Our Prime Minister has joined the bandwagon complaining that this is a focus group- driven election - but isn¹t this the way of the Wiki? After all, books have been written about how the wisdom of the masses provide a more compelling truth than the voice of authority.

In an era when communications is moving from the broadcast model of a central voice of authority to the interconnectedness of Facebook, surely focus groups and polls are a legitimate driver of public policy.

It seems that with its group of 150 to guide the nation on climate change Labor is about to put the theory to the test, while the Coalition has long aligned its bearings to the fears and prejudices of the focus group room.

 

In recent days I have had the chance to put my theory into practise, after being drafted in as Research Director in Peter Best’s run for the top job ­- after all Pete is a candidate totally committed to giving the people what they want.

And what is it they want? Having watched literally hundreds of focus groups over the past five years there are a few common themes that emerge from the mob.

Standing Up For families

Ask a focus group what sort of policies they would like to see from their leaders and invariably standing up for families tops the list. The actual execution of such a policy is broad and sketchy, but it is the frame that many ordinary ­dare I say it - working families view politics through.

Education, health, family focussed work entitlements can all fit into this worldview, but there is a skill in taking people from abroad brushed announcement on hospital or GP funding and the way it will touch your families’ lives. Both sides have developed parental leave policies, which can again fit the gap for some parties. But at its heart, there is a yearning amongst many for leaders to help them make sense of the modern family deal: the edict to juggle work and home, watch the dollars, and manage family time rather than enjoy it.

Do Something For Me

No more big picture, people want to know what¹s in it for them. Politics used to be a contest between the free market and direct state intervention, big strident debates about the best way to manage not just the economy, but the society. The end of the Cold War dampened that, the new ideas fewer as the discipline of the free market took hold. Along the way politics went retail.­

Instead of visions, campaigns have become exercises in convincing people you could offer them more, now. Instead of a new program to support a social policy, governments would simply send money to voters, saying you know how to spend this money the best. For the voters, it sent the message we care about you;­ you may not trust our promises as politicians but cold, hard cash is real. John Howard mastered the art and Harvey Norman was the principal beneficiary.

Make Me Feel Secure

Regardless of the economic cycle, people feel less secure than previous generations. Fewer jobs are for life, mortgages are bigger than ever, it¹s harder to see where you will be in ten years time. The hard truth is that in a global economy big companies will be driven by profits not people and fight tooth and nail any moves to pull them I, look at the mining tax. It is far easier for politicians to establish proxy wars ­ and none worked better than the Coalition’s 2001 border protection policy- respond to economic security by shifting attention to cultural security. The echoes of this strategy continue to dominate the way we view our place in the region.

Don’t Go Negative

Negative ads never rate in focus groups. They make people feel they are being manipulated, they invariably make them question the facts presented.

And yet, and yet, well they really work. After monstering an attack ad, the same group will come back and use the key assertions as a point of reference. The trick is to deliver the negative without getting caught.

Again, Howard was king in this dark art­ Beazley was never ridiculed for being fat, he just lacked ticker. Neither side is being particularly subtle in delivering the negatives this time around, although Abbott’s growing use of wife and family clearly opens up comparisons that he thinks will resonate in some parts of the country.

Don’t Wear Speedos

It’s superficial and trivial, but people with little engagement cling to media images,­ and none creates more mirth and undermines a leaders credibility more than Speedos. Not sure what it is, but the cool guys always wore board shorts,­ and whether the smugglers make you seem like a bigger or smaller man, it just weirds out many, many voters. Ted Ballieu learnt it, Peter Debnam learnt it, Tony Abbott needs to get the message.

Oh, and Don¹t Be Driven By Focus Groups

And here’s the rub, often after lively and engaged conversations, people reserve their greatest contempt for politicians who are seen to follow public opinion. Having put their views down, people are looking for leaders who will do something with the information provided, not just send it straight back to them in a sound byte. Australians trust their bullshit detectors as a part of who they are. Sorry Pete, but this is your biggest challenge.

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24 comments

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    • nosthow says:

      08:14am | 03/08/10

      As far as i can see so far all Abbott has come up with in the campaign is that he doesnt want people carrying knives in public ? God help us if Abbott were to accidentaly become PM as hes got nothing to offer the Australian people. Cancelling the NBN etc etc just shows waht an empty vessel Abbott is and how lacking in original ideas the Coalition are. No thanks Tony - not now - not ever !

    • Diamantina Dick says:

      08:45am | 03/08/10

      You need to pay more attention. BTW if Tony Abbott becomes PM it will be no accident, unlike someone else I can think of!

