In May this year, the venerable old man of the left, Bob Brown will address the National Press Club.

He will use the live broadcast to outline his party’s vision for that historic moment on July 1, when his party holds the exclusive balance of power in the Senate.
With four senators to add to the five already in Canberra and a House of Representatives MP thrown in for good measure, the enviro-activist turned ground-breaking politician, sits atop a growing party widely considered the legitimate third force in Australian politics.
But are those assumptions correct? Is it a party on the up and up or has it, as some people believe, already reached its high water mark? And if the latter is correct, will it remain relatively stable at its current position or fall apart?
Australian political history has seen the rise of ambitious third parties before. Usually at their peaks, these forces had appeared every bit as permanent as the two majors (the Coalition and the ALP) only to disappear after that.
The most recent example is the Australian Democrats - a party that held a similar balance of power role. Its admirably plain-speaking aim of “keeping the bastards honest’’ had struck a chord with voters tired of polarised politics and endless division.
Yet in what was - in historical terms - the blink of an eye, this moderate, apparently stable political intermediary went the way of the dodo.
It was a remarkable disappearing act: from key players negotiating the GST with John Howard, to historical footnote within a couple of terms.
Funnily enough, it was this very role of compromising on the GST, that sealed the fate of its then leader Meg Lees, fuelling internal divisions and setting in train a series of events on the path to the party’s demise.
There are lessons here for the Greens.
Having said that, reports of the Greens’ imminent demise immediately after last weekend’s NSW election, revealed just how eager some are to see the pesky leftists off. Critics jumped on the party’s poor performance against the biggest anti-Labor swing in history.
It is certainly true that its apparent failure to pick up the two previously safe inner Sydney Labor seats of Balmain and Marrickville, or increase its holdings in the state’s upper house, had disappointed the party.
Such disappointment was entirely understandable after expectations had been pumped so high. There’s another lesson right there.
But a more sober assessment aided by a further counting of votes, reveals it did not do as badly as first thought.
Overall their vote did improve by somewhere in the order of 2 per cent.
That is a relief for Bob Brown after falling short of foolishly inflated expectations in Victoria last November. The two underwhelming state results were already being conflated by critics as proof that the only way was down after its 2010 federal election triumph.
Yet while that conclusion may be hasty, there is a genuine risk now for the Greens in Canberra as increased numbers bring internal divisions and the pursuit of fringe issues.
A key to the Greens’ success to date has been the avuncular figure of Bob Brown. In a functional sense, this has been Brown’s party. But the character of some of the new entrants will change the atmosphere and the policies.
The failure of candidates in NSW is attributable to the party’s championing of extreme and often irrelevant policies such the so-called “BDS’’ campaign.
That stands for Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions and is directed at identifying and boycotting businesses and products from Israel.
NSW Senator-elect, Lee Rhiannon, is a big advocate of this frankly ludicrous policy. She told the New Matilda website that the problem was not the policy but the sales job.
“Months before the election we needed to explain why the Greens backed BDS and we needed to work closer with our allies on BDS; academics, the Arab community and social justice movements in Sydney and Melbourne. Collectively we didn’t do enough to amplify support for BDS and show that this is part of an international movement.”
If this doesn’t worry Bob Brown, it should. It is a harbinger of things to come.
Already, following the last election, the first signs of roiling ambition were evident when SA’s Sarah Hanson Young threw her hat in the ring against Christine Milne for deputy leader.
Those manoeuvrings will now increase as the fledgling party experiences a contest for ideas and ambitions. And this will only intensify as Bob Brown’s departure looms.
Julia Gillard has been keen to put some distance between herself and the Greens lately. It’s little wonder with personalities like Ms Rhiannon poised to influence her party federally.
Facebook Recommendations
Read all about it
Punch live
Up to the minute Twitter chatter
Greece makes the final and Ireland gets in on a golden ticket. How awkward and embarrassing. Love it. #sbseurovision
The weird thing about #eurovision is you've got this massive collection of dorks in a room and no one is wearing Spock ears #sbseurovision
Europe has the large hadron collider which is light years ahead of its time and #eurovision, where the eighties never die
Recent posts
The latest and greatest
Eurovision can’t drown out the human rights abuses
Last year, thousands of Azerbaijanis spontaneously took to the streets of Baku shouting and chanting.…
Revenge. It doesn’t get a whole lot better than this
Last month, Katy McCaffrey boarded the Disney Wonder cruiseliner. At some point during the trip, a sneaky…
Friday dilemma: can school bullies grow out of it?
ClubsNSW is set to introduce a fresh new effort to combat schoolyard intimidation, insisting on a principal’s…
Nosebleed Section
choice ringside rantings
From: They must pay for one’s bitter disappointments
Michael S says:
"A teacher at Geelong Grammar had criticised her for using words that were too long, which had left her confused and had made her doubt her ability to write essays. She became ''quite distressed'' when her English marks began to fall." I can sympathise. My scholastic mentors conveyed to me a causal relationship… [read more]From: Welfare for breeders is a bonus for everyone
Change Up! says:
I have no problem paying my taxes. As a single, childless person on a very decent income, I can afford it and not have my life severely altered. Plus I understand that my taxes paying for things like schools, childcare and infrastructure is ultimately a good thing. A better community is better for me… [read more]Gentle jabs to the ribs
They must pay for one’s bitter disappointments
A private school girl’s family is sueing her elite, extremely expensive private school for not… Read more
Most commented