It’s begun. The dog whistle has been discarded in favour of an all-out symphony designed to convince mainstream Australia that their darkest fears are about to become a reality.

In the past few days we have seen the Federal Opposition announce it supports a decrease in immigration and by implication has rejected the Treasury’s projections of a population of 36 million people by 2050.
For the record, I have nothing against debating population or immigration – but the catalyst for the Coalition announcing these new policies seems to be the ongoing arrival of boatloads of asylum seekers. And it is this the attempt to link two very separate issues that leaves the Coalition looking like crude political opportunists.
Polling from this week’s Essential Report shows what a diabolical political issue asylum seekers is for the Rudd Government. Even amongst its own supporters, the Rudd Government is seen as too soft on asylum seekers.
Q. Do you think the Federal Labor Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?

The images of overloading fishing boats filled with desperate souls seeking refuge from war and instability is a rich vein for any politician attempting show they are ‘tough’ on border security.
The Howard Government rewrote the textbook on exploiting national insecurity in 2001, orchestrating the ridiculous charade that forced large numbers of legitimate political refugees to endure needless hardship to score domestic political points.
This time the Coalition has a tougher challenge in running on the asylum seeker issue. First, it lacks incumbency so it does not have control of the sort of props like an Armed Forces that can create emblematic political moments.
More importantly, there is an unspoken law of politics that you can not win an election on the same issue twice. And the Coalition has had their Tampa.
This may be why the Coalition has been attempting to broaden the issue this week into the wider population debate. Again, there is fertile political ground. As I wrote in the Punch last month, the Australian people are not behind the idea that bigger is better. In fact twice as many think that a population of 36 million by 2050 is a bad thing.
And in a separate question put in this week’s Essential Report foreign ownership is emerging as one the key drivers of rising property prices in the eyes of the public.
All of which creates a challenging portfolio for new Population minister Tony Burke and a truckload of opportunity for Tony Abbott that he is totally within his rights to pursue.
So what’s my beef with the Opposition’s game plan?
The influx or otherwise of asylum seekers has no impact on our immigration rates. In fact, the hand-wringing defence of running on asylum seekers has always been that these people were ‘queue-jumping’ other potential immigrants.
The truth is that asylum seekers have always been a symbolic issue that has zero bearing on the lives of the vast majority of the populous.
In this context, the decision to jump from boat people to immigration is crude and opportunistic, linking the symbolism of border protection with more profound and serious questions about national capacity and economic growth.
These are debates that deserve to be treated with more respect and reflection not as a punchline to a politically incorrect joke. This appears to be another example of the Opposition Leader over-cooking his politics.
And given the growth agenda is being supported by the business lobby, one can only wonder how it will be received by the Coalition’s traditional support base.
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