disrepute. Prior to Gillard’s ascension to the office of PM, politics was a gentlemanly undertaking carried out with a spirit of fair-play. On 24 June 2010, the Gillard coup against Kevin ‘The People’s Prime Minister’ Rudd destroyed this tradition, and sullied the good name of the office of PM. 
Who's more brutal? Photo: Ray Strange

That, at any rate, has been a core theme running throughout this election campaign.

In his closing remarks at the leaders debate, for example, Abbott claimed that ‘decisions will be made by Cabinet, not powerbrokers’, implying that Gillard was somehow beholden to shadowy background figures and that he himself is just a free agent. Similarly, Abbott has tried to run the line that the sight of Kevin Rudd on the campaign trail will remind voters of Labor’s ‘political thuggery’.

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  • Peter says:

    04:10pm | 17/08/10

    Im tired of hearing the statement about ‘the party room elects leaders, not the people”. Not true at all.  It may very well be that party room mechanisisms allow for such things to occur, however the people voted in K Rudd and the people should have been allowed to vote… Read more »

  • fehowarth says:

    10:22am | 17/08/10

    Where is the disunity?  I have not heard any government members speak out against Ms. Gillard.  Mr Rudd appears to be working hard for Ms. Gillard election.  On the other hand, why do you think that Mr. Turnbull changed his mind about running?  You certainly do not believe he will… Read more »

 

Paul Keating reckoned you got a certain legitimacy by ``taking’’ the leadership from your opponent in an open contest rather than through having it handed to you.

Still, she's gone better than the guy on her right did. Photo: Gary Ramage

Certainly in his case, voters had plenty of time to get used to the change when he finally knocked off Bob Hawke after a long-running and acrimonious campaign of destabilisation.

The high profile Treasurer had even carried himself off to the backbench for a spell before launching a successful second challenge. Traumatic as it was, the evisceration of Bob Hawke’s leadership was a bloody and drawn out affair but it was comparatively transparent.

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  • Helen says:

    03:07pm | 09/08/10

    “His ``beds not bureaucracy’’ line for hospitals is a straight out winner” Yes, pity the gullible public will vote on the basis of that and then days after the election, “oh, sorry, we didn’t know there aren’t enough nurses available to open more beds.” But it’s the thought that counts,… Read more »

  • Evan Findlay says:

    11:28am | 09/08/10

    Against The Man, Your lack of intellect and judgement is clearly on display with your comments. On any given Sunday 92% of Australians are not in church. It is you who needs to further their horizons. Why is it that the church, who represents a tiny fraction of our society,… Read more »

 

Kevin Rudd last night gave his his first real interview since being knifed as Prime Minister while still recovering from the knife of the surgeon. Both wounds are evidently still very painful. 

Please ingore the large sickly ex-Prime Ministerial elephant in the room.

A very frail sounding Rudd spoke to a very sympathetic Phillip Adams and confirmed that he would campaign for Julia Gillard and attend the Labor Party launch, but on a couple of conditions:

I will be there but on the condition that I don’t have a major relapse before then and secondly, that I’m not a distraction from what I think is a pretty serious debate about what sort of future we want for our country and I don’t think it’s a debate which we can allow - with only two and half weeks to go before D Day, that we can’t allow to be trivialised.

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  • farmer says:

    12:56pm | 11/08/10

    @ all replies: PLEASE spell these names correctly! It only lessens the quality of your comments. It is the LABOR party; Nick MINCHEN; and watch Tony Burke sharpening his ice-pick, Wayne-ho only thinks he is next in line. By the time Tony Burke has finished, Kevin won’t be the only… Read more »

  • dwgw says:

    10:57pm | 06/08/10

    I think the leak was Swan. He’s got the most to gain. If Joolia fails and Krudds on the nose as well, he’s next in line. And very ambitious as well. Read more »

 

Here’s what I would’ve done if I were Kevin Rudd’s daughter, Jessica, and I was watching my dad’s anguished final press conference as PM on June 24.

