They say a week is a long time in politics, so the two years until the 2012 US presidential election is practically an eternity.

He's got the next term in the bag. Photo: AP.

However, even a casual glance at news from Washington proves the race to the White House is already well under way.

Former Vice President Dick Cheney attacked President Barack Obama last week, explaining why he believed Obama will be a one-term president.

Disagreeing with Dick isn’t hard, so here are five reasons Obama will be re-elected: 

1. He’s getting things done
In the last six weeks Obama has got his political mojo back in a big way. Despite his party losing control of the House of Representatives in November, he succeeded in repealing the controversial “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” policy banning gay and lesbians soldiers from serving openly, he negotiated the ratification of the START security treaty with Russia and kept his shirt in brokering a deal with Republicans over Bush-era tax cuts. Add that to his health care reforms and other legislative victories, and his record is strong.

The US public has given him a 78 per cent approval rating for his handling of the Arizona shootings and commentators have called his speech for the victims the best since his breakthrough 2004 address to the Democratic National Convention. His overall approval ratings are going up as well, although admittedly they remain in the low 50s. Yesterday’s State of the Union address, which focused on the economy and innovation, was the unofficial kick off to Obama’s re-election campaign.

2. Incumbency
The power of presidential incumbency is a force to reckoned with. Since the 22nd Amendment to the US Constitution was passed in 1947 to limit presidents to 8 years in the White House, only three have lost re-election when seeking a second term. Arguably, Gerald Ford in 1976 and George H.W. Bush in 1992 both lost because of factors outside their control. Ford was tainted by his predecessor, Richard Nixon, and Bush was weakened by the third-party candidacy of Ross Perot. Jimmy Carter failed fairly successfully in the tasks of the job and got trounced by Ronald Reagan in 1980.

In 2008 there was no incumbent in the race, but whomever the Republicans nominate will have to beat the vast force of the White House machine and the dynamic Obama campaign team. His loss of control of the House of Representatives, what Obama called a “shellacking”, likely won’t matter. Bill Clinton recovered from his own drubbing in 1994 and in Ronald Reagan carried 49 states two years after his party lost 26 seats in the House in 1982. The Republicans will need luck to gain momentum on Obama.

3. The Palin factor
While she hasn’t officially announced if she is running for President, Sarah Palin clearly isn’t planning on leaving the national stage. She is loved by her supporters and fascinating for the media, but she is not a serious contender. Commentators are poking fun at Palin’s two-F press strategy: Facebook and Fox News. If she were to run, she would have to face up to thousands of interviews, as well as rally the GOP base and win independents.

A recent Gallup poll conducted after the Arizona tragedy found her approval ratings at their lowest levels since she gained prominence in 2008. Only 38 percent of Americans have a favourable opinion of her while, while 53 percent have an unfavourable view. Her support lies in the Tea Party wing of the Republican Party, and while it is not insignificant, she has yet to be embraced by the party as a whole. Obama would love it if the Republicans nominated Palin, but she would be a rogue candidate in every sense of the word.

4. There is no obvious GOP nominee
Palin aside, how many people have ever heard of Tim Pawlenty, Bobby Jindal or Jon Hunstman? These are the men lining up for their party’s nomination. In addition to former Speaker of the House New Gingrich and former governors Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, the GOP has a long list with no obvious nominee. Romney is considered by many to be the front-runner, but his Mormon faith and prior support for universal healthcare might prove difficult with the conservative base. If Obama can get back even a small part of his historic 2008 campaign spirit, the Republicans will need to bring their big hitters to try and beat him.

5. Obama’s new team
With an eye to rebuilding his poll numbers, Obama has already overhauled his White House team and is rapidly building his re-election effort. Outgoing staff like Press Secretary Robert Gibbs and Senior Counselor David Axelrod were essential to building the original Obama movement and will now focus on the re-election bid from Chicago.

Incoming Chief of Staff, Bill Daley, has been picked as an experienced hand at creating jobs and finding success in the chaotic world of Washington politics. The Obama White House knows that as the economy improves, so will Obama’s approval ratings. With 10 percent unemployment and an exploding deficit, the economy will be their number one priority.  Expect to see more focus on the domestic economy, and less on symbolism and historic reforms.

There is truth in the old adage that when things are bad, voters blame the president. New Speaker John Boehner’s single word strategy, “no”, is about to face its biggest test. In the two years since George W Bush and Dick Cheney left Washington, much has changed. As Americans rethink the tone of their political conversation and Obama gains more experience, the 2012 election is a delicious prospect for wonks the world over.

110 comments

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    • Eric says:

      05:09am | 27/01/11

      Obama has the dedicated support of every US media channel save Fox News. This is his greatest advantage.

      But the outcome of the election will depend on the economy, and Obama’s spending spree is putting the US into ruinous debt. Whether this will prevent the recovery Obama needs is an open issue.

    • Tom says:

      11:37am | 27/01/11

      How about:
      1. Obama gives brilliant speeches.
      2. Obama gives brilliant speeches.
      3. Obama gives brilliant speeches.
      4. Obama gives brilliant speeches.
      5. Obama gives brilliant speeches;
      and
      6. Voters are too stupid to see beyond that.

    • Peter Ansfield says:

      12:13pm | 27/01/11

      Tom
      How about
      Bush was a moron
      Bush was a moron
      Bush was a moron
      Palin is an idiot
      Palin is an idiot
      Palin is an idiot
      Takes a long time to fix all the things that were broken by the Bush and the other conservative morons?
      Takes a long time to fix all the infrastructure and services neglected by Howard?
      Voters understand this.

    • C Y O'Connor says:

      01:10pm | 27/01/11

      @Peter, sorry the Bush chanting doesn’t wash.

      Carter (Democrat) enacted the Community Re-investment Act which caused the sub-prime crisis. In turn the sub-prime crisis led to a financial meltdown in America. Bush tried 18 times to control it and was stopped by the Democrats. Who are the morons then? Even our messiah, Barrack admitted this.

      Try to understand what actually need fixing then ponder your little problem with reality.

      Don’t know if Palin is an idiot, but if a syncophant like you says it often enough, you must be starting to believe it. You believe everything else you chant.

      Ain’t vilification wonderful?

    • Eric says:

      01:55pm | 27/01/11

      Peter, “Blame Bush” didn’t work in 2010, and it’s unlikely to work in 2012. You may need to look for another tactic.

    • Ryan says:

      06:50am | 27/01/11

      Having been in the US and seen how much the people hate Obama I can say with confidece that the only people who still like Obama are the idealistic racist dropkicks around the world who would prefer to see someone in power based on the colour of their skin or their gender than actual competence. I would be willing to bet that the people of the US will vote for ANYONE but Obama.

    • Brendan says:

      08:05am | 27/01/11

      A well thought out and balanced position. 

      You have wonderfully teased apart the complex weave of social, economic and geo-political factors by which any elected leader is judged.

