The parallels between US politics and ours provide interesting lessons.

My grin is bigger than yours! Picture: Ray Strange

Just as we saw an historic swing against a one-term Labor government here in August, the US mid-term election last week saw a stunningly massive swing away from Obama’s Democrats that has the conservative Republicans gaining control of the House of Representatives.

Just a year ago both parties had immensely popular figureheads, in Rudd and Obama, who had been swept into office on a wave of symbolic rhetoric and grandiose promises. Granted, Rudd didn’t quite top Obama’s assertion that he would stop the seas rising, but he came close.

Their rapid descent from grace and popularity in such a short time frame is largely due to the belief that they’d fallen well short of their promises.  And a justifiably cynical public took the first opportunity at the ballot box to punish them.

In Australia, some of that anger was mitigated by Rudd’s political assassination.

Post-election, the main question being asked of both Obama and new Labor leader Julia Gillard is “What do they really stand for?”.

Gillard is getting plenty of advice from both the commentariat and her own party (no less than elder statesman Graham Richardson) about the desperate need to outline some sort of agenda for the direction she wants to take her government and the nation.

There is one vital lesson she can learn from the Rudd/Obama example.  It’s a simple one really: say what you mean and mean what you say.

The electorate is justifiably cynical about political double-speak and over-reaching promises of utopian government-delivered solutions.

Obama and Rudd’s eloquent yet empty words promised “hope and change”. They were designed to differentiate them from their plain-speaking longer-term opponents.  And they did.

Problem was that the hollow reality of what these new Governments actually delivered in office left many feeling cheated and doubly cynical.

Symbolism, while attractive and distracting at times, will never win out over realistic action.  Symbolic gestures should never be a substitute for solving complex issues – but they are so often the first tool of choice for Labor’s political spin masters.

Gillard is caught in a web of her own making on this issue.  The “real Julia/fake Julia” distraction of the election campaign has set the tone.  Now she seems to lapse in and out of the “robot speak” that was apparently “fake” Julia.

Her demure disinterest in foreign affairs, as evidenced in comments made during her recent trip, really diminishes her stature as a leader and feels at odds with her previously tough domestic persona.  Exactly who is the real Julia Gillard?

She needs to learn lessons from the Rudd/Obama era of symbolism-bordering-on-fakery. Drop the spin - people just aren’t going to buy it anymore.

Or perhaps more instructively, she should go one back to Howard and Bush to realise that speaking plainly, having strong core beliefs, and sticking to your convictions might not always make you loved – but it will make you a stronger, more defined national leader.

46 comments

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    • Cornucopia says:

      07:35am | 15/11/10

      Labor made the mistake of raising expectations. Bogans make the mistake of thinking that politicians can wave a magic wand and all problems will disappear and bogans will be millionaires will 3 Falcodores in the garage of their McMansion.

      The GFC came along and pretty much quashed any ambition any politician had of doing anything other than fighting the GFC. This was something that was known to be coming in 2007.

      Why Labor bothered promising so much is their own stupidity.

      They weren’t going to reduce the cost of living because that is set by the free market. They weren’t going to reduce the cost of houses because the only things that would do that (high density licing in inner city areas close to public transport) is unpopular with bogans.

      Reduce the expectations and there will be no “problems”.

    • Muzz says:

      08:06am | 15/11/10

      Cornucopia - Gillard has certainly achieved that LOL…........she has no vision and no direction, she’s about as effective as an ash tray on a motor bike. To weak to make important decisions or be brave enough to say what she really thinks, unless it has something to do with attacking the Opposition. She’s nothing but PM by name only, not by action or vision. Just “moving forward” on auto pilot.

    • Jane says:

      07:42am | 15/11/10

      Stop talking like a freaking robot! Too scared to say something not scripted. I’d rather listen to Abbott any day. Maybe she should take some lesson off Abbott how to speak and not worry too much about the flak for not being too politically correct.