Jessica Rudd, right, at her Dad's last presser as PM. Photo: Kym Smith

I would’ve broken ranks and yelled, “He f—-ing got asked to step down all of you f—-ing idiots. I’m Rudd’s f—-ing daughter and he did not f—-ing resign. Gillard is a selfish piece of shift [sic], who cares about herself and not the f—-ing Labor Party. Have fun with the country, I hope to never vote for this god foresaken party every again [sic]. F—- all of you.”

Oh no, wait, that’s what I would’ve yelled if I were Sarah Henderson, daughter of Fritz Henderson, the former CEO of General Motors. Which, of course, is precisely what she did yell (with the obvious noun substitutions), on the GM Facebook page just days after her father was f—-ing asked to step down and replaced by one of the company’s board members late last year. 

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  • Hardy28Madelyn says:

    08:27pm | 19/08/10

    I had a dream to make my commerce, but I didn’t earn enough amount of money to do this. Thank God my fellow told to take the mortgage loans. Therefore I used the small business loan and realized my dream. Read more »

  • Rod Blaine says:

    09:31am | 12/08/10

    Why? Because I’m confident that Ms Carlton would apply the same rigorous yardstick to Bob Hawke’s views on drug addiction, to Al Gore’s views on drink driving, and to Ted Kennedy’s views on the rights of women - that a politician’s strict standards are demonstrably wrong if her or his… Read more »

 

Kevin Rudd might be flat out carrying on like one of those sacked Japs who keeps showing up for work - UN secretary-general Ban Ki-Moon had a meeting in New York yesterday with Mr Rudd in his capacity as, erm, a backbencher. But there’s now a strong view in Labor circles after Laurie Oakes’ bombshell question to Julia Gillard at the Press Club yesterday that the former PM has in fact been a very busy little bee.

I'm not sure who he is but he seems nice enough, Ban Ki-Moon said yesterday. Photo: Michael Jones

Leo Shanahan has had a close look below at Oakes’ question in a piece he filed straight after Gillard’s Press Club ambush yesterday, and the 170+ readers comments are illuminating as many people clearly believe the new PM should reveal to the public exactly what transpired with the alleged leadership deal.

The most worrying result for Ms Gillard, who may be just one day away from calling an election, is that if Mr Rudd is the source of the leak to Laurie Oakes, it signals that the former PM is now well and truly off the leash and may continue to dump on his successor and her factional boosters in the lead-up to polling day. 

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  • Press says:

    12:59pm | 20/07/10

    Several tomorrows later, no more shoes have dropped. Why? Simple. There aren’t any. All that has happened is that Oakes has had to dress up a shoddy job as best he can, backing away with lots of weaselly qualifications. As I pointed out earlier, Oakes was careful to put his… Read more »

  • Belle says:

    08:44pm | 18/07/10

    Neither was the Prime Minister at the time. It does make a difference. No matter how hard Labor apologists try, this was a despicable act by desperate people. Read more »

 

Today’s National Press Club appearance by Prime Minister Julia Gillard was a pretty banal address - a lot more going forwards etc - with one exception: a question by Channel Nine’s Laurie Oakes.

I know nussssing. Gillard today. Pic: Kym Smith

Oakes put it to an uncomfortable looking Gillard that on the night of the leadership challenge there was actually a deal done with Rudd on a leadership handover - one that she reneged on that same night.

“Can I ask you is it true that Mr Rudd told you that night that he was working towards an October election,’’ Mr Oakes asked.

“Is it true that Mr Rudd indicated to you that if closer to the election polling showed that he as an impediment to the re-election of the government and that if that leading Labor figures ... agreed he would voluntarily stand aside.’’

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  • Press says:

    08:30pm | 20/07/10

    Mmm. Why’d he do it? Well, a small bunch of disgruntled PM staffers had peddled the story in limited circulation already. My guess is the Big Man couldn’t stand the chance he’d get scooped, so he went with it, even though he knew it was really just corridor goss that… Read more »

  • Paul Jarman says:

    03:19am | 20/07/10

    Now it appears the doors were locked and the negotiaters were in a virtual cone of silence for nearly 3 hrs. There were discussions about possible scenarios then before Gillard left she informed Rudd she was going to challenge formally.  The fat man has tried to do a job on… Read more »

 

One of the strange laws of journalism is that on the rare occasion you take an extended holiday or head off on a plum job overseas, all hell breaks loose and you end up missing one of the biggest stories of your lifetime. One journalist colleague operates as a kind of reverse disaster indicator, having timed his past holidays to miss both September 11 and the Bali bombings, and also the deaths of Princess Diana and Steve Irwin.

