The Punch will be covering the Kevin Rudd/Tony Abbott debate live here from 12.30pm today.
No matter what the superficial result of today’s federal debate on health reform, Kevin Rudd will emerge the winner.

After a summer made hotter by some dodgy insulation and the ongoing challenge of climate change, Rudd has rebounded in the polls since he put on the stethoscope and delivered his prognosis on the nation’s hospitals.
By fighting on health, Rudd has harnessed an issue that will just keep giving to Labor and leave the Liberals with nowhere to run, caught between endorsing the government’s position or opposing an issue with wide and deep support.
Q. Do you support or oppose the federal government’s plan to take over the responsibility for funding hospitals and health services from the State Governments

There is a shopping list of reasons that health works like a dream for Labor:
1. In every poll that asks people to rank issues of priority, health ranks top, daylight second. For the mass of the public who don’t live and breath politics, providing decent hospital care is the one thing they want the government to oversee.
2. People think Labor manages health better. Political parties have brands built up over generations, issues where people accept that they do better. Labor is generally seen as the service party – health and education. The Liberals are seen at better on national security and economic management. So in political terms, fighting on health is like playing at home.
3. It allows Rudd to fight the Labor States – the weekend results reinforce how unpopular state Labor governments will be a liability for federal Labor. Policy with the subtext ‘the states are hopeless and we are going to take them on’ plays to the gallery. Its no surprise that support for the health takeover is strongest at 64 per cent in NSW – hence those grumpy faces when Kiki is in the room.
4. It allows Rudd to lead for all – the striking point in the polling is the high level of support from Liberal voters (46 per cent) and green voters (55 per cent). Getting hospitals working is not a partisan devisive issue like asylum seekers or industrial relations – it is commonsense, centre ground policy – just where Rudd likes to sit.
5. Abbott had his chance and did nothing – Tony Abbott is paid to oppose, but his criticism will appear to be carping when he had four years as Health Minister to do something about it.
6. Big plans will take a long time to flow through – Unlike the stimulus package, these reforms will take time. The next federal election will be a vote on intent not results.
7. On paper, the plan actually makes sense – OK, I’m no policy wonk, but the idea of lining up hospital care, primary care and aged care through the one set of budgets and administrations makes sense to me. This is not some wacky Medicare Gold designed on the back of a piece of A4.
All of which leaves me wondering what Tony Abbott was doing actually challenging the PM to a debate – and also explains why the PM is happy to indulge him.
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