    • Rosie says:

      09:58am | 03/08/10

      What has Labor have to offer? The GFC, how they saved Australia from a recession. I should hope so, that the Govt of the day, paid by taxpayers to do a job should have done it to the best of their ability. It is very difficult to win brownie points from what is expected of you to do in the first place. During the GFC you would have to be really dumb not to realize that a stimulus package was the way to go. The whole world was borrowing money left right and centre. Australia was in a very good position because it had a surplus.

      It was how that stimulus package was spent and the timing of it that Labor needs to defend and we all know how Swann the Goose quickly went about it in a wreckless way eg BER, Pink Batts etc. Anyway, the Greens are also taking the credit for realeasing the stimulus package.

    • E says:

      12:09pm | 03/08/10

      Rosie you say “During the GFC you would have to be really dumb not to realize that a stimulus package was the way to go.”  It is important to note that the Coalition did not support the entirety of the stimulus package proposed by Labor and the Coalition opposed it in the Senate.  You can make your conclusions from this point, but it seems that when it comes to economics, the Coalition is “really dumb” and this does not assist the general image in the electorate that Mr Tony Abbott is not fond of economics.

    • Brad Coward says:

      01:27pm | 03/08/10

      No doubt on the advise of a focus group, Julia ” Sparkles ” Gillard has decided to avoid taking the advise of focus groups in the future.

    • Steve says:

      08:25am | 03/08/10

      I agree with your comment Peter that “The trick is to deliver the negative without getting caught” and would add that it is even more effective if the message is kept very simple. Take for example Barnaby Joycle’s best one liner “debt and deficit” with the underlying message to “be afraid”.  Most Australian’s go into debt to buy a home (worked out pretty good for me) however many also use the credit card to fill the garage with junk and are trapped paying loan shark interest rates.
      Labor is losing the debate when it tries to point out that borrowing money for productive assets is a path to greater wealth. Abbott’s message is “be afraid”

    • Roja says:

      03:37pm | 03/08/10

      It is interesting that to buy a house these days, you need to go into debt to the tune of anywhere from about 5 to 20 times your annual salary. 

      Yet there is this seemingly unreasonable ‘fear’ of our national debt which is a small percentage of our GDP.  Where the country already owns more than enough assets to secure the loan even in the incredibly unlikely scenario we didn’t have the cash to pay it.

      To me spending money on building infrastructure during what was a big lull in building activity seemed very logical.  ‘They’ say builders inflated the costs - however if it was attempted during peak building capacity that inflation was already part of the price, plus more.

    • acotrel says:

      09:03am | 03/08/10

      Julia Gillard obviously has the same problem as Tony Abbott - trying to comply with the constraints of the spin doctors.  Unfortunately, Tony can’t remember ‘the script’, and that’s why he always stalls and stammers while speaking on the media!  He knows he’s telling lies, and hasn’t got the confidence to carry it off!  He’ll never be another John Howard. However Julia on the other hand, is smart enough to know when ’ the script’ is wrong, and change it!

    • David C says:

      09:31am | 03/08/10

      Dont you think though its all just a little bit late?

    • With eyes wide open... says:

      10:09am | 03/08/10

      Wrong acotrel…Julia is smart enough to know when the polls are changing and then she changes… but you spin it your way as you do….or was that just Sundays Julia or Mondays Julia..which Julia are you comparing Tony Abbott too?

    • Joe Blow says:

      10:26am | 03/08/10

      Lol ... The ‘rusted ons’ will paint everything Gillard does as a positive ... Now she’s getting accolades for admitting to being a puppet of the faceless men, presenting a supposedly false image to the public, and for changing a disastrous strategy in the face of one bad poll.

    • Lizzie says:

      07:12pm | 03/08/10

      Borrowing $110,00,00 a day from China. This gives a pretty good indication of how labor control the economy,. Going from billions in the bank to billions in debt in less than 3 years is a record even for labor! Australia was always going to be OK because we are more linked to Asia than we are to Europe/USA…..& labor knew that. But they decided to buy the next election by throwing money around like a bunch of drunken sailors. Problem is the the scheme fell flat on it’s face with all the bungling. Now we see the ads on TV about how terrible the Libs are with the economy. Guys…sorry but we’re NOT stupid.

    • Steve says:

      01:17am | 04/08/10

      @Lizzie says: Wrong The record for the records sake Lizzie…. Whenever there is political debate on here there are always plenty of Liberal supporters keen to champion how great they were at eliminating debt. I don’t consider many of these people to be well informed. Here is an extract from an article from the Fin review about our account deficit. Does anyone still think Costello and friends were the great debt busters after reading the following? Interestingly Labor’s stimulus package comes in at about 1% of the total, enjoy: Tony might happily forget that while his former government colleagues were steering the good ship Australia, the nation’s total debt soared from a mere $700 billion in 1997 up to $3.2 trillion by the close of their term. An increase of 387%’‘. Deregulation brought growth all right. But there is a yin for every yang. The Opposition may well brag that it left office with zero debt - zero government debt that is - as the upshot of policy was to lump it onto the consumer. Shame they could not of built on the reforms and economic policy left them at the time. But then again were talking of JWH arn’t we….