Now you see him….Photo: Getty Images.

And so it was that in the middle of the unprecedented 18 hours of bloodletting which saw Kevin Rudd knifed in a Caucus revolt which installed Julia Gillard as prime minister, I was somewhere near Kruger National Park in Nelspruit, South Africa, draped with FIFA passes and getting ready to watch the valiant but doomed Socceroos take on Serbia in the final game of our 2010 World Cup campaign.

It was an odd sensation sitting in the Mbombela Stadium and following the demise of our former PM via texts, tweets and websites half a world away, weirder still returning to the hotel at 2am to learn that Sky UK was on the hotel’s TV system and had gone live to Canberra for Kevin Rudd’s excruciating final press conference as Prime Minister.

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  • dead to me says:

    07:04pm | 12/07/10

    Gillard has her own personality flaws and she can only keep up the act for so long. Look at the sloppy style in which she handled the asylum seeker issue. Never vote Labor. Read more »

  • hot tub political machine says:

    05:22pm | 12/07/10

    David, First, next time you have the good fortune to be at a world cup match - turn your mobile phone off. Thinking about politics while watching the world cup is like pouring coca-cola into a single malt whisky. Second, I broadly agree with you about the need to avoid… Read more »

 

The passing of Kevin Rudd’s prime ministership has caught many publishers off-guard and this website is among them. Last month we launched a subscriber competition offering entrants the chance to win a $1000 Tiger Airways voucher for the best description of Kevin Rudd in five words or less. In the middle of the competition we sort of lost the prime minister.

Shake shake shake, shake shake shake…

We are not alone in this predicament. Both Annabel Crabb and David Marr have just released books about that guy who used to be PM – you know, what’s his name – and satirist Jonathan Biggins is putting the finishing touches to a book about the Ruddster due out in September.

The interesting thing about our competition is that in the initial weeks the entrants reflected many of the gripes and grievances which cost Rudd his job, and as it came to a close last week, and with Julia Gillard securely installed as PM, it turned into a derisory reflection on the Rudd era.

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  • BĆ©atrice says:

    04:51pm | 06/10/11

    Great post, truly!|I love this film! http://vrudhula.lab.asu.edu/magma/index.php/Avatar_is_really_a_masterpiece_&_the_breakthrough_in_cinema Read more »

  • Courtney says:

    05:29pm | 22/09/11

    This is your best post yet! http://www.alkalinedietchart.com/ Read more »

 

Just in case you haven’t realised, Australia has a new prime minister. Very few of us were prepared for this (least of all that bloke called Kevin who’s currently squatting in The Lodge), and it happened so suddenly, Australia still doesn’t know quite what to make of it.

To put it bluntly, by being female, Welsh, and a redhead (or a ranga, if you prefer), Julia Gillard has left us spoilt for choice. So which direction do people take in categorising her?

At this point, many people would venture into Facebook groups or Twitter, but all you’re going to find out is what a few random, vocal people are posting. Like a secret recording device, the true voice of the people is held by Google.

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  • HBG says:

    08:45pm | 14/11/11

    Have you ever seen Ronald McDonald nude? Read more »

  • Traveltrish says:

    07:28pm | 03/07/10

    It is bloody refreshing to have a woman, who is not married and has no children as our Prime Minister.  She has no built in fan club, in the form of a long suffering wife and family,  like all of her predecessors.  I think she impersonates strength, resilience and the… Read more »

 

The last letter Kevin Rudd signed as Prime Minister the night before he was rolled by Julia Gillard was a plea for compassion from the Australian people.

A plea for compassion was one of Rudd's last acts.

At just after 6 pm on Wednesday night a delegation representing a new Charter of Compassion, set to be presented in Parliament on Thursday, was led down to the Prime Minister’s office.

The group was to have Kevin Rudd sign a letter supporting the charter, an initiative of ethical foundation Ted.com, which was set to be read out at the next day’s launch.