    • T.Chong says:

      07:58am | 15/11/10

      Should she also follow Abbotts lead of lying during unscripted (and scripted) comments?

    • Adam Diver says:

      08:49am | 15/11/10

      @Chong - Bit late for that, in a lying contest she is all over abbott.

    • Brian says:

      08:52am | 15/11/10

      @ chong, do you meant to tell me that julia doesn’t lie? just go back on what she said before she knifed rudd in the back about suporting him 100% also about no carbon tax before the election to we gotta have a carbon tax now, be real man

    • Wayne Fehlhaber says:

      09:27am | 15/11/10

      T. Chong :  Heh heh heh ,  Where lies are concerned , Julia has no need to follow anyone at all . Her natural ability in that field kicks in automatically.

    • Alicia says:

      09:49am | 15/11/10

      Gillard and the media hang on every word that comes out of Abbotts mouth hoping he will utter a word they can get him on. Usually his bad publicity is about a few words or phrases he has used. Look at the “jetlag” garbage trotted out in the media, headlines for a week or two, bloody hell. Hardly a big deal in the scheme of things. Gillard gets out and breaks an election promise within days of becoming PM and hardly a word mentioned, it seems we’ve become sensitised to broken promises and failed policies by Gillard. She may have her words in the right place but she can’t run the country. Good on you Abbott for being “REAL”  Shame the PM isn’t.

    • yap says:

      11:12am | 15/11/10

      T Chong read on the back of a ute in country queensland if julia gillard is the answer, what the hell was the question. ha ha ha

    • The Badger says:

      12:16pm | 15/11/10

      Yap
      Qld - isn’t that where howard go his racist education?

      Who cares what some hick in a ute in Qld thinks anyway?

    • yap says:

      12:57pm | 15/11/10

      Badger supposed to be a joke mate!! you know funny ha ha, wow sorry, you socialist are so tragic

    • Ryan says:

      01:07pm | 15/11/10

      @T.Chong: she does already, how are those election promises working out mate, what about that carbon tax we weren’t going to have?

    • Moggy says:

      02:25pm | 15/11/10

      T Chong: What do you call “back flips?”  What do you call “the appalling waste of money by Gillard & Co?” What do you call “We’ll be tough of illegal immigrants?”  & the lies Gillard told over the East Timor detention centre that East Timor knew nothing about?  What do you call Labor announcing they were going to get every ceiling that had been insulated during the Rudd debacle checked. Bet you didn’t know that the inspections were only being done for the roofing that’s insulated with foil…& those of us with batts have to pay $100 to get a safety inspection done. Gillard is a politician mate & ALL politicians lie. ” I call this “Polly-speak!” So why don’t you get rid of your blinkers & face facts & those facts are that all politicians lie., & all the time!

    • The Badger says:

      02:31pm | 15/11/10

      @yap
      looks like you’re the only one laughing.

    • yap says:

      02:58pm | 15/11/10

      Badger mate dont be so serious i do have a sense of humor and i laught a lot, smiling now. over and out ha ha ha

    • Mal says:

      04:49pm | 15/11/10

      I laugh at Badger almost every day

    • Wayne L Fehlhaber says:

      08:06am | 15/11/10

      Our Prime Minister has proven to be , already , unsuitable for office.
      Internationally , she is lost , waffles on and on about troubling domestic issues , just check out the glazed look of sufferance on the faces of those leaders having to listen to it .
      Hmmm what could Julia learn from Barrack Obama ?  -  Got it !  -  Stop the lies and bullshit , the double speak , the spin and rhetoric , policy backflips and back stabbing .
      Hang on !  -  All of the above dubious abilities make up the sum total of her existence so that won’t work . The Prime Minister would look like she does nothing .  Hmmm ?

    • PaulB says:

      08:19am | 15/11/10

      What can Julia learn from Obama?  Represent the nation that elected you, not the UN mandarins who tell you what policies you will implement.