      Now, if only I could take that bet…

    • Dave says:

      09:00am | 27/01/11

      Being American and having watched enough elections go by, I’ll take that bet.

    • Warren says:

      09:30am | 27/01/11

      @Brendan you star!

      @Ryan you monkey!

    • cityboy of Sysney says:

      09:50am | 27/01/11

      Sarah Palin will be heartened to hear your ill-informed comments Ryan; you are practically soulmates; but hey, Australia has excellent mental health professionals who can take care of you!

    • Ryan says:

      11:54am | 27/01/11

      @cityboy of Sysney: yawn, boring, the low class insults are just showing your complete lack of intelligence and class.

    • Con Con says:

      01:24pm | 27/01/11

      Ryan
      next time your in the US, try to spend some time away from the back clocks of Utah with your supremacist mates. You might get some perspective.

    • Ryan says:

      06:33pm | 27/01/11

      @Con Con: sorry to disappoint your racist view but no I am normally in California, San Diego to be exact and that is where I gleam my opinion from, the people there.

    • Paul says:

      07:41pm | 27/01/11

      @Ryan: “Gleam” your opinion?  Doesn’t matter how shiny it is, mate, it’s still daft.

    • Jacob says:

      08:11pm | 27/01/11

      cityboy aka con con

      Tell us the people in the US you have spoken with who advise differently or the reference you reply upon or are we just relying on you jaded view?

    • Benrama says:

      10:22pm | 27/01/11

      Fight! Fight! Fight!

    • TimB says:

      07:00am | 27/01/11

      Y’know this vaguely reminded me of another article:

      http://www.thepunch.com.au/articles/five-reasons-why-rudd-will-lead-labor-to-the-next-election/

      I really have nothing against Obama personally, but I can’t see where he set the world on fire like he was expected to. Much like Kevin Rudd. 
      I don’t follow American politics all that closely, but the parallels between Rudd and Obama are pretty striking. The only difference is Obama still comes off as somewhat likeable and hasn’t alienated everyone around him.

      We’re two years out. Like you say, that’s a long time in politics but it applies to both sides. Lets wait a little longer and see how things develop before we start tossing around predictions. Especially given the general predictions of just over a year ago regarding what Kevin was going to achieve.

    • weoic says:

      11:44pm | 27/01/11

      haha LOL

      It’s all that hope-lessness and no-change that KRudd and NObama have brought to the world.

      Political leaders are selected - not elected
      I wonder when people will ever wake up to this?

    • The Badger says:

      08:43am | 28/01/11

      yes timmie
      believe everything you see online do you?
      carefully managed marketing exercise under lab condition, not a real network under loaded conditions?
      Try adding millions of consumers to the mix, Try adding a house with a family of 4, Mom’s doing the online banking, paying bills and having an HD look at her sisters new baby on skype. Dad’s streaming a pay TV sports event, daughter is updating her social network status and watching HD Youtube, Son is battling HD gremlins in the online Xbox. Now take that house and the one next to it and the one next to that, and the apartment block next door with the 100 apartments and the rest of the neighbourhood. Then run your speed test and if, just if your connection doesn’t drop out because of network congestion, or something coming between the line of sight to your cell site, or the weather, you send me your speed test results
      Then we can talk.

      Like I said timmie, wireless has it’s place within the NBN. You just don’t understand the technology

    • TimB says:

      11:51am | 28/01/11

      Hi Badger, been taking tips from your mate Acotrel have you?

      Try clicking down there next time.

      You also appear to have been watching Telstra’s internet ads a little too much.

      You asked for an example, I gave it to you. These are commercial networks in place NOW. For you to now turn around and say “ahh its on the internet! its all lieeeees” shows you up for the blinkered party stooge you truly are.

      Now I’ve done my bit. I’ve supported my position with proof (even if you’re too blinkered to accept it). How about you support your position. You know, your “Wireless is crap” stuff. Show me something concrete as to why it will not ever work. Something beyond your own one-eyed rhetoric.

    • The Badger says:

      09:07am | 27/01/11

      Timmie
      For your future reference, wireless broadband is an integral part of the NBN.
      Nobody is saying that wireless doesn’t have its place in the greater scheme of connectivity for the nation.
      Not exactly sure what your point is or even if you have one. I just hope its not that you believe FTTH doesn’t have a place in a national broadband network?

      Perhaps you would like to try again?

    • TimB says:

      10:25am | 27/01/11

      My point is that you and your NBN chums have decried large scale wireless tech time and time again. Now Obama is advocating it, so what’s your reaction?

      And perhaps you’d like to clarify what YOUR point is Badger? Are we going to have FTTH AND a wireless network that covers 98% of the population like Obama is talking about for his country?

      If that’s really what you’re saying, then it seems a bit like overkill don’t you think?

      Maybe *you’d* like to try again? Or at least stop being disingenuous. That would be nice.

    • MarK says:

      11:02am | 27/01/11

      Hahahaha.

      And so the qualifications begin.

      “Nobody is saying that wireless doesn’t have its place in the greater scheme of connectivity for the nation. “

      Glad you have finally caught up with the rest of us. Refreshing to see you admit it.

      If you really cannot see what TimB’s point is I will spell it out for you. There is more one way to skin a cat. The project doesn’t necessarily have to be “done this way” and cost “this much”. There is inherent risk in a government doing what it is doing for which we will have to foot the bill if they stuff it. Given the NBN will duplicate a hell of a lot of infrastructure privately owned and built, essentially trashing a whole lot of capital invested, the lack of transparency and planning that is evident (or hidden) is terrifying when you consider the variables.

      This is the ultimate result of the hubris of Rudd and Gillard who used and still use the “you do this or do nothing” as an excuse.

      It is a joke. Perhaps you would like to try again Badger. Or qualify further. Or do whatever it is you do.

      Also TimB the really important part about Obama’s speech is that he was going to get private enterprise to pay for it. Just help them along with it by government actions, not cash.

      Interesting stuff indeed. In the US the government will not assume the risk of the build. Here, well hey, Gillard is happy to assume the risk - I guess we can raise a levy if needs be.

    • Tom says:

      11:58am | 27/01/11

      @Badger, congratulations, you are waking up. Abbott proposed wireless as a cost effective alternative to optical cable and you dills fell into line behind Conroy’s mantra that optical cable as the only way to go.

      Now you are wanting to sneek out from under. Admit it Badger, you and your Labor mates were wrong. If Conroy had proposed that the network be made out of vegemite sandwiches, you would have been there cheering him on.

      Suddenly, you are admitting Abbott was correct and your garrulous shop steward was just making noise for the sake of it.

      Well done Badger and welcome to thinking people’s world.

    • The Badger says:

      12:37pm | 27/01/11

      Nice try boys.