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  • Dan says:

    05:23am | 01/07/10

    Eric, you shouldn’t talk about hatred. Considering that you a proponent of hatred. You don’t like it that some people hate Christians? Well, then stop targeting Muslims for hatred, because until you do, you don’t have a leg to stand on! Read more »

  • Dan says:

    05:15am | 01/07/10

    This from the person who shows no compassion to women, Muslims, asylum seekers, left-wingers and anyone who is not as bigoted, ignorant and extremist as you are! Read more »

 

The Australian public’s reaction to last week’s execution of their Prime Minister came in two courses. The first: “Don’t break the eggs!”  The second: “Nice omelette!”

Ruthless tactics but a pretty popular result. Photo: Getty Images

By chance, I was observing focus groups on the night Rudd was rolled and the general feeling was one of surprise, anger, even outage, “it’s our job to throw out a leader, not their’s”, a sense that something fundamentally undemocratic was occurring. 

But more remarkable than this emotional reaction, was the fact that it was so fleeting, having vented people who ready to move on and embrace our first female Prime Minister.

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  • uebernachtung guenstig in ostseebad zinnowitz buch says:

    11:22am | 02/12/10

    Revenue Low,drop forget equipment much answer strongly wine tax question cultural defendant context consumer career trial capacity institute bed buy mine example among northern disappear analysis by realise category addition east less offer than principle farmer company opportunity true broad invite pair immediately though day south steal theatre direct break… Read more »

  • Hantok says:

    06:34pm | 01/07/10

    T.Chong You are right on a technicality but not so right on the reality on how people vote, or how the parties campaign. If what you are saying is the only truth then why do the parties spend so much time and money during campaigns promoting their leaders/choice of PM… Read more »

 

The comparisons are obvious. Julia Gillard has been installed by factional powerbrokers as leader of a Labor government in a certain amount of trouble.

She’s yet to be tested by the electorate, oh, and she was born overseas. But while Kristina Keneally’s ascension to the top of the NSW ALP was met (by me included, right here on The Punch) with a cynical roll of the eyes, Australia’s first female Prime Minister is a different story.

Gillard didn’t have to front the media yesterday declaring “I’m nobody’s puppet, I’m nobody’s girl.” And that’s because, unlike Keneally, she’s not.

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  • John H says:

    05:28pm | 21/01/12

    She is most certainly NOT a puppet of the unions; she is a puppet of the anti-trade union (ideologically), and pro-corporate feudalism Right-faction who are every bit as bad as the scum that populate the throwback’s and parasite’s Liberal party. ALP is only better then the Libs because of their… Read more »

  • jon says:

    09:39am | 11/12/10

    goes to show how wrong you were after the wiki leaks..gillard is the biggest puppet ever to hold office.she stands for what ever shes told to stand for by her male masters.she just happy to be a token..look at m e look at me..lol Read more »

 

There would be greater reason to celebrate our first female Prime Minister, were it not for Labor factional warlords using a woman as a last resort.

A first, or a last resort? Picture: Getty Images.

With the streamers still settling in Labor ranks and Emilys List members around the country popping champagne corks at the anointment (not election) of our first female PM, it’s worth reflecting on a few other “historic firsts”.

What about the “first” female State Premiers?  Think Carmen Lawrence in WA, Joan Kirner in Victoria, Kristina Keneally in NSW and Anna Bligh in Qld.  All were installed, not elected, all were handed a poisoned chalice, all were used as a last resort, all were part of and inherited dysfunctional, rotten-at-the-core Labor Governments.

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  • Annie says:

    12:36am | 29/06/10

    There is much talk of Parties changing Leaders however after what happened Thursday: 1/ Were Beazley-Crean-Latham-Nelson-Turnbull all different Leaders of their respective Parties sworn in by the Governor General to represent the people of Australia?? 2/ Were any of the above afforded the Privileges of the Office including living at… Read more »

  • Hona says:

    08:03pm | 28/06/10

    History shows us that the colonisation of Australia was anything less than a moral event related to the Christian idea. History also shows us that the type of inception into Australia by the colonialists produced civil war eventually because of the lack of a Christian base. We can pretend to… Read more »

 

With the election only months away, will Julia Gillard’s elevation into leadership be enough to consolidate Labor’s electoral support and help them secure a second term?