    • Reg says:

      08:27am | 15/11/10

      Yeah and Sophie is offering advise out of the goodness of her heart! Bullshit. She should choke on her utterances. And kindly stop using the word rhetoric Wayne, it does not sit well with your scribblings.

    • Wayne Fehlhaber says:

      09:23am | 15/11/10

      Reg :  Wot , can’t handle the truth Reg ?   
      Gillard’s response to question on Australian - U.S. relations ( whilst clinging to Obama’s hand )    ”  Yeah !  we’re great mates ! . “
      Wow ! the stateswoman style of our P.M. brings tears to the public eye.
      The monotonous drone is painful to the ear , the jazz jacket painful to the eye and the muted support from Labor posters to these columns is hilarious.

    • Rosie says:

      08:07am | 15/11/10

      Thanks Sophia, about time someone pointed out the facts!

      It is not only “say what you mean and mean what say” but have the guts to do something about it. “Take action please”

      Obama, Rudd/Gillard have made Howard, Bush & Blair look extremely strong great leaders that stood for what they believe in.

      All we now hear is Obama & Gillard singing each other’s praises, very hollowed indeed!

    • NicoleG says:

      08:38am | 15/11/10

      Unfortunately for us Rosie, that ain’t going to happen. Gillard promises and just can’t deliver. And it’s only going to get worse. She’s no leader and she’s certainly got no guts. She’s just a wind bag, who hasn’t got a clue.

    • T.Chong says:

      08:47am | 15/11/10

      Obama and Gillard singing each others praises? Very reminiscant of GW and his little lickspittle ( sincere apologies, sorry, ) deputy, JW Howard.

    • Grumpy says:

      09:02am | 15/11/10

      yea exactly Rosie, Bush and co stood for making themselves and their mates rich from Iraqi oil and shares in weapons manufacturing. Dragging our country into a bogus war and leaving the world’s financial sector in the biggest mess since the depression by lowering interest rates and allowing anyone with a job to finance assets they could never afford. It takes strong leadership and forethought to do these things….
      Its no wonder why the wold is so stuffed when people actually defend these people and make someone like Obama the bad guy for actually trying to help those who otherwise couldn’t help themselves.But of course this is obviously socialism at work, what evil man would try and introduce health reform. how dare he!?! The only thing Obama and Rudd are guilty of is being voted in by public who feel its better to “bomb something”,  than push policies that are blocked just because, well just because they can be..personally i think we should allow them to do their jobs without constant jeering from the sidelines and maybe our tax dollars will be better spent. call me crazy, but thats just me.

    • Rosie says:

      09:48am | 15/11/10

      Grumpy - exactly my point, “it takes strong leadership and forethought to do these things! Gillard’s case to do anything!

      As a leader who stood for what he believed in, Howard may have dragged our country into a bogus war but he gets my admiration for standing by what he believes in and taking action then allowing the public to decide!

      Hey Grumpy but I knew exactly what was coming from the likes of you once I mentioned Bush, Howard & Blair, yeah the “Iraqi oil.”  I don’t look at it that way - the way I see it, as leaders they took action and the outcome was they got rid of what I considered to be an evil man in Saddam Hussian.

      Nicole - I am now prepared to wait for as long as it takes because the longer it takes the “faceless men” to rid of Gillard, the longer it will take for the Labor Party to be given a chance to govern again.

    • The Badger says:

      12:25pm | 15/11/10

      Bit confused aren’t you Rosie?

      Pol Pot, Hitler, Mussolini were all strong leaders. Didn’t their ideology count for anything? or is it just strong leaders you are after.

      The Party of NO who can only sling bullshit and pander to peoples dark side is not an alternative government. It is an embarrassment .

      As is your belief that the murder of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis justifies the killing of one man. Good to see compassion settling over you in your twilight years.

    • Nicole says:

      03:54pm | 15/11/10

      Badger, you lose.

