Now I have vacated the job of helping edit news.com.au, let me reveal my dreadful desire to write an almost unthinkable headline: “Rates hike means more gain for savers”.

Deadset legend

It’s pretty well inconceivable that any major media outlet would lead with this sentiment for fear of alienating all the hard-pressed homeowners, the millions of working families and Aussie battlers feeling the pinch in the ever-tightening mortgage belt.

This holds true from the most rabid reactionary radio shock jock, through the marching minions of Murdochdom (I am yet to hand back the company-issued electric shock collar), to the fairy floss fops of Fairfax and even unto the ABC commissars of collectivist cant.

Rate rises, which by law must be referred to as “hikes” in tabloidese, are always couched in terms of “threat”, “risk”, “gloom and “pain”.

If they don’t occur it leads to the rapid journalistic deployment of “relief” and perhaps also “spared”, “respite” and even “hope”.

Being generally less welcome than Eddie McGuire’s special commentary on the gay mardi gras, rate rises just can’t get good press.

Though it will undoubtedly earn much ire, let me baldly state what many would find uncharitable, if not downright unacceptable and unAustralian.

Three cheers for interest rate rises.

C’mon RBA keeping ratcheting ‘em up, go you good thing Glenn Stevens, bump higher those basis points.

Yes, this is mostly selfish and not because I pretend to understand the intricacies of monetary policy beyond the fact that M1 can mean something other than a highway.

I am about to go on an overseas trip and higher rates give the Aussie dollar a tickle-up.

This fuels my dreams of sleeping inside occasionally or at least buying thicker newspapers to lie on.

I know it is irrational and not so good for exporters but it’s also hard not to feel a twinge of nationalistic pride at seeing the little gilt-edged Aussie battler seriously go the Greenback or pound the pound.

Painfully I remember when proffering wads of Australian notes across the counter of an overseas bank or money booth would elicit the exchange rate of one disdainful look, a muffled snort, some loose change shaken out of the coffee jar and, if you were lucky, three tufts of pocket lint. 

I do realise not even the prospect of the all-devouring dollar comforts those in hock for a house or tussling with the bank to keep open a business.

There is the also the risk that costly credit could make the economy stall faster than Russell Crowe’s singing career.

However I think you can still question a news narrative that unfailingly elevates the interests of a partially propertied class over the hopes of a shamefully marginalised minority, which I happen to belong to, those who save money.

Well, let’s be proud to get back in black and decry the discrimination inflicted upon the forgotten heroes of hoard.

The banks’ interest in interest usually stops some way short of paying it out.

As well as the ritual hawk-eyed rush to round on the banks for raising home loan rates perhaps there should be more attention paid to any concurrent reluctance to “hike” account returns.

The tax system offers little incentive to savers, generally demanding you cough up again on the money earned by money which has already been taxed.

Most of the tax breaks and windfalls, such as negative gearing and the recent first home buyers’ grant, are more likely to encourage those eager to take fickle financial flight on the currency currents of overdraft.

My grandparents used to say of me that I would “turn every penny over twice” before spending it but they weren’t entirely disapproving unless I didn’t give them their penny back and tried to fob them off with a button.

Their attitudes were tempered by the Great Depression and led to much head shaking at all the Baby Boomer extravagance.

Just as I shake my head at the Gen Ys and Xs and annoy my wife for the umpteenth time by asking whether the TV ads indicate people actually pay to get a different mobile ringtone.

Gratifyingly it sometimes seems the GFC has made newly respectable scrimping, investing and living within your means, after years where the glamour largely attached to those finding ever fancier ways to gold emboss IOUs.

Not everyone can emulate Scrooge, or we would indeed be economically screwed, but it does seem some balance needs restoring when only borrowers get the headline treatment.

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24 comments

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    • Tom says:

      07:30am | 04/03/10

      Good to see some non - populist coverage of the issue. The comments of Joe Hockey make me think economics should be compulsory in schools. Yes he was correct in saying that the spending packages were partly responsible for the rate rises, but he neglected to mention the reason for that is that our economy is in far better shape than just about everywhere else in the world, again partly as a result of the stimulus spending. The RBA aims to run counter cyclical monetary policy - i.e. flatten out the business cycle meaning less fluctuation in economic activity. This means that in times of slow down, there will be cuts, and in times of upswings rates will be higher.

