Election 2012

There are only two things that terrify Tony Abbott. One is the prospect of losing the next Federal election. The other is being compared to Peter Debnam.

There's a cautionary tale in there somewhere…

If the published polls are right, then the Opposition leader’s primary fear is justified. And the second would follow as an historical corollary. Not that anyone could really believe that Australia is split down the middle, 50/50, on who to vote for if an election were to be held this weekend.

Even Labor MPs don’t believe the published polls. And they should know. Labor’s internal polling, while showing an improvement, is nowhere near as inspiring. For a start, an evenly split two party preferred vote - mysteriously derived from an election losing Labor primary vote of 36 per cent - implies a fundamental absurdity that voters are prepared to tolerate another hung parliament.

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  • Jane Goodluck says:

    06:57pm | 02/11/12

    Little choice these days? Err, no, that’s not what it shows at all - as links illustrated, there’s a long long trail of hung legislatures around Australia over the last 30 years. It may be popular right now to claim “they’re all the same” but that’s just a simplistic put-down,… Read more »

  • Frank says:

    06:28pm | 02/11/12

    @nihomin If the Liberals were part of the Government then it would be impossible for them to lose the next election because they’d already be part of the Labor/Liberals/Greens/Independents government that you seem to think we have. Read more »

 

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