      Can’t speak for the “chums” you allude to timmie, but I never said wireless wasn’t part of the solution.
      There have always been qualifications mark. Wireless works in some areas, but not others it’s not one size fits all and never have I said otherwise.  Get a grip and don’t put words into my mouth. Let’s not spend any money on the NBN infrastructure and let private investors do it. Yes mark because that works so well, particularly for the bush.

      Tom, do try to keep up. wireless has always been part of the Labor NBN. To Abbott, it is the NBN. big difference.

      I try to never argue with a fool (s).
      Someone watching may not be able to tell the difference.
      but in this case, I made an exception.

    • TimB says:

      01:11pm | 27/01/11

      “wireless has always been part of the Labor NBN. To Abbott, it is the NBN. big difference.”

      And the point of my INITIAL post was that to Obama, wireless is the “ABN” (American Broadband Network). Whether by accident or design, you seem to have missed the point spectacularly. So I’ll quote it for you again:

      “He set a goal of covering 98 percent Americans with 4G mobile broadband connections over the next five years”

      98% of the United States. Fully wireless. Now tell me straight, without avoiding the question: What do you think of Obama’s plan?

    • Tom says:

      01:29pm | 27/01/11

      @Badger, I just love the smell of backflip in the morning.

    • The Badger says:

      04:11pm | 27/01/11

      Don’t know why I bother with you timmie your intelligence level is very low.
      Where did Obama say wireless was the only solution for America?

      What Obama is saying is that 98% of Americans will have wireless access for mobile applications. You do understand what mobile applications are don’t you? They are when you are mobile, that is away from your base.
      Obama is not talking about an American version of the NBN,
      You really don’t have a clue do you?

    • TimB says:

      07:00pm | 27/01/11

      Are you serious?

      98% coverage on 4G technology. You know, that wireless tech capable of the same speeds as the NBN. The same technology that you write off as being not suitable for a largescale network. The one despite all your “expertise” on the subject, those silly boffins keep pouring money into. Hah! What do they know? If only they’d listen to you, right?

      Meanwhile apparrently you’re only allowed to use wirless for “mobile applications”. You only use it when you’re “moving”. When you get home you just have to find a wall outlet to plug into instead. Never mind that you’re capable of accessing the same speeds without the need to hook into a wall. You’re no longer mobile! You aren’t allowed to use it now! You must use the second, fixed line [i[ uttely redundant network!

      Honestly this would be funnier if it wasn’t for the fact that you actually believe eveything Conroy tells you.

    • The Badger says:

      07:44pm | 27/01/11

      yes timmie
      fibre speeds from 4G networks
      you live in lalaland.
      Show me where consumers are getting these speeds. Maybe your mentor can help you look, you know who I mean.

      You can’t, because they aren’t available.
      join the ranks of your mates mark and northern steve who retreated under heavy fire.

      Your credibility is further eroded. stick to politics
      You don’t need any background just a bookmark to the liberal party website.
      This tech stuff is beyond you.

    • TimB says:

      08:58pm | 27/01/11

      Quick Badger. Better tell Obama that he’s embarking on a white elephant. You’re so much more of an expert at this stuff than he is I’m sure he’ll weclome your advice.

      Or you could take a trip to Scandanavia instead:

      http://dailymobile.se/2009/12/15/teliasonera´s-4g-speed-test-looking-good/

      Not quite 100 mbps but damn good by our current standards. Keep in mind this was a year ago, and as we all know technology evolves. Isn’t that what you tell us? That we have to use our imagination to envisage all the wonderful functions high-speed internet will bring?
      Use that imagination now, and imagine wireless not stuck in the static state that you keep portaying it as being.

    • Tubesteak says:

      07:28am | 27/01/11

      I was very unpatriotic yesterday as I watched Obama’s speech in full on ABC 24.

      I was heartened to hear him be blunt enough to say that the jobs landscape had changed. Where you could get a job in a factory and work for life (and sometimes successive generations) on a decent wage that is no longer the case. Competition had changed that.

      Too often the conservative side of politics like to try and imply that they can bring back the old days. But it simply isn’t true. The horse has bolted.

      He focused on education. A vital part of a progressive economy and society.

      He also mentioned the quality of internet speeds and compared the US to Korea. A similar debate to what we are having and he said that the US needs to get up to Korea’s speed.

      While I’m skeptical about how he’ll freeze government spending while lowering company taxes it will be interesting to see.

      On the whole, it was refreshing to watch and entire speech without the eyes being picked out and dumbed down by the media into an 8 second sound-byte or simplistic headline.

    • Adam says:

      09:39am | 27/01/11

      there is a transcript of the full speech on the Australians website for those interested

    • Jacob says:

      07:51am | 27/01/11

      I wonder if you realise how widely unpopular his healthcare reforms are to the average American.

      People can admit they are gay?

      A security treaty with Russia?  This isn’t new.

      Bush tax cuts? This isn’t his work.

      These aren’t MAJOR achievements…these are nothing policies or claiming glory for work done before him.

      What a myopic view of achievement.

    • Grumpy says:

      08:23am | 27/01/11

      Health reform is only unpopular because of right-wing rhetoric. Some people wont accept help because they are suspicious of ulterior motives. Even when its the best thing for them. It doesn’t mean what he is doing isn’t the right thing to do. He has also announced the end to a very unpopular war, which will coincide with his election campaign. I believe he will be remembered as one of the greatest presidents the country has ever seen. Everyone seems to forget the mess that he was left with 9% unemployment and growing, debt in the trillions, two wars, Katrina, the financial sector, BP, corporate bail outs, the list goes on… no one could do a better job, or has the patience and the grace under fire to do better.

    • KH says:

      08:24am | 27/01/11

      Thats pretty sad, considering that around 100,000 people die every year because of their inability to access health care.  That is an enormous number of people.  There are also a lot of people shut out of insurance because of minor health problems, and a lot of people - and when I say a lot I mean several times our entire population - who really can’t afford to not have insurance.  I can’t understand what kind of ‘civilised’ society would think its OK to let that many people just endure illness and pain without any care.

    • TimB says:

      09:15am | 27/01/11

      @ Grumpy, theres a few issues with your statement. Just off the top of my head:

      - BP spill happened in 2010
      - Employment rate was 5.8 % in 2008 It didn’t jump to past 9% until 2009.
      - The corporate bailouts also happened under Obama’s watch.

      None of this was “mess that he was left with”, they happened DURING his Presidency.

      And he’s announced the end to an unpopular war? Exactly timed to suit his re-election campaign? You don’t see a problem with this? Either the war is worth fighting or it isn’t. If it isn’t then he should end it now, not when it’s politically convenient.

      Of course this assumes that it’s going to magically end when he says it will. Call me back when it actually happens.  He was going to close Guantanamo too, how’s that working out?

    • Jacob says:

      09:20am | 27/01/11

      Grumpy,

      I am not playing it from a party political perspective.  I have no interest.  I do have a lot of US friends who I talk to, some on a daily basis.

      This is a reflection of what they are saying.