Julia Gillard with Governor-General Quentin Bryce after being sworn in today. Pic: AP

Speaking to voters in Sydney today just over an hour after Gillard was elected Labor leader unopposed in Canberra, almost everyone knew about it and had a view on her impact on the national political landscape, though many reserved judgment on how it would affect their vote.

But broadly the people The Punch spoke to saw Gillard’s leadership a change to be excited about, and a great step forward for Australia in terms of gender equality.

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  • BobM says:

    10:45pm | 26/06/10

    SMH - Are you more likely to vote Labor with Julia Gillard as leader? Yes 42% No 58% Total votes: 137269. Goobye Julia! PS - Nice pic of the GG who just happens to be Bill Shortens mum in law. Read more »

  • Robert Smissen Rural SA says:

    06:39pm | 25/06/10

    For years feminists have been telling us gender is irrelevent (I whole heartedly agree) so all you have now is the crushing of the Fabianistic Kevvy & the Raising of Red Julia of the Loony Left, I can’t see how this is a win for Oz. Read more »

 

Julia Gillard has always been one of the best Question Time performers of this parliament. Join us here from 2pm to see if being Prime Minister has added to her despatch box skills.

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  • Brad Coward says:

    05:16pm | 24/06/10

    Already the new snake oil salesman is selling the same snake oil !  When asked questions, the new Prime Minister immediately began reciting her “I’m going to make a difference” speech from two hours earlier, almost verbatim. When the camera found the face of the assassinated former PM during Abbott’s… Read more »

 

Forgive the analogy but this is the first time I’ve covered an Australian leadership spill from South Africa while holding a vuvuzela. But if Julia Gillard succeeds in her 11th-hour leadership coup it wll be the most inspired last-minute substitution since Timmy Cahill came on in Kaiserslauten against Japan in the 2006 World Cup. Let’s watch those two goals again. Ahhhh.

There’s a consensus in politics that last-minute leadership changes reek of desperation. But this one confirms the cold reality that Labor probably cannot win under Kevin Rudd. It’s likely that the party has research which is deeper and richer than any of the published polls showing the situation is even bleaker than that - that Labor definitely cannot win under Kevin Rudd. This would explain the speed with which so many members of Caucus in key factions such as the NSW Right and Victorian Right have swung behind Gillard to form what looks like a mortal anti-Rudd bloc.

The two areas of greatest weakness for Kevin Rudd are the Julia Gillard’s two greatest strengths. They are communication and policy implementation - kind of crucial in politics, needless to say.

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  • masealake says:

    05:00pm | 24/09/10

    What democratic societies should learn lessen from Australia election 2010: 1.  What creative vision of Gillard Labor government’s nation-building agenda without support to Australian Inventors? The Australia historical hung parliament demonstrated the big gap in 70 years of inequality society between the small educated elite groups who get highest pay… Read more »

  • masealake says:

    10:50am | 10/09/10

    Will Julia Gillard’s re-elected Labor Party government fixed voters voices, pains and crying? The historical hung parliament demonstrated deep in voter’s heart a fixed must to carry on in vision and action immediately: Voters’ voices do not hear? Voters’ pains do not ease? Voters’ cries do not care? 1.  Poverty… Read more »

 

Today Kevin Rudd is set to fight for his political life, and the chances are he will lose.

Staring down certain defeat - Rudd last night. Picture: Ray Strange

How did this happen? How does a man who was the most popular Prime Minister since Bob Hawke just eight months ago, now face the humiliation of being deposed by his colleagues before the end of his first term?

Last night’s factional execution gives as much of an insight into how Kevin Rudd rose to power as it does this political disaster he now finds himself in. The problem was this: he was never really an Australian Labor Party leader in the true sense of the word.

