UPDATE 2pm: Kevin Rudd just announced Faulkner’s got the gig.

Who would be defence minister? The poisoned chalice effectively killed off the political careers of the last four people who held it. Peter Reith, Robert Hill, Brendan Nelson and now Joel Fitzgibbon were all so battered after scrapping the military top brass they ran out of the ammunition needed to take things to the next level.

It's all in John Faulkner's stare

The last person to hold the position without it completely wrecking his public image was Kim Beazley, who was so defined by his ability in the difficult portfolio he’ll be forever known as “Bomber.”

Talk of putting former union chief Greg Combet in the job is madness. Union heavies are one thing - war, both militarily and with your own department, is another. Bring on the owl glasses, forensic nature and hard arse exterior of John Faulkner, he’s the only man for the job.

Peter Reith, whose public persona was already a bit shaky after dogs were set on waterfront workers and their kids on the Patricks picketline, will never live down the children overboard affair.

His replacement, Robert Hill, had the unenviable task of sending Australian troops into Iraq. The pressure of making the arguments for this, and being the focus of the media blow-torch for much of 2002 and 2003 was enormous, especially for Hill, who was what the Liberals call a “moderate.” He’s now safely tucked up in a diplomatic post at the United Nations.

Brendan Nelson entered his stint as Opposition Leader carrying the baggage of the Jake Kovco debacle.

The true extent of what Joel Fitzgibbon’s been through, and exactly how much of it he brought upon himself, is yet to be confirmed. But he’s claiming he was brought down by “Judases.”

It’s safe to say it’s a rare human being who can deal with an executive portfolio so heavily reliant on a military hierarchy and culture.

John Faulkner has been around forever (well, in the Senate since 1989, which in politics, is almost forever). His reputation in Estimates is such he only has to train those extra-large lenses on someone and they risk falling of their chair. That’s the stare that’s needed across the table from the Generals. Faulkner’s the only one that’s got it.

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12 comments

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    • Lily says:

      02:02pm | 05/06/09

      Well there you go. Happy? Mr Faulkner was ‘silly enough’ to take the job!

    • Tory Maguire

      Tory Maguire says:

      02:09pm | 05/06/09

      So who’s going to be John Faulkner’s replacement as Special Minister of State and Cabinet Secretary?

      Mark Arbib?
      Greg Combet?
      Mike Kelly?

    • Michael says:

      02:55pm | 05/06/09

      I would not be surprised to see:

      Evans - Minister of State
      Bowen - Immigration
      Arbib - Assistant Treasurer

      Would achieve two objectives: be reshuffle-lite, and looks after the Right.

    • Oscar Zeta says:

      02:59pm | 05/06/09

      SMS is usually a job for a factional heavy weight who can keep the plebs in line, while dangling pay rises in front of the advisers who manage to not punch anyone’s CoS. So I’d rule out Kelly straight away, and gravitate toward Combet / Arbib. The Arbibinator is probably too green for the post, since it requires some knowledge of how Government actually works, but Combet will always be pretty shakey in Charlestown and it’s not the kind of gig you want to palm off to anyone whose seat could go even slightly marginal. It’s a good job for a Senator like that.

      Having said that, I’d go with Combet. The Coalition has tasted blood this week, and if the experience of the NSW Opposition teaches us anything, it’s that taking the hatchet to a Government’s Ministers is as addictive as Ice, or Australia’s Next Top Model. Combet, for his legion of faults, silly looking head, and inability to live in his own, admittedly shitty electorate, is probably a clean skin scandal wise. This will keep the Libs attention fixed squarely on trawling through Gillard’s University papers looking for evidence that she trained with the Baader Meinhoff Gang.

    • Venise Alstergren says:

      03:00pm | 05/06/09

      It would be lunacy for Kevin Rudd to choose Greg Combet. Factionalism is the first accusation which will be hurled at him by the opposition, by anyone with any intelligence. Combet, ex-union leader, may have a keen mind-but little experience. Whereas Senator Faulkner, who is an exceptional politician, would be an ideal choice.
      However, Kevin Rudd would be less than enthusiastic about having such a shining star take some of his own light.

    • Lucy says:

      03:27pm | 05/06/09

      I don’t think Rudd is going to move anyone else in Cabinet around. He has already hinted that stability is the key here for his Government.