      Sure, this will mean higher mortgage payments, but ultimately which would you prefer - higher interest rates and ~5% unemployment, or lower rates and >10% unemployment, as seen in many other developed countries? A few percentage points on the mortgage is easier to deal with than the loss of a job, not to mention the fact that loose monetary policy played a big part in starting the US crisis in the first instance (and by the way, the well known socialist publication The Economist said that, so no, I am not a Labor stooge).

    • Matt Stewart says:

      03:00pm | 04/03/10

      See that’s half the problem.  People take high school economics and then think they have a clue what they are talking about. At least people who never studied economics are more inclined to shut their mouths.

    • Matt says:

      08:01am | 04/03/10

      40 year old male and debt free!! Get em up Swaneeeeeeeee!
      I want 18% interest rates so I can but a macmansion for $2.99 and upsize for another 50cents!!!
      Selfish? Yes I know!!! No more selfish than the morons borrowing 500k to buy one now.

    • Tom says:

      10:12am | 04/03/10

      Good on you mate. It seems off that people who are responsible such as yourself aren’t the concern of the mainstream media, who instead prefer to publicise the plight of idiots who borrow far more than they can comfortably service. My parents always taught me to take responsibility for your own actions, if you bought a property at record low interest rates and expected them to stay there, then I have no sympathy for you.

      As far as you and me are concerned, the higher the better.

      But just by the by, the RBA board sets interest rates, not Wayne Swan.

    • Rusty says:

      10:44am | 04/03/10

      I’m with you Tom,

      I’m hoping with interest rates going up there will be a fair few over-extended idiots who will have no choice but to sell me a house at a very “reasonable” price!

      Survival of the fittest

    • Sucessful First Home Buyer says:

      01:21pm | 04/03/10

      @ Rusty - the fittest are likely to hold onto their houses mate, which means you loose in the end. There’ll be a few bargains from people who flew too close to the sun, but these will be snapped up by investors before you can blink. Plus, unless there is a (highly unlikely) significant property crash, you’re not going to get a house at a reasonable price, just like the rest of us, and you’re going to feel the pain of rate rises too (unless you pay for your house in full, hahahahaah) so I wouldn’t start thinking you’re above it all.

      This strategy / tactics are not how one comes to own property. You may want to rethink. Just my two cents.

    • formersnag, not leftard or rightard but centerist. says:

      08:11am | 04/03/10

      Historically low interest rates, have also led to, real estate values, going ever higher, during boom years & even continuing to rise during the GFC. It may even be unsustainable according to many industry & economic annalists?

      Of course deficits/debt, for us all, federal, state, local, business & consumers, will keep interest rates going up. Then there is the current account deficit.. If other world economies continue going down. Then our mining exports may drop. If the big screen TVs continue being imported, there is even more pressure on rates to go up, WAY UP.

    • Stefano says:

      08:55am | 04/03/10

      Send ‘em up, Huey!!!

    • AdamC says:

      09:21am | 04/03/10

      This is entirely the idea of interest rates. Rates go up, saving is encouraged; borrowing is discouraged. It works in practice as well as in theory. When I was saving for a house deposit a couple of years ago and getting 7%+ on my savings, I was in no hurry to take on a mortgage. When Lehmans fell over and rates fell to the floor, I bought a place quick smart.

      Now, of course, rates increases are bad for me (though, obviously, I realised they would be coming). But many people do benefit from higher rates, especially older savers. Which makes the tabloid media’s angle rather difficult to understand, given their disproportionately grey-haired audiences.

    • Danie says:

      09:23am | 04/03/10

      Yep, without any debt and savings sitting around collecting interest, I love a good rate rise. But I’m sure one day my position will be the opposite, and I’ll return to mourning every rise.

    • Greypower says:

      10:52am | 04/03/10

      interest rates too high? 

      get a grip you people - we had to sell our farm in ‘87 because the interest rate was 23% - when/if it gets to that——then you can complain!

    • A-bomb says:

      01:59pm | 04/03/10

      Is that back in the days when a 1000 acre farm cost $100,000? Unlike now when a quarter-acre block in the outer suburbs costs $500,000+.

      It is pointless comparing interest rates of the late 80’s with the late 00’s given the disparity of purchase prices for similar properties between these two decades.