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  • bagemandtagem says:

    08:49pm | 24/06/10

    Apparently the whole of Labor are getting behind Gillard, from what i understand most of them already have been in that line. As for Kevin07 - he’s looking at a career in selling websites and bridges… To think Howard was voted out for this bunch of incompetents. I wonder what… Read more »

  • I AM ALL I AM says:

    04:54pm | 24/06/10

    I voted in a state election when I was 18. I haven’t voted since (1987). The Australian gov is a corporation listed on the US Securities & Exchange Commission. When you are born you are registered as chattel of this company through your birth certificate.  The bc is used to… Read more »

 

Illustration by Chris Deal

1.55pm: Well, thank you so much for joining us on this live blog over the past 18 extraordinary hours. The Punch will now resume our usual daily coverage of House of Representatives Question Time here. Please join us to see how our first female Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, performs in the hot seat.

1.50pm: Greens leader Bob Brown has just described Julia Gillard as “such a high quality woman.”

1.14pm: Tony Abbott is holding a short press conference.

The Labor Party have dumped their leader but they haven’t changed their policies. They’ve changed the salesman, but they haven’t changed the product. Julia Gillard made it clear that she is committed to the same policies, the dud policies, Rudd was committed to.

1.10pm: BHP has just announced it will pull it’s RSPT attack ads, as requested by the new Prime Minister.

12.58pm: Julia Gillard is about to be sworn in at Government House in Yarralumla. Our first female PM sworn in by our first female GG.

12.38pm: And the press conference is over with a round of applause. Her performance was confident, clear and no-doubt reassuring for some members of the ALP.

12.35pm: Gillard has indicated she has to leave soon so she’s not “diabolically late” to see the Governor-General and be sworn in.

12.31pm: Gillard said she would stay in her own home instead of the Lodge until when and if she wins a general election.

12.30pm: Am glad to see the Prime Minister-elect pulled herself together very quickly after a slightly shaky start. She’s speaking clearly, with authority - Tors.

12.26pm:

Hard work matters, but for families like mine, quality government services matter, and for families like mine being treated properly in your work place matters.

12.24pm: On being the first female PM:

I didn’t set out to crack my head on any glass ceilings.

12.23pm:

This isn’t my first day in the parliamentary building, I’ve been here since 1998, and I would defy anyone to analyse my parliamentary career and find that I have done anything but made up my own mind.

12.22pm:

I believe my track record as a member of parliament bears this out ... I believe in consultation, I believe in getting the best.

12.20pm: On where how the Rudd Government had lost its way:

I believe that we have on a set of issues… not delivered the kind of stability the Australian people expect.

12.16pm: On Rudd’s future role in the Government:

Today is obviously a difficult day for Kevin, for his family.. there are plenty of time for those discussions.

12.15pm: Gillard says the election will be “in the coming months”, but in the meantime she’s asking for the Australian people for their “consideration and support.”

12.14pm: Swan says of Rudd that it’s a tough day for the former Prime Minister “but he’s worked very hard.”

12.12pm: Wayne Swan has described Julia Gillard as a “first class deputy Prime Minister, she will be a first class Prime Minister.”

12.10pm:

We should not be afraid of the future. There are some days I delight you, on some days I will disappoint you.

12.08pm:

Ultimately Kevin Rudd and I disagreed about the direction of the Government. I believed we need to do better.

12.07pm: On the mining tax Gillard said:

To reach a consensus we need to more than consult, we need to negotiate.

She also said the Government RSPT advertising campaign will be cancelled, and has called on the mining industry to do the same.

12.06pm: Gillard says she believes in man-made climate change, and thinks we need a price on carbon.

12.04pm: She’s given credit to Bob Hawke, Paul Keating, John Howard and Peter Costello for putting the economy in the position to survive the GFC, “and particularly to Kevin Rudd” for guiding us through it.

12.02pm: “Hardwork and teamwork” have been Gillard’s “compass” during her tenure as Deputy Prime Minister and Kevin Rudd’s deputy.

I love this country and I was not going to sit idly by and watch an incoming opposition cut health, cut education and slash worker’s rights.

I take my fair share of responsibility for the Rudd Government’s record.

I also acknowledge that I have not been elected by the Australian people.

12pm: Julia Gillard’s press conference has started with the words she is honoured to lead the country she loves. She too is emotional, with a shaking voice and damp eyes.

