Conspiracy theorists should adjust their tin-foil hats if they think Julia Gillard was personally involved in the release of the Sweary Kevin video.
Today she is attending a function where she is able to look every centimeter a national leader, the commemoration of the WWII bombing of Darwin. This is an important occasion at which a Prime Minister can look like a Prime Minister and not an MP down in the ruck of scrapping politicians.
No way would she have wanted the moment ruined by nasty internal Labor Party head kicking.
However, the video release did just that.
The video itself was extraordinarily unremarkable, except for those who think Prime Ministers, like the Queen, never utter words that would make a maiden aunt blush.
There are recordings of worse language and bigger tantrums around, from people as varied as Alan Jones, Ray Hadley and Jeff Kennett.
If this YouTube tactic was intended to turn the electorate against Kevin Rudd, it was a failure. But it had a message his colleagues would not have missed.
It would have reminded them that as Prime Minister Mr Rudd on occasion was over-demanding on ministers and staff; cranky at the most unhelpful times; a one-man government.
It didn’t take Kevin Rudd long to decode the message. He was on Sky News last night within hours of the video’s release ticking off all the criticisms colleagues had of him in 2010, and arguing that he had learned the lesson of experience.
But having a reputation for being a toilet-tongued tyrant is not Kevin Rudd’s biggest barrier to regaining the leadership. It is the absence of some moral momentum behind his bid.
Paul Keating had Bob Hawke’s refusal to honor a transition deal; John Howard had decades of public acclaim for party loyalty, service and patience.
Rightly or wrongly, a significant group of senior Labor figures blame Kevin Rudd for the leaks which crippled Julia Gillard’s already wonky election campaign. And they believe he again is putting personal ambitions ahead of the party.
In their eyes he does not have the entitlement of a Keating or a Howard. And there is no certainty he could rescue Labor from a defeat.
Gillard had th elevate claim to stay in the job. Until today.
The video release, whoever was responsible, has dragged the pro-Gillard position down several notches from it’s former position of moral superiority. For that reason alone it has brought Rudd closer to regaining the Prime Minster’s office.
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