      Ryan’s comment above indicate that he also understands this to be true.  The massive debt etc. as I understand it is through the design of his own party, before his leadership.  He says he will end the war, this hasn’t happened, this can’t happen and I think both sides know this.  You can’t wipe a country off the face of the landscape and then leave it to the hands of those who you were fighting to begin with, nothing has changed.  They will stay until democracy is ensured.

      KH,

      From my persepective, a lot of Americans don’t share the same human welfare concerns for others.

    • PD says:

      10:08am | 27/01/11

      @Jacob, your position falls into the same ‘I can tell this from the Americans I talk to’ trap that Ryan does. Your sample of whatever size is not statistically valid, and we don’t even know if what they’re telling you are their real voting intentions or whether you’ve interpreted their comments correctly.

      In other words, assertions like “I can predict the outcome of the election just from talking to people I know’ are worthless.

    • hot tub political machine says:

      10:51am | 27/01/11

      Unsuprisingly, the people we know who are Americans are not representative of Americans.

    • Grumpy says:

      11:05am | 27/01/11

      Obama declared the end of combat in Iraq last year, the war is already over. with troops to begin returning in 2012-2014.Americans will stay there probably forever. Like in south Korea.

      no i dont see this as being coercive, or wait maybe it is, because everyone would think it was, but thats how smart he is you see, its reverse, reverse psychology…

      As for the bailouts, they all began with bush in 2008. Obama gave a stimulus package and a package to GM. Bush on the other hand bailed out banks without pursuing legal action into how it happened or on management, he bailed out GM and Chrysler. Bush gave something like 1-2trillion in bailouts.

      at the end of bush’s reign of terror unemployment was already close to 8%...but yea thats Obama’s fault.

    • Jacob says:

      01:16pm | 27/01/11

      PD,

      The point of the site is to have discussions, not have emprically valuable statistics.  Are we supposed to raise an issue, go away for a month and come back with adequate survey response to satisfy your needs?

      At least Ryan and I are providing ‘some’ perspective.

      You come here criticise and offer nothing to the debate.  Is that useful at all?

    • PD says:

      02:38pm | 27/01/11

      Jacob, pricking balloons full of BS like yours is a valuable contribution to the discussion. I know a few people in the US too, and I read news and commentary from there, but I’d be a fool to say that’s any guide to Obama’s fortunes this far out. Not even the statistically valid polls are.

    • Tom says:

      03:23pm | 27/01/11

      @KH, “100,000 people die every year because of their inability to access health care” source please? I bet you are either misquoting or quoting some spiv who has a lot of money to gain by increasing government spending in the health sector.

      In your “civilised society”, how many die from overdoses? How many die in car accidents? How many die in shootings, stabbings and bashings? How many suicide? You seem to know these things.

      What is the overlap between these events and your purported “inability to access health care”?

      The problem with people like you is that you know only one thing which is how to spend other people’s money.

    • Jacob says:

      08:14pm | 27/01/11

      PD,

      I wasn’t aware you were the gate keeper of freedom of speech in the country.  Please kindly provide details of where we forward our contributions for your evaluation as to whether they meet your lofty standards prior to publication.

      This site is full of jackasses.

    • AdamC says:

      08:12am | 27/01/11

      It is all about the economy, in particular the unemployment rate. Obama has hitched his wagon to the New York Times economic prescription of high spending, debt-funded stimulus. Thus far, it is difficult to argue that it has worked. If things aren’t much better in 2012, Obama will be in serious trouble, as the republican candidate will simply run on a ‘there’s no alternative’ fiscal austerity platform.

      The average US voter couldn’t care less about the merits of Keynesian demand management, but they do know what high unemployment and massive deficits are. Obama really needs to fix both to be in a shoo-in position in 2012.

    • James1 says:

      10:12am | 27/01/11

      I highly doubt that Obama, or whoever succeeds him, will be able to do anything about the deficit without first inflating their way out of their debt problem.  The Republicans like to talk fiscal responsibility, but GW Bush was just as fiscally irresponsible of Obama is, and it seems unlikely that this situation will change.  I worry for the futures of my American friends.  By comparison to their last two leaders, Ms Gillard’s government looks positively responsible.

    • AdamC says:

      10:29am | 27/01/11

      James1, devaluation will be part of the story, but I see benefit cuts and tax increases as necessary too. While Obama clearly isn’t resigned to tough medecine just yet, much of the rest of the American political class, Democrat and Republican, is getting the picture.

    • James1 says:

      10:47am | 27/01/11

      Personally, I hope there is some kind of partisan consensus on spending cuts and tax increases in the US, as that is the only way it will happen.  Tax increases in particular are electoral suicide in the US, and unless both parties have tax increases and austerity measures as part of their campaign platform, tax increases will not happen.  I hope you are right about the Democrats and Republican seeing the light.

      The pessimist in me expects a large part of the burden will be borne by inflating their currency, and this will cause pain for pretty much everyone else in the world.  Either way, interesting times ahead.

    • Cloud Strife says:

      08:13am | 27/01/11

      Can anyone explain why Americans are so against health care reforms?
      This is a serious question, before anyone makes a smart arse comment.

    • hot tub political machine says:

      09:00am | 27/01/11

      To my mind its all about the Horatio Alger myth. Many Americans really do believe it - and things like universal health care get in the way of it.

      Many Americans would rather live in a nation with out a safety net but where the “self-made man” can get rich quick, than live in a nation which protects the “unworthy”. It something that we really don’t get as Aussies but is a big part of their culture (it is still to my mind, a minority view - but it is a fair chunk of their society).

    • AdamC says:

      09:09am | 27/01/11

      Cloud Strife, there are a number of reasons Americans oppose healthcare reforms. I think the main ones are that a) universal or socialised medicine will put a huge strain on the Federal budget (even the more limited ‘Obamacare’ programs are hugely expensive) and b) bureaucrats will direct resources as they see fit, leading to treatment delays, lack of paitent choice etc.

      I think you also need to keep in mind that there has never been a great public demand for a system of public healthcare in the States, unlike in countries like Canada and the UK. Instead, it has been an obsession of the ‘liberal’ elite in the Democratic Party. I think voters everywhere are often sceptical of expensive, ‘top down’ reform proposals.

    • iansand says:

      09:16am | 27/01/11

      I watched a Republican spokesthing on Fox a week or so ago in Los Angeles.  Basically, his line was that they agree with the need for reform of the health care system, but that Obamacare is creeping socialism.  The opposition is ideological.

    • James1 says:

      10:15am | 27/01/11

      To add to what Adam says, almost every American I know does not see access to doctors and hospitals as a basic human right, like we do in Australia, and most other Western countries.  They see it as a privilege to be earned.  All of their other attitudes stem from this perception.

