Despite it being the dawn of the Sunshine Parliament, Julia Gillard is going to have to make some decisions about her cabinet based very much on the darker and drearier realities of the last Government.

Between former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, former Prime Ministerial backstabbers and powerbrokers in Mark Arbib and Bill Shorten and Robb “this could go on for a while yet” Oakeshott, Julia Gillard is faced with political equivalent of a surgical face transplant in a NSW public hospital.
Heres are a few people and portfolios that are going to leave the Prime Minister with some headaches:
Kevin Rudd
He’s not so much the elephant in the room as he is an erudite 200 kilogram, opera singing multi lingual gorilla in the room that regularly supplies analysis for the six o’clock news. Queensland was apparently upset that he got dumped as PM, but as he never really seemed to disappear so it’s unclear why they were so upset.
Gillard knifed him, then promised him a cabinet position and then asked him to help out during the election. It’s a wonder there hasn’t been some kind of Co-Prime Ministership arrangement sorted out between the two. So what’s Rudd going to do? Well Foreign Affairs Minister is the obvious one. Not only does he love all that “the Russians will never stand for this” kinda stuff, but, if his time as Prime Minister is anything to go by, he’ll never be in the country. There was some talk of him demanding Treasurer, but that’s crazy talk and it would just confuse the children.
Mark Arbib
If this were Elizabethan England Julia Gillard would just lock Mark Arbib up in the Tower of London. The benefit of locking political prisoners up in the Tower was that they can’t go anywhere or do anything but there’s no public execution to rile their supporters or the public, people would just assume he got bored of politics and really into How I Met Your Mother DVDs. But until Julia Gillard creates such a tower she’ll have to put him somewhere. Moving him looks like punishment, and as fashionable as it is to beat up on the guy, she’s only in the job because he and the other members of the Bloods (that’s gang slang for NSW Right) decided to move on Rudd. Who knows, Rudd may have lost them the election anyway. Why not just leave him where he is, that’s punishment enough. Think about it: do you want to be Employment Participation Minister for the next three years?
Tip: Failing tower, stay put
Bill Shorten
Short of organising some kind of tower sharing arrangement with Mark Arbib, Gillard is also going to have to do something with Bill Shorten. What she’ll do with Bill Shorten is frankly anybody’s guess. Like Arbib, Shorten was a key figure behind the Rudd putsch so she owes him on one level, and unlike Arbib, Shorten is from a state in which Labor won seats. Given Shorten has also been a good performer in his role as Parliamentary Secretary for Disabilities it would be hard to overlook him, plus we all know what happened when he thought Rudd did that. So here’s an idea: give Jenny Macklin a break and make him Indigenous and Social Inclusion Minister. It’s a substantial policy area to prove himself in but one in which he’ll get no free rides. Another option is Immigration, where he could go toe to toe with Scott Morrison who has been running rings around the ALP.
Tip: Indigenous Affairs or even Immigration
Rob Oakeshott
Oakeshott is the creepy kid Anthony from the Twilight Zone who everyone is really nice to and gets everything he wants, so as a result he’s a really nice kid. But there’s a lingering undercurrent of fear in the household about what the creepy kid is actually capable of if he doesn’t get everything he wants. Then you realise they’re only nice to Anthony because he can control everything they do. Given the crucial independent has been offered something Gillard is obviously prepared to put him somewhere. It’s apparently some kind of Regional Affairs Development thingo. The downside is he’ll eventually have to be told that he won’t be able to get everything he wants - September Smile Month for example could be a no goer - and then things could get ugly.
Tip: Just don’t upset him in the Regional Affairs thingo job
Whoever gets stuck with immigration
Does anyone want this job? Anybody, anybody? No didn’t think so. Labor leader in the Senate Chris Evans is almost certainly not going to do this job anymore. The party has a perception he stuffed it up and he has perception that they can go get stuffed. Given the Gillard Government’s current asylum seeker policy is literally somewhere between Christmas Island and East Timor and the Coalition has been crucifying them on the issue, it’s hard to see anyone running towards this thing. Short of putting Garrett up for the sake of some kind of final suicide mission, why not go with West Australian Gary Grey? He’s been a trooper in the first Government and like Evans is a West Australian, who could shore up support by meeting the boats on the high seas like Lord Nelson (that sounds stupid now but wait till it happens). The other option is the aforementioned Shorten, who would have the added bonus of not making Jose Ramos Horte feel short during negotiations with East Timor.
Tip: I dunno, what about the next person that says “mango” in the party room.
So there’s a few headaches for Julia Gillard, but I’m sure you can think of plenty more.
leo@thepunch.com.au
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