    • Formersnag, not leftard or rightard but centerist. says:

      02:52pm | 04/03/10

      Yes, A-bomb, but, that’s kinda the point. Interest rates were higher then, but the leveraging is higher now. So it won’t take, anywhere near, as big an interest rate rise, to break people.

      The rest of the world’s economies, other than China, may continue tanking. China has an expanding property bubble. Which, they also had in the late 80’s, early 90’s. It burst then, should do so again, soon. That means, we sell less minerals.

      Tighten those belts & adjust those seatbelts, gentlemen. As the Chinese would say, “we may live, in interesting times” during the next 1 to 5 years. Maybe all that stimulus spending was to delay, rather than stop, the recession, till after the next election, anyway.

    • shabangabang says:

      11:54am | 04/03/10

      I’m a renter and even I want interest rates jacked up by at least 2%. Surely there will be plenty of bargains available when those dumb enough to think rates would stay that low forever default. Bring it on.

    • AFR says:

      03:11pm | 04/03/10

      So, you’ll be happy when your landlord passes on the interest rates to you in the form of a rent rise?

    • Toby says:

      12:31pm | 04/03/10

      Greypower, you were greedy and borrowed beyond your means.  If you couldn’t budget and look after yourself then don’t expect sympathy from others.  I guess that is pretty typical of the baby boomer generation!

    • formersnag, not leftard or rightard but centerist. says:

      01:35pm | 04/03/10

      No Toby, every generation. As the old saying goes, “there is one born every minute”. Just as, many sheeple got caught up in GFC “issues” like “Storm Finance”. There were “entrepreneurs” & “investment advisers” around in the 80’s, who destroyed a lot of lives, selling the same old brand of snake oil.

      We had our own “sub prime mortgage” crisis in 1990 to 1997 when many, near new homes in mortgage belt suburbs were bought, for not much more than half of what the, “in trouble” young couples had payed for them.

    • Toby says:

      02:32pm | 04/03/10

      Sarcasm!  It was a parody of the typical baby boomer haranguing every time a member of the younger generations meets a similar fate.

    • A-Bomb says:

      01:49pm | 04/03/10

      I’m in my late 20’s with no debts other than a credit card bill and I reckon they should just keep lifting them, as 18 months ago it was great getting almost 8% interest on my savings.

      As I look to buy a house in the next few years when I finally finish uni and “real job”, I am hoping for there to be a glut of properties on the market that cashed-up bogans have sold because repayments got too much as interest rates go back towards 8%.

      ...and I am aware that this is a very simplistic view of economic principles.

    • Tom Petty says:

      02:01pm | 04/03/10

      There’s that many people stating the old Bearish remark “I cannot wait for property to crash and snap up a bargain from all the over extended people and FHB’s”...........seriously, there’s that many of you on the sidelines you look like a bunch of sea gulls waiting to pounce.  Good luck fighting it out, it’ll probably drive prices back out of any decrease.

    • B says:

      11:33am | 05/03/10

      One simple fact remains, there is only so much a bank will lend, end of story.  While average earnings for people vs house price gets wider, the more and more people will not be able to get into the market.  This is why the rent market is so tight right now, the major disparity between average earnings and house prices.

    • Brett L says:

      09:47pm | 04/03/10

      Banks don’t make money from rate hikes. They make money from increased property value. My first home was $49,000.00 at 17% interest from Citibank.
      But the bank profit from that is nothing compared to 8% on a $650,000.00 home now. Don’t be fooled by the hype and smoke.

    • Sam Chowder says:

      10:44pm | 04/03/10

      Of course Glenn Stevens doesn’t have a problem with raising interest rates, he receives very healthy repeat fees for his portrayal of John Locke in “Lost”

    • Greg says:

      07:46am | 08/03/10

      So Tom petty
      what happened in the USA
      After just coming back from living in europe for 10 years i was astonished to see the “religion” of house buying here in OZ
      If anyone truly believes that the price of houses in this country are Ok and acceptable then they are truly delusional
      What is it that in the 60s and maybe 70s a man working at a foundry could buy a house and still support his family with the wife staying home to raise the children,something amiss now maybe
      Dont be brainwashed like the herd,there is many an argument that house buying is a bad argument,particularly now in Australia

 

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