    • AdamC says:

      10:49am | 27/01/11

      There seems to be some regurgitation of anti-American stereotyping here. In reality, most of the ideological (as against general or practical) opposition to Obamacare were based around a) being forced to pay for something, health insurance, whether people wanted it or not, b) whether government insurance plans should be able to compete with private-sector plans and c) whether the programs might lead to ‘death panels’, in which clinicians and bureaucrats decided whether people would continue to receive treatment. 

      While foreign observers fixate themslevs on the lack of universal health coverage, the biggest problem with US healthcare is cost. However, it is not all bad - wait times for treatment are much shorter in the US than many other places, for example.

      James1, I don’t agree that access to doctors and hospitals is a ‘basic human right’. (I think that must be your socialism coming out again.) But I do think there are some benefits to having a basic system of universal healthcare.

    • James1 says:

      11:17am | 27/01/11

      Perhaps I should clear out the reds under my bed, Adam…

    • hot tub political machine says:

      12:13pm | 27/01/11

      Ah yes those whacko socialist and their belief in universal health care, like say the Liberal party…..

    • James1 says:

      12:44pm | 27/01/11

      I know that was a joke, htpm, but in terms of the US political spectrum the Liberal Party is quite socialist.  The definitions of left and right vary greatly between Australia and the US.

    • hot tub political machine says:

      01:00pm | 27/01/11

      That’s kinda what I was trying to say J1. I reckon the vast majority of Punchers who like to throw socialist out as an insult don’t realise they live under a socialist government regardless of which party is in power.

    • James1 says:

      01:30pm | 27/01/11

      Some of my American friends call us socialists with an absolutely straight face, htpm.  In my (admittedly anecdotal) experience, this has not increased since the ALP won the 2007 election.

    • Darin says:

      03:37pm | 27/01/11

      Most Americans, both Democrat and Republican, support health insurance reforms, such as removing annual coverage caps (a limit a company has to pay out in healthcare costs to a client in a single year), the removal of pre-existing conditions exemptions (when you change insurance company they can’t reject claims on conditions you had prior to joining them), and fully covering all ilnesses including full cancer treatments and mental health treatment.  There is partisan debate over the role of employer-funded health insurance vs individuals purchasing their own policies.

      However, a lot of Americans do not like the idea of expanding government run programs such as Medicaid (originally for persons on low income or with chronic illnesses) to cover people who can potentially afford to purchase their own insurance, while paying for it by cutting Medicare (for the elderly). They object to having to work and pay for insurance themselves, and then being taxed extra to pay for someone else.

      Others object to the huge cost involved in what has been passed at a time of rising deficits and when existing entitlement programs are escalating in cost with no plans to keep them in check. In a similar way, others object to the huge cost that has not been funded, particularly the costs it will impose on states who fund the main share of Medicaid programs, and that the bill included provisions such as employers having to submit a form to the IRS everytime they spent over $600 dollars, or that a significant revenue raiser was a tax on tanning salons.

    • Greg says:

      05:23pm | 27/01/11

      There is the ideological reason of being told what they have to do by the government, and the increasing socialism and loss of freedom.

      But mainly they don’t want to be forced to pay for insurance against their will, especially when they know that a minority of taxpayers will have to subsidise the majority who either don’t pay anything or underpay.

      Insurers will not be allowed to refuse coverage to those with pre-existing illnesses. Free healthcare also gets abused and overused because it is free.

      Insurance premiums will skyrocket, but people will be forced to pay them as they turn into mandatory taxes. That’s why Americans are so against so-called “health care reforms”. They will make a bad situation even worse.

      The real problem with the US health industry and the cause of its huge costs is litigation risk, and the associated malpractice insurance.

      Insurance companies mandate second and third opinions and medical tests to reduce and spead risk, which increase costs. But whenever there is a lawsuit, the legal costs, settlements and damages awards are astronomical. The health industry has to absorb all of these costs.

      There is a very simple solution which would fix most of the cost issues with the US health industry - pass a federal law which mandates that all punitive damages get paid to the government rather than the plaintiff.

      With the windfall incentive gone, lawsuits would plummet, and the savings will pass directly to insurance premiums and health care costs. Patients would win. Doctors and nurses would win. People who aren’t ill but pay for health insurance would win. Even insurance companies would win. But lawyers would lose.

      Of course, US congress (just like most legislatures) is stacked with lawyers, who would never pass such a law.

    • Disappointments says:

      08:16am | 27/01/11

      Obama won’t be returned. His State of the Union speech contained his obligatory Muslim mention - an unfortunate habit that Americans have come to loathe and typical of the liberal elite who think Muslim extremists are bred by a xenophobic society which rejects them. Hence they go into overdrive to ensure Muslims are (tediously) included always and everywhere.
      That trend is also here, such as the Australia Day Council where board member Prof Samina Yasmeen, Director of the Centre for Muslim States and Societies sits, with no apparent Australian religious-based counterpart representative. 
      Obama, a former community organiser, was too inexperienced, merely riding to power on a wave of sanctimonious enthusiasm.  Americans are culturally industrious with high standard of living expectations, but his socialist policies do not encourage prosperity so their employment troubles will not conclude until he and their handicapping unions have been kicked into oblivion.
      Just on our Australia Day, wouldn’t it be nice to see some of our magnificent life-saving medical personnel receive recognition. Mr McKeon obviously a nice bloke, but isn’t the award meant to recognise more than charity? Australians don’t need to be lectured about giving - we are already a widely generous culture. This year’s choice is a disappointment. The award is a recognition of good citizenship, not a public stage to promote personal beliefs.
      Obama and Australian of the Year Award 2011 have something in common. Lightweight appointments.

    • jk says:

      11:20am | 27/01/11

      Christ, what an arsehole…

    • watty says:

      08:17am | 27/01/11

      With gems like this
      “When you’re flying a plane and the plane’s too heavy, you don’t throw the engine out,” and suggesting this was America’s” sputnik time” Obama makes less sense than even “Our Kevin”

      Obviously this was the work of his much improved staff?

    • Grumpy says:

      08:50am | 27/01/11

      Whats so hard to understand about this? He was saying that America needs the kind of innovation in technology as it had with the space race. Yea i guess that is pretty hard to understand…if you didn’t listen to the entire speech.

    • PaulB says:

      08:18am | 27/01/11

      Same reason Bush got elected twice.  Diebold Voting Systems.

    • LC says:

      08:30am | 27/01/11

      At the end of the day it matters little who gets in. Everyone who ends up as the US president will be as corrupt and morally bankrupt as their predecessor.

    • GeorgeTerryBush says:

      08:37am | 27/01/11

      yes, Change we Can fool Americans by Obama and Oprah of the Oval office of America and Kenya.

    • Uncle Jimmy says:

      08:55am | 27/01/11

      You make five excellent points, Tom. I am interested in your thoughts on whether Condoleeza Rice would make a good candidate. To me, she presents as an impressive, no nonsense and extraordinarily intelligent lady leaving aside the political benefits from a gender and racial perspective.