    • Luke says:

      08:20am | 15/11/10

      If this is the Prime Minister and her Government in their honeymoon period, can’t wait to see them when they come down to more realistic polling.

    • Carter says:

      08:45am | 15/11/10

      Unfortunately their greatest follies has been a) to promise the world and b) to not communicate what they have done.

      I’m not sure that people don’t recognise that the world won’t change overnight, but leaders need to spell out how they are going to change the world and provide regular, easy to understand progress reports.

      They are both fundamentally good governemnts if you look at them without bias (as the OECD does and has), but need to make small improvements to service delivery and huge improvements to communications to be great governments.

    • Andrew says:

      09:26am | 15/11/10

      “Symbolism, while attractive and distracting at times, will never win out over realistic action.”

      Perhaps you should take your own advice back to your party room and suggest that using “boat people”  to show Labor’s incompetence is just a symbol. “Stopping the boats” is an “attractive and distracting” slogan, however if it were actually achieved it won’t make any difference to the lives of 99% of the electorate.

    • Don says:

      09:51am | 15/11/10

      Gillard won’t be able to deliver on any promises or policies, she just isn’t a very good or competent politician.

    • Seano says:

      11:59am | 15/11/10

      “Drop the spin - people just aren’t going to buy it anymore. “

      You first sophie.

    • Ryan says:

      01:13pm | 15/11/10

      Wow that picture is a sad indictment on how pathetic our leaders in the western world.

    • DaveinPerth says:

      03:58pm | 15/11/10

      perhaps more instructively, she should go one back to Howard and Bush to realise that speaking plainly, having strong core beliefs, and sticking to your convictions might not always make you loved – but it will make you a stronger, more defined national leader.

      You’re so right Sophie.
      Howard and Bush are very well defined as lying war criminals. I think Julia should make up some rubbish about WMD’s in New Zealand and then invade. (Purely in the interests of being ‘more defined”)

    • Gregg says:

      05:28pm | 15/11/10

      If Gillard makes a fraction of the decisions and follows through with actions Obama has, Gillard may be able to claim something.
      Though Iraqs’ violent days may not end any time too soon it has been Obama that has scaled back the US presence.
      He may have failed to close Guantamano but no big deal there.
      He has had the reform of US health care bill passed.
      And he actually has supported a greater focus on Afghanistan to see an end there.
      There are many republicans who do not like what Obama has done and the biggest problem for him is that he came on the scene with the GFC exploding and no one has accepted what needs to be done there and so because impact has been huge in the US and will remain that way for some time, quite possibly getting worse, there have been many people who will have the view that he has failed.

      I never expected the GFC to be over in 12 months or two years and all the talk of saving Australia from recession is just going to be so meaningless if a couple of years down the track global economics are still not too good.
      Banks might be going gangbusters but over taxing your best money earner so as it moves offshore will be just great for the nation as who will the government attempt to tax next to pay for its grandiose NBN as more unemployed home buyers lose homes.
      Is it to be a bit like local government who never seem to be fussed about cutting back on expenditure but more interested in promoting what they think everybody needs regardless of cost that is just met by upping rates on ratepayers for no increase in services.
      That is a lesson all governments, particularly current Labor governments need to learn for as at least one Labor Minister once stated ” There’s no such thing as a free lunch “
      Homes in Australia have a value to wages ratio on average twice that of the US and the potential for impact of the GFC here is far higher.
      Amidst all this we have a PM who does have limited economic capacity along with other shortcomings, not too ably supported by her deputy the treasurer and an inability to effectively lead not just because of the factional situation within her own party but needing to rely on Greens and Independants to govern.
      If it’s crook now, just wait until the Greens control the Senate.

      Perhaps sufficient Australians will come to realise just what they have done in voting the way they did and there will be support for the opposition forcing a double dissolution though Gillard will be prepared to not just govern and go on the attack about an opposition being a destroyer.
      If they can destroy Gillard and her gang, good luck to them.

