The Labor government is clearing the decks to position itself for the forthcoming federal election. After resolving the mining tax dispute, and adopting a position on asylum seekers, climate change is the last issue Gillard must address before the campaign. Whatever policy the Gillard government adopts must account for the scale of the climate crisis.

Current levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are already so high that if unchecked will push the climate system past significant tipping points. This worst-case scenario poses an unacceptable risk of dangerous and irreversible changes to the climate, to biodiversity, and human civilisation. These adverse climate changes will affect Australia’s food and water security, and increase the risk of regional instability.
The worst of these impacts can be avoided, but only if Australia, together with other major polluters acts now and at a scale the challenge demands.
The only way to escape the worst forecasts of climate change is to implement measures to rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions over the next decade. To meet the challenge Australia must start building large-scale renewable energy power plants now, as opposed to policy approaches that defer immediate action and tolerates half-measures and delay.
The central goal of climate policy for the years ahead should be to retire Australia’s fossil fuel generating liabilities and invest in new renewable energy assets, brought online and integrated into the electricity supply system.
Beyond Zero Emissions’ Zero Carbon Australia 2020 Stationary Energy Plan (ZCA plan) launched today, represents such an approach. It is a detailed and practical roadmap to decarbonise the Australian stationary energy sector within a decade. It is the type of analysis that the government, the academy, and the well-funded environment groups should have conducted, but it was left to a small band of dedicated engineers, scientists and technology experts to do in a voluntary capacity.
Australia’s renewable energy resources are amongst the world’s best and the most profitable to develop. They offer a strategic advantage for all Australians as we prepare to compete in the carbon-constrained global economy. The ZCA plan shows that with an investment equivalent to just 3% of GDP over ten years, Australia can build a zero-emissions energy system that will last for at least 30-40 years. The investment would deliver baseload renewable energy that can power our homes and factories, hospitals and schools all year round.
The ZCA plan recommends the proven energy technologies of wind turbines and concentrating solar thermal (CST) ‘power towers’ to reliably meet our nation’s energy demands. A 40/60 combination of these sources respectively with a small annual contribution from crop waste biomass and hydroelectricity will power Australia 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 365 days a year.
The ZCA research team found that implementing 100% renewable energy by 2020 is well within the industrial capability of Australia. The raw materials, as well as manufacturing and construction labour needed to implement the transition are small when compared with those employed everyday within Australian industry. For example, 80,000 construction jobs will be required at the peak of the ZCA plan installation, which is equivalent to only 8% of Australia’s present construction workforce. This is an easily achievable task given that new construction jobs were increasing at a rate of around 50,000 per year immediately prior to the Global Financial Crisis. What’s more, these new jobs would more than compensate for the anticipated job losses in the fossil fuel industries as they are replaced.
In economic terms, the Stationary Energy Plan does not impose a long-term cost on the economy above business-as-usual. The net costs for carbon intensive business as usual and 100% renewable energy scenarios for the period 2010-2040 are approximately equal, at around $500 billion. If anything our conservative analysis understates the economic benefits for Australia. A renewable energy powered national economy would provide additional benefit from savings gained through avoiding the increased costs of transport fuel and the increased costs of fossil fuel energy generation when a carbon price is implemented.
The adoption of the ZCA plan provides significant economic benefits and positions Australia to lead in the 21st century renewable energy economy.
It’s time for the government, business sector, and the wider community to take decisive leadership for the clean, renewable energy transition to begin. We need a commitment from all Australians to work together to overcome the existential challenge of climate change. This week, Australia’s new Prime Minister has the opportunity to lead the way.
The Zero Carbon Australia Stationary Energy Plan was researched and written by Beyond Zero Emissions and the University of Melbourne Energy Institute. It will be released publicly on 14 July in Melbourne.
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