    • nossy says:

      09:23am | 27/01/11

      Obama will sweep back into power as the realisation hits true Americans that they cannott risk the country being run by Redneck nutters like Sarah Palin and Co. Just as in Australia where the Liberal Party has been temporaily hijacked by Redneck nutters so too the Republican movement in the US. Obama to win easily next election and Gillard to romp home also. How sweet it is ! Goodbye Redneck nutters !  hahahahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    • Original Zac says:

      09:37am | 27/01/11

      I wish ideological comments like these will re-elect the Weather Undergrounder.

    • TimB says:

      10:04am | 27/01/11

      Speaking of nutters….

    • Original Zac says:

      09:44am | 27/01/11

      50% White + 50% Black = Black Obama is the most divisive and ideological person in the history of America. By the time he becomes a one termer, that division of America would be complete.

    • Cyclone Stu says:

      09:59am | 27/01/11

      Of course Obama is favourite to win… mainly because as Nossy says of his incumbency. However…

      point 3 on Palin is almost redundant. She probably won’t nominate, and if she did she certainly won’t win the nomination. The fascination with Palin subtracts from serious analysis of the real Republican contenders.

      Speaking of which, point 4 on the unknown GOP field is pretty redundant too. No one much had heard of Obama in 2006. W Bush was mainly known in 1998 for being the son of an ex-President. Clinton was unknown in 1990. Jimmy Carter had 3% name recognition in Gallup polls in 1974. The only guys who have become President who were well known two years out from the election were blokes who had been Vice Presidents (LBJ, Nixon, and Bush Snr) or who had been culturally prominent (Reagan).

      The GOP nominee is likely to come from Romney, Pawlenty, Barbour, Daniels, or Thune. If you haven’t heard of any of them, then don’t worry. You will. Just like if you hadn’t heard of Obama in 2006 you soon did.

      One point to make which definitely assists the Republicans is that after the most recent census, the electoral college situation has changed. Because the population in the south is booming, and because the NE is in decline, there have been 12 electoral college votes which have left Obama states and gone to McCain states from 2008.

      In the end, it will all come down to the economy. The Republicans will frame health care around the debt and deficit. That probably won’t do them a jot of good if jobs and GDP have gathered pace.  If the economy remains mired though, then it is game on.

    • Richard says:

      05:07pm | 27/01/11

      Ron Paul, perennial contender in the Republican primaries, is a real dark horse. He is pretty much the revered old grandfather of the Tea Party movement, whilst his decades of experience as a congressmen will ensure that establishment Republicans are not too scared off by his candidacy.

      Obama has no chance to retain office, because imo hyper-inflation will cause the US$ to completely implode before the end of 2012, and the political fallout from such a huge catastrophe as this will be inescapable.

    • Original Zac says:

      10:10am | 27/01/11

      The Palin Factor

      Today, the conversation turned to Sarah Palin and my latest acquaintance blurted out:

      “Oh I hate her.” 

      Since she did not yet know my politics, and since we were in Los Angeles, it is clear that she expected to hear back what you usually hear back in this city:

      “Yeah, I hate her, too.”  Instead, I asked her why.

      At this point I could have predicted her response because it’s the same response you get from liberals no matter who on the Right you’re talking about:

      “Because she’s stupid.”

      I replied: “Being stupid is no reason to hate someone, but tell me, which one of her policies do you disagree with?”  It wasn’t hard to predict her response:

      “All of them!”

      I continued to push.  “Well, then, if it’s all of them, it should be easy for you to name one.”  Her reply? 

      “They’re too many to list.”

      “So don’t list them, just give me one,” I said.

      This went on for awhile until my new acquaintance finally admitted that she didn’t know any of Ms. Palin’s policies. 

      Before she ran off – Democrats always run off when asked to provide facts to justify their hatred for Republicans – I looked her in the eyes and said, “If you don’t know any of her policies, perhaps you should look into them.”  She promised she would.  She won’t.

      Why the Left Hates Sarah Palin

      http://frontpagemag.com/2011/01/18/why-the-left-hates-sarah-palin/

    • James1 says:

      12:31pm | 27/01/11

      Don’t worry about why the left don’t like Palin - they would never vote Repbulican anyway.

      You need to focus on why conservatives and independents in the US don’t like Sarah Palin.

    • Zac says:

      12:10am | 28/01/11

      James1,

      Gov. Palin who is dumb and a ignorant lady to the left with no Ivy degree = intelligence = 9% unemployment and to top it all a PRIVATE CITIZEN, is consistently polling at 45+% two years ahead of the election. What does that tell you? No wonder the Dumbcrats are fuming?

    • James1 says:

      10:17am | 28/01/11

      It tells me that you seem to think a lack of education makes a person intelligent, and that anti-intellectualism is rife in the US if she polls 45 percent, which she doesn’t right now (more like 30 percent after she tried to paint herself as a victim after the shootings in Arizona).  Conservative politics has a rich intellectual tradition, stretching back to Burke, Mill, and beyond.  We should not turn our backs on this to appeal to the lowest common denominator.  There are so many good, intelligent, educated candidates that the GOP does not need to resort to this shallow populist who relies on slogans (much like Obama) to get her point across.

    • Original Zac says:

      01:29pm | 28/01/11

      Where have I stated “lack of education makes a person intelligent” don’t put words in my mouth. Sarah Palin has a bachelors in Journalism but the elephant (that some how escapes your intellect) in the room is this, only the Ivy industry is considered intelligent. So any one out side this industry is labelled anti-intellectual. So take up this issue with the Bamic forces.
      Whatever % (that too one poll) makes you happy will have no effect on her in the long term. She still polls above 45+. So watch out buddy. The so called intelligent and intolerant lefties attacked Gov. Palin and she defended herself, so that to you is “paint herself as a victim”. She is a power to be reckoned with, tell me other wise why would the Bamic forces attack her.

      Ivy education will not make a person intelligent and will NOT solve a nations problems or challenges, Obama is a proof of that. All it is does is make a person educated with a ideological bend. Obama’s associations and belief systems should tell you that. The attacks I listed in my main comment and others examples of liberal hate against Gov. Palin should tell you it is the liberals who appeal to the lowest common denominator.

      There are so many good, intelligent, educated candidates that the GOP does not need to resort to this shallow populist who relies on slogans (much like Obama) to get her point across.>>

      It is the good, intelligent and educated - mainly democrats - that caused GFC, not the garbage collectors or train drivers. Gov. Palin is offering alternative policy’s, what’s wrong with that. It is a market place of ideas. Why fear? Then again did slogans - hopey/changey - help Obama secure the presidency, yes it did with the media’s help and skin colour.

    • Original Zac says:

      10:23am | 27/01/11

      While Tom’s Obamic euphoria is all good, the reality is this:

      But now looms a reality check - namely the $US14 trillion that Washington owes the rest of the world, along with the record federal budget deficit on which Congress has yet to sign off. This threatens to stymie Obama’s agenda just as he seeks to gain early momentum in his 2012 re-election bid.