    • Against the Man says:

      06:18pm | 15/11/10

      Wake up call to so called PM JG - Singapore is buying our stock exchange and farm land, please wake up and defend Australia!

    • Mattb says:

      06:20pm | 15/11/10

      Sofie, Sofie, Sofie, come on now, didnt your mother tell you that people who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones. All we seem to hear from your side of the fence is “stop the boats”’, “stop the spending”, “repay the debt”, “reduce cost of living pressures”, “lower the taxes”. Yet, apart from the boats issue, there is still no release of policies to back up your claims that your side are the ones that can achieve these goals. Sure, you may claim you have some good ideas, but you libs just ain’t putting them out there effectively enough. Then you have the election costings debacle, on the one hand you went with the mantras of “we will stop the spending” and “we are the better economic managers”, then with the other hand you made over 30 billion dollars worth of election promises, nearly five times as much as the ALP and 11 billion of which you were caught out on as being un-funded. Doesn’t really instill a sense of trust in you in the publics eye does it.
      You can accuse the ALP of having “nothing to stand for”, but, appart from the asylum seeker issue, the Australian public is still scratching it’s head and wondering what the libs stand for too. Joe Hockeys bank bash is the prime example of this. He came out a couple of weeks ago talking rubbish about “levers” and “unfairness” and “the need for regulations to pull the banks into line” and his own party ridiculed him, his own leader laughed his suggestions off on live radio. Then when the banks raised their rates above the RBA’s rate you changed your tune and all of a sudden big Joe’s a hero. Why?, well not because his ideas followed the liberal conservative ideology, but, because the people were listening to what he had to say, and it was making the libs look good and the government look bad. Many of you still don’t agree with him, but hey, your attitude is “he’s makin us look good so let’s run with it!”. But is it really what the libs stand for???
      The point I’m trying to make here Sofie is that if you spent more time explaining how your going to achieve these goals and less time telling us “how bad the other side is” then maybe your hollow rants would be taken more seriously. The people voted back in august, and they sent a message to the ALP that they weren’t happy with them, but at the same time they sent you a message that they didn’t find your side that attractive either. And writing your political rantings down in an article for the punch ain’t gonna help your cause…..

    • lindykt says:

      08:18pm | 15/11/10

      Sophie, I do agree with your sumnation of Rudd and Obama lofty rhetoric - was nauseating to witness the MSM falling for that rubbish (and then by default the witless herd following). Now however, the loud rhetoric has swung 180 degrees the other way.  I am yet again dismayed at the MSM sucked in again (and the dumb fool herd following like they do).

      This current wave of vitriol and negativity from the right, is pernicious and damaging to democracy. Playing to lowest common denominators is cheap and easy politics, dragging us all down to the gutter.  I would dispute that JG has fallen victim to either the lofty or the gutter charge.

      Normally you are one of the worst offenders for vitriol and attack , but congratulations on at least presenting with a reasonable and balanced piece of writing.

    • Craig McDonald says:

      09:29pm | 15/11/10

      People vote for the Liberal party because they want to hear answers to the simple questions, not the important ones. During it’s entire history, Labor has stood for fairness in trade and education. The Liberal party (the Coalition really because the Libs can’t get enough votes on their own) will latch onto what ever cause is important at the time and simply take the opposite view. They are not pro active.
      Ms Mirabella is a perfect example of this in her own seat of Indi. She is aiming to reduce industry in this area for two reasons; one, because people who work in industry are traditionally Labor voters, and two, because she and her husband built their house near an industrial zone and don’t want it to encroach on their lives.

    • Chris says:

      12:04pm | 16/11/10

      Rubbish Craig. Liberals have always stood up for important issues such as the economy and national security. Labor now has formed a ‘coalition’ with the greens because it also cannot win enough seats on its own. Labor’s sole purpose in parliament is to keep the multi billion dollar union industry alive. Their inability to govern and keep a budget surplus is an utter disgrace and anyone with half a brain should be able to see this. However the only way they get reelected time and time again is because they give bigger handouts to those who do not deserve it.