      I also don’t think Combet is likely to be moved from his current position. He is generally considered to have performed well, and with Faulkner - by his own admission - on a steep learning curve, more structural changes in the Defence portfolio would not be sensible at this time.

      It should be said, however, that the learning curve won’t be as steep as Faulkner is suggesting - he was the Minister representing the Minister for Defence in the Senate, so would be well across the issues in this area.

      Chris Bowen is not out of the running for the position of Special Minister of State. He has demonstrated the loyalty to Rudd required for a Cabinet spot, and given Defence has gone to someone from the Left, it would seem logical that the Cabinet vacancy goes to the Right.

      This could then see the advancement of Senator Mark Arbib to Bowen’s previous role of Assistant Treasurer.

      However, this probably doesn’t do justice to Arbib’s obviously talents - particularly in the area of electoral law. Moving Arbib to Special Minister of State would take best advantage of his talent and skills - and would be an appointment based on merit - despite his lack of time in the Parliament. It would also allow Arbib to wind back some of the more restrictive election funding proposals being considered by Faulkner. As a former State Secretary of the ALP in NSW, he knows how important this is to the Labor Party coffers.

      What would be better would be if Rudd took the opportunity to clean the decks a little and demote out of the Minister underperformers such as Stephen Conroy and Justine Elliot, as well as Parl Secs Laurie Ferguson and Jan McLucas (disposing of McLucas also avoids the embarrassment of what may be an inevitable resignation in the future).

      He could then promote a few of the more talented members of his backbench, including Jason Clare, Melissa Parke, Mark Dreyfus or Richard Marles.

      If it were me picking the Ministerial changes, here’s what I would do:

      GONE:
      Fitzgibbon
      Conroy
      Elliot
      McLucas
      Ferguson

      MINISTERIAL CHANGES:
      Senator John Faulkner – Defence Minister
      Senator Mark Arbib – Cabinet Secretary and Special Minister of State, Deputy Leader of the Government in the Senate
      Tony Burke MP – Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy
      Chris Bowen MP – Minister for Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry
      Bill Shorten MP – Minister for Ageing
      Melissa Parke MP – Assistant Treasurer
      Mark Dreyfus MP – Parliamentary Secretary to the Prime Minister
      Richard Marles MP – Parliamentary Secretary for Disabilities and Children’s Services
      Jason Clare MP – Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Health and Ageing

      This would provide some valuable experience for the newcomers prior to a more comprehensive reshuffle after the next election (assuming the Rudd Government was returned) providing the Prime Minister with more options for future Ministries.

    • Tory Maguire

      Tory Maguire says:

      03:36pm | 05/06/09

      You haven’t thought about this much, have you Lucy? Great post - will cut out and keep to see if you’re on the money.

    • Steven Danno says:

      03:45pm | 05/06/09

      Well my view is that John Faulkner is the guy for EVERY job ...including PM…

    • Peter says:

      04:01pm | 05/06/09

      How about one from left field with minimal change to the Ministry - Wong inherits Special Minister of State and Cabinet Secretary (she has the smarts and the forensic nature of Faulkner and is well respected by Rudd) - Combet gets Climate Change, an area he is already fully focused on and doing a good job in it appears with Industry), which would then only leave Combet’s Parl Sec position to be filled. Hence minimal change.

    • JP says:

      04:54pm | 05/06/09

      Lucy, you obviously have given this a lot of thought. But I can’t help but feel that some of this is wishful thinking.

      Selecting a cabinet in the ALP is not a simple matter, beyond personal politics, caucus and the factions exert an enormous pull on the result.

      I’d wager nothing more than a simple promotion for an outer cabinet minister who has served time, probably Chris Bowen or Nick Sherry and then another bump for a Parliamentary secretary, possibly Greg Combet.

      While I admit a minor reshuffle might be on the cards, I’d say that Rudd & Co. would prefer to move along without the needless distraction of who’s getting what and why.

    • Lucy says:

      05:10pm | 05/06/09

      Thanks Tory!

      And to JP, while I wouldn’t use the term ‘wishful thinking’ - it is definitely not a prediction either!

      I agree with you that it is more likely it will be a minor readjustment.

      However, the fact that Rudd has not announced it today suggests there is some negotiation taking place - obviously with the factions - opening the door to something slight more than you have predicted.

    • watty says:

      06:45pm | 05/06/09

      Gillard,.Tanner,Albo,Carr.Ferguson and now Faulkner

      How the Left has thrived since the election of Rudd,

 

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