      The Republican charge against Obama is simple: his stewardship has failed to deliver on jobs, while plunging the nation deeper into debt and nearer, they argue, to the sort of fiscal reckoning now being rent on some European economies.

      Obama may well have sounded the right notes in a speech that rang heavily with campaign rhetoric at the expense of clear policy prescriptions: for starters, a proposed five-year freeze in non-security-related government spending, as well as a pledge to find further savings. But his opening gambit would trim just $US400 billion over the next decade, nowhere near enough to appease Republicans hell-bent on putting government spending to the sword.

      Obama’s debt bell tolls

      http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/obamas-debt-bell-tolls-20110126-1a5ee.html

    • Amused says:

      10:30am | 27/01/11

      How humorous it is to read an Australian perspective of American politics. We should send Micheal Moore, Oprah AND Whoopi to live permanently with you guys. They probably don’t have birth certificates also.

    • Tommy Tudehope says:

      11:12am | 27/01/11

      Pretty shallow piece.

      Don’t ask don’t tell, whilst a legislative victory is hardly a watershed moment in politics that will have a transformative effect on the majority rather than the minority.

      Whilst the Arizona speech was excellent, again, it was responsive and circumstantial.

      Palin won’t be the GOP candidate and a cursory glance at the current state of play within the Republican party demonstrates as much. Ryan, Rubio ticket looking likely.

      Obama will be lucky to survive in 2012. Hillary was right - there is not much too him beyond a good speech or two.

    • Blazes says:

      11:27am | 27/01/11

      Exactly, Tommy - Obama is the classic case of the triumph of spin and empty rhetoric over substance and tough policy decisions. It will be his undoing in 2012.

    • James1 says:

      11:46am | 27/01/11

      Correct up to a point.  John McCain had substance, until he nominated his VP candidate…

    • AussieJazzman says:

      04:06pm | 28/01/11

      I think one of the biggest mistakes of the first two years of the Obama campaign was his handling of the health care bill.  The bill contained some very substantial provisions to lower the cost of health care to Americans and broaden the coverage they are offered.  However, these positive moves largely come into place beyond 2014, and the details of what they do was drowned out by nonsensical (but well-coordinated) screams of DEATH PANELS from the Right.  Assuming the Bill survives the constitutional challenge being launched at it, it should provide results over the long term.  The long term nature of those benefits is probably the biggest hurdle to widespread acceptance of the bill (despite the fact that most people support the measures in the bill when presented to them individually).

      The other thing you overlook is how vicious the Republican primaries are going to be.  Whilst I agree with your assessment that Palin probably won’t win, the large and vocal minority who support her will attempt to tear to shreds anyone who dares criticise St Sarah.  The impact that this name-calling and intensely personal campaign will have on the willingness of independents to vote Republican will determine the chances of the eventual nominee.  The danger for the Republicans (keeping in mind I don’t want them to win) is that the conservative purists will drag the nominee to the right, or at least force them to attach a Sarah Palin-esque VP to the ticket.

    • stephen says:

      11:31am | 27/01/11

      Barack Obama will have a problem only if the recent trade arrangements with China does not reduce the current unemployment rate of 9.4 %.
      China has been manipulating its currency for too long, and the recent meeting between the two leaders should result in the US’s benefit.
      As well, Brazil, Argentina and now Russia are suffering poor crop yields, which should assist the US agricultural export markets.
      The American Capitalist ethic has always recognized the cyclic nature of its’ monetary systems.
      The current position is not unusual.

    • Ziggy says:

      01:06pm | 27/01/11

      Ed Koch’s view on Palin is best. She cannot become President but…...
      ‘In the 2008 presidential race when Sarah Palin’s name was first offered to the public by John McCain as his running mate, I said at the time that she “scared the hell out of me.” My reference was to the content of her remarks, not to her power to persuade voters.
      It was McCain who lost the presidential election, not Palin. Since that time she has established that she has enormous power to persuade people. A self-made woman who rose from PTA mother to Governor of Alaska, she is one of the few speakers in public life who can fill a stadium. Her books are enormous successes. Her television program about Alaska has been a critical and economic success. When Sarah Palin addresses audiences, they rise to their feet in support and applause. She is without question a major leader of the far right faction in the Republican Party and its ally the Tea Party.
      I repeat my earlier comment that she “scares the hell out of me.” Nevertheless, she is entitled to fair and respectful treatment. The fools in politics today in both parties are those who think she is dumb. I’ve never met her, but I’ve always thought that she is highly intelligent but not knowledgeable in many areas and politically uninformed. I don’t believe she will run for president in 2012 or that she would be elected if she did. But I do believe she is equal in ability to many of those in the Republican Party seeking that office.
      Many women understand what she has done for their cause. She will not be silenced nor will she leave the heavy lifts to the men in her Party. She will not be falsely charged, remain silent, and look for others - men - to defend her. She is plucky and unafraid.
      While I disagree with her and I am prepared to oppose her politically, in the spirit of longed-for civility I say, Ms. Palin you are in a certain sense an example of the American dream: You have the courage to stand up and present your vision of America to its people. Your strength and lack of fear make America stronger and are examples to be emulated by girls and boys, men and women who are themselves afraid to speak up. You provide the example that they need for self-
      assurance’

      I have seen Palin at work in business at close range. Believe me she is extremely intelligent and capable but cannot become President because of any bumber of factors - none of them relating to her wrongly perceived image of ‘dumb and unsophitiscated’.

      I would rate her streets ahead of Obama in any number of factors whom I regard as one of the biggets frauds ever to have attained high office - an empty vessel without a moral compass who can speak well (with a teleprompter) but at his core has no spine - he is the original ‘man in a grey flannel suit’. Just another puppet produced by the infamous Chicago political machine.

    • James says:

      03:16pm | 27/01/11

      Excellent contribution. The last para is 100% spot on.There is nothing more damaging than to have someone in charge who can inflict great damage but on the surface looks the goods. He is all style, no substance.

    • ibast says:

      01:41pm | 27/01/11

      It will be a shame if Obama looses.  It’s hard to deny his presidency has been grossly hamstrung by the GFC.  Much of the negative stigma of his presidency is a direct result of that.  The irony here is that if you were to point fingers about the GFC it would have to be at big business and the republican party.  Still people are suffering now in the states and that was all then, so logic doesn’t always dictate decision under these circumstances.

    • Ziggy says:

      03:20pm | 27/01/11

      Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac etc had nothing to do with the Republican Party - it was an all Democrat effort from start to woe. And they still don’t understand what they did! Really scary - and many democrats had their grubby littler fingers in that pie.

    • Greg says:

      05:39pm | 27/01/11

      The main cause of the GFC (phase one) was sub-prime loans. This was where people (mostly minorities) who could not afford to make their mortgage payments were given large loans anyway.