    • acotrel says:

      09:08am | 03/08/10

      The article which heads this page is very well written! Congratulations to the author!

    • Tails says:

      09:14am | 03/08/10

      Focus groups kill good ideas: fact.

      Besides, do you really want the fate of the nation decided by a bunch of sheep who are only in the room for $50 cash and the free cheezles?

      I’d love someone to give me an example, any example, of when a focus group has gone with the ‘I know it’s crazy but it just might work’ idea.

      The fact is they don’t. They’re not designed to. There’s always someone who doesn’t get it and would prefer to drag the rest of the room down to their level of ignorance than be enlightened.

      It gives me the you know whats.

    • Average Joe says:

      12:23pm | 03/08/10

      Focus groups do so much more - there’s a Poll Focus group in the background of the ALP that killed off more than just a good idea. It went a little like this:
      “Look, I know this sounds crazy but it just might work - let’s knife Rudd because for the first time in his life he’s fallen behind in the polls and bung Julia up as the first female PM. It’ll take the punters minds off the fact that we’ve cocked-up so much of late and Julia’ll get a spread in Women’s Weekly….maybe even front cover!! We’ll drive focus away from batts and BER and so on, and the electorate will focus on our first female PM and everything will be forgiven . Don’t laugh, I said it sounds crazy….but…....”

    • Harriet says:

      09:30am | 03/08/10

      “Scared”  would be a negative for focus groups. Yet Christopher Pyne said Tony Abbott was not scared to debate Julia Gillarrd on the economy just that he didn’t have time. But by linking Tony Abbott to “scared and economy ” he will leave just that negative impression if the media pursues Tony Abbott on more debates.

    • Ray Graham says:

      12:05pm | 03/08/10

      Focus groups. The worst being feminism that has levered untold funding and legislation in favour of women to the absolute exclusion of men. And we have created the ‘protected species’.
      About time we got back to the big picture. The last big one was the Snowy Mountains Scheme.

    • Steven says:

      01:28pm | 03/08/10

      The most detrimental focus groups to this election are the ones used by the corporate media to establish their news agenda. I would love to see an analysis on ‘the punch’ into the way broadcast media set their news up. The fact that they are corporate entities directs their focus towards profit, pushing their agendas to a base level of salacious entertainment and ‘media stunts’ over considered political analysis.
      I fear that our news is filtered through agendas based on enternaiment parameters instead of the traditional notions of the fourth estate model upheld so righteously by those within the quasi-institutional media sector.
      Where is the comparative analysis of economic proposals? Do figures and charts not sell very well?
      Should the media, in its position of providing a public sphere, provide education to voters as to the capacities of federal governments in relation to state and local authority? Is it assumed that the everyday citizen will naturally recall these structures when they are tapped on the shoulder to vote every three years?
      Why are politicians setting the topic of the day? Should it not be the media asking for opinion on issues highlighted by either the public, or their own informative analysis?
      In my opinion, this election has seen the public abandoned by the media. A media that has instead turned their alliances towards the chicken feed provided by rehearsed, constrained political parties relying on their penchant for conflict and easy bites of information for the sastisfaction of the corporate dollar.

    • karl says:

      05:47pm | 03/08/10

      I agree Steven.
      It should be obligatory for all daily newspapers to provide a facts only section to election coverage, with the various analyses you suggested. This should also be provided in a pullout two days prior to polling that covers all the policies by both parties, compared and analyzed with projections to the future of these said policies.
      I feel that this type of coverage will sell at least as well as the schlock currently being offered, unless I am reading the public sentiment wrong.
      Perhaps this type of coverage will also mean those that had already decided their votes long ago can at least make sure the figures they read with their heads concur with the emotions in their hearts.

    • DizzyDame says:

      03:46pm | 03/08/10

      One of the biggest mistakes both faction is making is that pensioners will soon be the largest voting bloc in Australia yet they are totally ignoring us. And guys 65 year old pensioners still have long long memories. It’s another few years before the dementia sets in! Disregard us at your peril!!

    • Gavin says:

      04:25pm | 03/08/10

      Pensioners. The ultimate “me” voters if ever there were any.

    • Turlow says:

      05:55pm | 03/08/10

      That’s a bit harsh Gavin. I reckon the pensioners have contributed plenty and none of them got paid for having kids, much less expected it.

    • Joe says:

      11:23pm | 04/08/10

      I wonder if Labor have done any focus group work on Gillard’s affair with minister Emmerson. I hear he left his wife and children for her. What a disgrace. Is this realy the type of woman we want as PM?

 

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