If Julia Gillard can make a go of governing Australia over the next three years her next job should be to succeed Ban Ki-Moon as the general secretary of the United Nations.

The minority government she has cobbled together could not be any more delicately poised. This fragile coalition was sealed with the support of Rob Oakeshott and Tony Windsor at a 3pm press conference so tortuous in its length that it constituted a cruel form of electoral teasing.
After Bob Katter announced earlier this afternoon that he would back the Coalition, Labor needed the support of the two remaining independents to reach the magic figure of 76 Lower House seats.
Labor got it.
Oakeshott and Windsor said the ALP had a superior position on broadband and climate change, had offered a better deal for rural and regional Australia (including, it appears, giving Oakeshott ministerial responsibility for that portfolio), and would provide greater stability than the Coalition, where long-standing tensions with the Nationals could see an Abbott Government try to destroy the rural independents.
Windsor spoke first and got to the point pretty quickly as to which side he would support.
Oakeshott rabbitted on for a full 15 minutes before showing his hand. “I want to start by saying what this decision is not,” he opened enigmatically. He stressed that his stance was “line ball, a points decision, judgment call, six to one half a dozen the other.” When he finally said he was backing Labor he stressed, confusingly, that he was not giving Labor a mandate, rather recognising the fact that in his view the ALP would provide the most stable government.
The contrasting styles of the headmasterly and wise Windsor and the wide-eyed reformer Oakeshott made for one of the strangest double acts Australian politics has ever seen.
“It’s going to be ugly but it’s going to be beautiful in its ugliness,” Oakeshott declared of this Parliament, which he insists must embrace a raft of reforms which go beyond traditional party politics to enjoy his continuing support.
How this beautiful ugliness will manifest itself is anyone’s guess.
Julia Gillard’s first challenge will be to convince the 44 per cent of Australians who cast a primary vote for the Coalition how this new minority Labor Government will work for them.
There will now be a pretty niggly debate about whether Labor or the Coalition (which won more seats in its own right and blitzed Labor on the primary vote) had the right to form government.
It’s a valid debate, but it’s all a bit academic now. We’re unlikely ever to face this situation again; all that matters in the national interest is making this all work.
But can it? Oakeshott and Windsor have both pledged not to block supply or support frivolous no-confidence motions. That’s an obvious start.
Beyond the independents Julia Gillard will have to manage her own factions and any future disgruntled backbenchers (and wannabe frontbenchers) very carefully. Every member of this government has the whip-hand should they choose to issues demands or exert influence, as threatening to walk away would bring the government down.
Equally, one by-election where a Liberal candidate beat a Labor incumbent who suddenly retired, or died, would put the Parliament at an unworkable 75 seats a piece.
Then there’s the policy challenge. Tony Windsor made it very clear today that he thinks Canberra has forgotten the bush and that it’s time to even the ledger. Julia Gillard will have make sure that this overwhelmingly coastal-dwelling, suburban-living nation does not end up held hostage to narrow rural interests.
And then there’s the question of juggling the policy pressures from the Greens, who despite scoring just 12 per cent of the vote now wield awesome influence in a formal Coalition with the ALP.
At least, and at last, we have a result. What that result will now bring is anyone’s guess. Stand by for the beautiful ugliness.
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