      Why? Because the Democrats wanted to buy some extra votes from low income people, so they changed the laws to allow the banks to sell on more sub-prime loans to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

      The then Senator Obama voted for this. The banks gave loans to anybody with a pulse. There was a huge housing bubble, and then a huge collapse.

      Of course the Republicans did nothing to stop all this, because the Democrats would have accused them of racism if they stopped minorities from buying houses and “achieving the American dream”.

      There is no doubt that Bush was a disaster as a president. Worse than any who came before him. But Obama is worse again. In his state of the union speech yesterday, Obama said that he’ll add 75% to the nation’s official national debt - three times more than all the presidents who came before him put together (including Bush).

      I think that ibast needs to put his tinfoil hat back on.

    • Paul says:

      02:41pm | 27/01/11

      You need 5 reasons….

      Ill give you 1

      THE WHOLE GAME IS RIGGED of course hes going to hold onto hes quasi Nazi states of america..

      goes without saying ... that poison is already in our governemtn..

      gillard is a Commie socialist dog. Like the many labor leaders before her… all marxist socialist fabian society commies..

      Wake Up Australia.

    • ibast says:

      02:47pm | 27/01/11

      I’ve taken to wearing an aluminium foil hat so they can’t read my mind.

    • hot tub political machine says:

      02:58pm | 27/01/11

      ibast I you nearly made me lose it at my work desk. Please try to be less funny.

    • Stop the illuminati says:

      02:23pm | 28/01/11

      You just wait ibast. We will defeat you secret commies, Obama will not win the next election.

    • JAZ says:

      03:08pm | 27/01/11

      It really makes no difference which side of politics is represented in the White House. Left and Right are both corrupted and controlled by forces that have no interest in the day to day squabbles of the average dullard that lives in America.
      Each and every President serves the same master , the glabal banks.
      If Obama was serious about change in America he would start by having the Federal Reserve held to public investigation and public scrutiny. Until that happens nothing will change. It was put to the senate and unbelievably overturned with out so much as a hiccup. The US Federal Reserve is the source of alot of the evil in America and is accountable to no one. The average US citizen has no idea the Trillions of dollars of their taxes used on everything else except what they believe they voted on and for. Unfortunately it matters very little what Obama or any other successive president does in America for a very long time. The more the media fans this great left - right division between the population things will get increasingly worse. The country is trapped in so much debt its alomost beyond comprehension. The gap between the have’s and the have not’s in the US is massive and that wont change anytime soon regardless of whose in power…

    • Greg says:

      04:57pm | 27/01/11

      Obama will have to find his birth certificate first, which might be difficult given that his friend and ally the recently elected governor of Hawaii couldn’t find a copy, despite promising to end this “right wing conspiracy theory” once and for all.

      It looks like this “right wing conspiracy theory” will prove to be as correct as the last one, which said that Bill Clinton had sex with Monica Lewinsky.

      Now there are several states preparing to pass laws requiring presidential candidates to prove their constitutional eligibility before they can have their names placed on ballots.

      My prediction: Obama won’t even run for a second term, let alone win one.

    • Jack Darville says:

      05:26pm | 27/01/11

      The one puppet master controls both the Republican Party and the Democratic party.  Either way, Wall street has hijacked the white house - The banker bailouts were the biggest theft in western history.  Only Ron Paul can save the US - Any candidate who is a member of the CFR (Councel on Foreign Relations) is a hack and puppet for the banker elites who run the US.  Romney, Bush, Obama and Hilary are all on the CFR.  One Puppet master.

    • john tracey says:

      05:35pm | 27/01/11

      o’bama is irish.
      he has luck on his side.

    • john tracey says:

      05:39pm | 27/01/11

      Hilary Clinton will be next USA president by defeating Sarah Palin in an election.

    • wake up to the manipulation says:

      11:40pm | 27/01/11

      Five reasons NObama should never be reelected:

      1. Outstanding National debt as of Jan 27th is US$14,074,339,204,153.12
      2. The estimated population of the United States is 309,922,503
      so each citizen’s share of this debt is $45,412.45.
      3.The National Debt has continued to increase an average of
      $4.16 billion per day since September 28, 2007
      4.The first 3 are reason a-plently
      5. See number 4

      Hey NObama “How’s that hope and change working out for ya?”
      http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/

    • Zac says:

      12:18am | 28/01/11

      Liberals claim they are intelligent and rationals but behave like Darwinian animals, now I know why millions were killed during the Commie utopia around the world:

      AngryLib Tue, Jan 25, 2011, 5:14 AM

      I am a really angry progressive, and not only do I freakin’ obsess about Sarah Palin, but I just fume and start to foam at the mouth about her kids. While generally, I approve any kind of sexual expression, I become a raving Puritan about a girl who had a baby out of wedlock because she’s related to someone I disagree with. I’m just grateful that the media shares my psychoses.

      Read more:
      http://au.eonline.com/uberblog/b222288_bristol_palins_got_new_man.html#ixzz1CFFWdrzN

    • Paul says:

      07:53am | 28/01/11

      Do you even know about the NAU? Or the plans to continue the invasion of Afghanistan for several more years? Do you know about the Carlyle group? Or any of the actual facts of 9/11?

      No, you probably don’t.

      Get real - America is the most corrupt country in the world. Open your eyes and wake up.

      Watch this movie that was released online yesterday, and learn something about the reality of the western world - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9WVZddH9w

    • ally says:

      01:03pm | 05/02/11

      As an American living in Australia, I am constantly amazed by how much Tom Mcilroy knows about American politics.  I would consult your column from anywhere in the world. 

      re the SOTU address: did it bother you how competitive Obama is against other nations?  I quite prefer politics.tom as our president.

 

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A crude stereotype is the hallmark of a lame card

A crude stereotype is the hallmark of a lame card

Went to buy a card the other day for a friend’s birthday. Approached the vast card stand along…

Punch on: Open thread 25/05/2012

Punch on: Open thread 25/05/2012

Last week, the Friday open thread featured an image of a baby hippo. They’re more attractive than…

Nosebleed Section

choice ringside rantings

From: They must pay for one’s bitter disappointments

Michael S says:

"A teacher at Geelong Grammar had criticised her for using words that were too long, which had left her confused and had made her doubt her ability to write essays. She became ''quite distressed'' when her English marks began to fall." I can sympathise. My scholastic mentors conveyed to me a causal relationship… [read more]

From: Welfare for breeders is a bonus for everyone

Change Up! says:

I have no problem paying my taxes. As a single, childless person on a very decent income, I can afford it and not have my life severely altered. Plus I understand that my taxes paying for things like schools, childcare and infrastructure is ultimately a good thing. A better community is better for me… [read more]

Gentle jabs to the ribs

They must pay for one’s bitter disappointments

They must pay for one’s bitter disappointments

A private school girl’s family is sueing her elite, extremely expensive private school for not… Read more

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