For almost a year now the Federal Government has been running the line the influx of boats carrying asylum seekers was due to “push factors” in their countries of origin, not “pull factors” related to its policy.

The PM has enjoyed using phrases words such as “unapologetic” in his rhetoric about boat people, even once describing people smugglers as “the vilest form of human life”. This argument, that it’s “tough but humane” strategy was working, started to look a bit frazzled with the arrival last month of the 100th SIEV since Mr Rudd became Prime Minister.
According to Laurie Oakes this morning: “Suspension of all new asylum seeker claims by people from Afghanistan and Sri Lanka is a major policy shift. If it doesn’t get the attention of people smugglers, the Government hopes their customers will hear the message.”
But it’s pretty clear the audience Mr Rudd has in mind is a bit closer to home.
Things must have been looking very bad in the ALP’s polling on boat people for the Government to take a decision that is such a massive turnaround, that has also outraged many in its own party room and traditional support base.
Yesterday, however, Kevin Rudd couldn’t even bring himself to be in the same state as the ministers sent to announce the new policy.
Michelle Grattan this morning described yesterday’s press conference by Immigration Minister Chris Evans, Foreign Minister Stephen Smith and Home Affairs Minister Brendan O’Connor as a “humiliating moment.”
The Opposition jumped on it as a “a quick election-year fix.”
It’s certainly an admission that its policy, and rhetoric, up to now have not been effective.
But it is the PM who is going to have to sell it to the electorate, not three relatively low-profile ministers. Voters on both sides of the boat people argument will be fascinated to see what sort of job he does. Regardless, the push factor-pull factor tug-of-war is unlikely to feature quite so prominently.
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