    • acotrel says:

      01:32am | 16/11/10

      So Tony Abbott is now trying to pillory the ALP over its apparent lack of vision?  Yesterday on tne ABC radio, Cathy Bedford asked Ted Baillieu about his vision for the future of Victoria.  Ted made a few statements about extra police, and improved medical services, but nothing which indicated he had a ‘vision’.  If Abbott wants to go down this path, I suggest he’s on very shaky ground!  Typically his own politics have often been negative, and ad hoc.  I would have thought that ‘vision’ was about what could be the future for Australia under a particular party’s tutelage.  It might cover things such as improved quality of life, improved industrial base, decentralised population distribution, and an idea about the desirable way economic growth should occur?  The first party to express their ideals in this format will be on a winner.  If that unlikely event ever occurs, the attempts at one -upmanship should be quite amusing!  Mission and vision statements are a part of basic management practice.  I wonder if we have any politicians who can actually manage, let alone lead ?

    • Down from the River says:

      09:27am | 16/11/10

      Shouldn’t the title of the article be - ‘Gillard is a mistake’ ?

    • Adam78 says:

      10:09am | 16/11/10

      Reading this from Sophie is nothing more than a Liberal stunt. How or why would she ever look on anything a Gillard Labor Government done as positive, if she did then she would get a rap over the nuckles from her own party. Why not get someone that is mutual and NOT party loyal to comment on polital issues such as this, then we wont get such a bias opinion.
      And since she is so happy to have her say about Gillard I direct people to The Border Mail site to read what Mirrabella has been up to this last week, from having her say in the naming of a public space not in her own electorate or even in her state to then sending rubish tay payer flyers out claiming the Greens want to legalise all illicit drugs, something which has now been proven to be a lie.
      Sophie, before you go having a go at someone try looking at yourself and see if your perfect in all the areas you are having a go at them about.

    • eterio says:

      12:18pm | 16/11/10

      two Grinners that are losers in the carbon tax climate change Fiasco

    • James Carthew says:

      10:09pm | 16/11/10

      What’s with the loud empty rhetoric people? Both the Australian Rudd government and the Obama government have been screwed out of most of their opportunities by the oppositions they face in their respective senates. The LIBERAL party are the ones who killed the ETS bill from the Rudd government. The Labor party was fully behind it. I love how people like to rewrite history. Rudds only mistake was not calling out the Liberals on their BS and calling a double dissolution election. The lesson from this is when you are faced with a party of NO, call them on it and expose them for it. Rudd was too gutless trying to compromise with the Liberals, this led to the mining crisis and Gillard’s coup.

      Unlike the Rudd gov who were screwed by the opposition. It was the Democratic party in America that made Obama water down healthcare. Obama also had the Republican party hell bent on stopping any climate/health/financial legislation being passed and he then disastrously listened to financial advisers who were all hand picked WALLSTREET men from Goldman Sachs the instigators of the financial crisis in the first place. Obama’s problems are similar to Rudd’s except he turned to the wrong people to try to fix it whereas Rudd just failed to take action. Neither man should have tried to build consensus within their political structures to the extent they both did.

      John Howard didn’t deal with Labor. He crushed them under his jackboot. Labor should have returned the favor. Bush had the 9/11 fear giving him the freedom to ram through whatever he wanted.

    • Luke says:

      10:13am | 17/11/10

      Rudd was dumped because many in the ALP didnt like him, not because of poll numbers… as many people have stated, including John Howard, he probably would have won the election.

      And Barrack Obama will win the presidential election in 2012. He is in the situation he is in atm because of the U.S economy. Any president/prime minister leading a country that has unemployment around 10% is going to stuggle in an election.

      All of Julia Gillards problems are of her own making… Before she became prime minister i thought there was a lot more to her. Unfortunately it appears that this is all there is.

 

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