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This is the week when another round of disastrous opinion polls was meant to spark a mass uprising within the Labor Caucus, as members convinced they were facing one-term oblivion hitched their wagon to Julia Gillard.

Taking a bit of a kicking lately… by Mark Knight of the Herald Sun

Everything was in place, a bunch of unsourced comment pieces predicting a move on the PM, an early Newspoll published in Monday’s Australian. And then? Well apart from a slight narrowing in preferred PM, no real movement in the polls.

Entering the spirit of leadership speculation, Essential Research asked our own series of leadership questions. What emerges is a completely different story – the failure of Tony Abbott to convince voters he is the man to lead the Coalition to the election. Now before you all start flaming me (again) for being a Left-ist agent of the evil ALP, let’s have a look at the questions we asked.

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  • Steve Putnam says:

    10:26pm | 23/06/10

    Give it a rest! According to all the economic indicators we’re in better shape than anywhere else in the world. As a self-employed person I sympathize and empathize with your husband’s circumstances, but could you please explain what government policies have caused you so much grief. I’m sure you’ve heard… Read more »

  • Steve Putnam says:

    10:26pm | 23/06/10

    Give it a rest! According to all the economic indicators we’re in better shape than anywhere else in the world. As a self-employed person I sympathize and empathize with your husband’s circumstances, but could you please explain what government policies have caused you so much grief. I’m sure you’ve heard… Read more »

 

Inspired by season two of Masterchef, the Canberra press gallery is feverishly cooking up a storm over an apparent leadership challenge to Kevin Rudd. But while too many cooks appear to be spoiling the journalistic broth in our Nation’s Capital, there are 5 good reasons why Rudd will lead the ALP to the next Federal election.

What are the odds… Picture: AFP

It’s too close to the election

Any political strategist will tell you that it does not make political sense to change leaders so close to an election. Changing leaders this close makes the race a more even playing field, something that the government wants to avoid. The contest becomes about two new leaders trying to win familiarity with the electorate (Gillard and Abbott), rather than a contest between a known quantity (Rudd) and one that is recognised but risky (Abbott).

The major advantage of an incumbent is that voters are more comfortable with the devil they know. While Tony Abbott is well known in the electorate, he is untested as a political leader.  Rudd is a known quantity as a leader and the Australian electorate, while annoyed with him, are likely to stick with the devil they know.

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  • Laurie says:

    07:05pm | 29/06/10

    wonder if anyone looks back at these reports.  How things change change in a few short days. Gillard not a silver bullet it says.  Yet now they are trying to say she is the best thing since sliced bread. People of Australia need to remember Ms Gillard and Mr Swan… Read more »

  • Bob says:

    08:18pm | 24/06/10

    What do you say now, Ben, just 3 days later? Read more »

 

POLITICAL dropout Peter Costello is unlikely to have spent even a minute watching A-Pac’s live feed of this mundane ALP national conference. There’s every chance the footy-mad ex-treasurer is mooching around the house in his black and red tracky dacks watching Essendon tapes, his mind focussed on tomorrow’s do-or-die clash with West Coast as the Bombers try to keep their spot in the eight.

Julia Gillard with partner Tim Mathieson: will they ever be Australia's first couple

Had he tuned into proceedings from Darling Harbour, John Howard’s perpetual political bridesmaid would probably have had a bit of a knowing grin at watching Julia Gillard make her own transformation to the position he held for so long - warm-up act to a bloke who has no real intention of ever leaving the prime ministership.

Costello has spoken about the sense of tedium and frustration which accompanied his bib-and-bub act with John Howard at the annual Liberal Party conventions.

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  • The Diluvian says:

    08:23am | 04/09/11

    Well well, odd how the leadership question from June won’t go away. Nor will it. They cats out of the bag, and if axing didn’t work then, it aint going to work now - its just hammer and nails in the town square. Poor old Gillard’s going to get bulldozed… Read more »

  • david wood says:

    02:26pm | 11/08/09

    you have got to be joking…..if she ever becomes prime minister i’m packing my bags and going overseas to tassie i guess!  she can’t even tell me what social inclusion is and she has that port-folio! Read more »

 

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