It’s being heralded as a breakthrough and a huge win for the new Prime Minister Julia Gillard - a deal with the biggest three miners on what was once called the Resource Super Profits Tax.

Aside from a less scary new name (the Mineral Resource Rent Tax) eight days into her tenure Gillard has dropped the rate from 40 per cent to 30 per cent, and increased the threshold for kick-in from about 6 per cent to about 13 per cent. The latter will ensure the number of companies effected will be slashed from the many thousand to the few hundred.
The backdown (let’s call it what it is), will cost the Government’s Budget bottom line about $1.5 billion. To compensate the Government has decided not to cut the across-the-board company tax rate from 30 per cent to 28 per cent, instead cutting it to 29 per cent from 2013-14.
If Kevin Rudd had done this deal he would have been crucified - but last night there a call came from the cabinet room - “champagne!”.
Treasurer Wayne Swan has spent the last couple of months talking tough about how the RSPT was virtually non-negotiable, and the big miners were bullying both the Government and their smaller counterparts.
Presumably he was talking about BHP, Rio Tinto and Xstrata, the three companies in the room with the PM last night.
As Gillard said just now in her press conference the RSPT the new Deputy Prime Minister fought so hard for is effectively dead.
“There will be no Resource Super Profits Tax,” Gillard said.
Swan congratulated his new boss, saying: “Her intervention changed the tone of this debate and has led to this breakthrough.” He also called it a “sensible outcome”, which has to make you wonder about the slightly hysterical line he’s been running from the time of the release of the Henry Tax review until this morning.
He was unable to explain how the across-the-board companies were now supposed to deliver 12 per cent superannuation contributions now the company tax rate would only drop one per centage point instead of two.
As Gillard repeated numerous times this morning, she brought a “new approach” to the negotiations. That’s an understatement. And Swan heavily intimated that under Gillard’s leadership there was a much greater willingness to negotiate than there was under Kevin Rudd.
“In the last few days there has been a marked change of attitude, and I think we all noticed it.”
Gillard had set today as a deadline for a deal, which might explain that change of attitude, and the willingness to effectively kill off the Rudd/Swan RSPT.
Now the final nail will be getting it through the Senate, which Greens leader Bob Brown has indicated will be no small feat. Conveniently for the Government, Swan said it’s unlikely to hit the Upper House “this year”, so the tax is now effectively just an election promise.
The details of the impact on the Budget bottom line will be released later today.
But you can bet the cabinet room wasn’t the only place where champagne corks were popping last night. The big miners must have been tempted to toast what can only be described as a huge victory.
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