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Campaign countdown: Julia now whistling her own tune

Leo Shanahan

by Leo Shanahan

28 Jun 05:57am

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Filed under: Asylum Seekers, Campaign Countdown, Julia Gillard, Population, Refugees

34 comments

Update: Today’s Newspoll results, as reported by The Australian, show Labor’s primary vote has leapt seven percentage points from 35 per cent after three days of Julia Gillard’s leadership.

During question time last week whenever the opposition attacked Kevin Rudd over asylum seekers Labor MPs would blow on invisible dog whistles. In retrospect that just looked like an early practice session for the Government’s new band.

The Prime Minister leaves her Canberra apartment yesterday. Picture: Tim Hunter

Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s decision to abolish Kevin Rudd’s plan for a big Australia has as much to with concerns with over asylum seekers as it does over population.

Up until this point the Opposition had been cynically and successfully able to merge peoples concerns over asylum seekers and a Big Australia policy. Gillard knows this and yesterday’s announcement was all about whistling a new tune of her own.

By scrapping Kevin Rudd’s plans to grow the Australian population to 36 million by 2050, she allays fears of those in the outer suburbs of our biggest cities who are concerned about unsustainable growth in areas with already crumbling infrastructure.

Gillard also points to the concerns people have that immigrants are taking jobs away from Australians, pointing out to Laurie Oakes on Channel 9 yesterday that we must attract the “right kind” of migrants:

“Australia reached out for the right kind of migrants and I hope people would conclude my parents were the right kind of migrants. So, we’ll still have an approach about getting the migration settings right, about meeting our needs for skilled labour, but I also want to see us do it sustainably and I want to see us emphasise the skills and training of our own people. I don’t want employers telling me that they can’t get the workers they need when in some parts of this country we’ve got youth unemployment in double digits.”

Gillard is attempting to appeal to many of the same people who are also concerned about the arrival of more boats carrying asylum seekers on our shores – people in areas like Penrith who just walloped Labor with a 25% swing against the state government.

While it should be possible to demarcate a debate about a larger Australian population and asylum seekers, in the minds of many the two are hopelessly mixed.

A few weeks back Essential Research’s Peter Lewis wrote a piece for The Punch, pointing out that according to his company’s research just 18 per cent of respondents guessed correctly that asylum seekers make up 1 per cent or less of our annual immigration intake.

Lewis noted: “To put it another way, 10 per cent of Australians thinks there are about 100,000 people breaching our borders and 25 per cent think there had been more than 50,000 boat arrivals in the last year. Nearly a third of people admitted they had no idea at all.”

The Opposition has been able to take advantage of this confusion by mixing fears over asylum seekers with those of a Big Australia. As shadow immigration minister Scott Morrison wrote in The Punch at the time Kevin Rudd announced Tony Burke as the new population minister:

“How can Australians trust Kevin Rudd on future population growth when he can’t even keep his promises to maintain the integrity of our borders. On his watch net overseas migration last year hit 285,000, that’s 105,000 more than the average forecast required for us to hit 36 million by 2050.”

At her first press conference as Prime Minister Julia Gillard well and truly ducked the question of changes to asylum seeker policy, all she did was say she recognised people’s fear and did not rule out hardening up measures.

Yesterday she all but said to Laurie Oakes that she would extend the processing pause placed on Afghans and Tamils:

“To use an old saying, in an area like this tough ain’t enough. It’s about being effective and that’s what I want to ensure – that we are being effective. I’ve got a decision to make quite quickly about what to do about the processing pause we’ve got in place . . . The first pause was for Sri Lankans, that’s coming up in three months. The due date then is the 8th of July, so I’ve got a decision to make about that and I’ll have more to say about these matters before that due date of the 8th of July.”

On the night his leadership was challenged Kevin Rudd vowed that he “will not be lurching to the right on the question of asylum seekers, as some have counselled us to do.”  Those same counsellors are now in Julia Gillard’s ear and they’ll be pointing out another boat arrived on the weekend.

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34 comments

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    • Eric says:

      06:05am | 28/06/10

      Good Lord, a PM who actually listens to the concerns of the people? This can’t be allowed!

      Watch the chattering classes lurch in confusion as their new heroine becomes a villainess!

      Reply

    • BobM says:

      08:22am | 28/06/10

      She might ‘listen’ and she might ‘talk’ but will she actually ‘do’? Probably not - she has been part of the same policy makinkg team for the last 2 1/2 years. She will just bullsh*t her way to the next election and lots of dumb voters will fall for it.

    • Don says:

      12:27pm | 28/06/10

      Good grief, Gillard doing the right thing ? Do not hold your breath. One can hope so, but it is unlikely. How lovely if the polliticians actually worked for the people who really employ them.
      Rudd must have had the backing of all the ‘party’ and we saw how stupid he was.

    • alain mckay says:

      09:15pm | 19/08/10

      Labor, as always, big on rhetoric, small on action.

    • DomJ says:

      06:56am | 28/06/10

      I personally believe that this country cannot support a larger population.
      This continent was never blessed with the sprawling fertile and water abundant environment that other regions throughout the world possess. The fragile landscape is already buckling under the increased demands to provide the necessary resources (water & food) to support the current level of population. The urban sprawl that so characterises the Australian urban landscape has overrun the rich fertile grounds that surrounded our cities and were once the food bowls of our communities. Further, the Murray-Darling basin - always considered the food bowl of the nation - is now under enormous pressure, and is barely coping to meet current demands placed on it.

      The notion that we are an aging population and must increase the population to ensure the welfare of the aged is flawed and a by-product of the capitalist model.

      Prior to the rise of mass consumerism in the 1950’s the existence of the extended family unit where many generations existed under the same roof was considered the norm. . Anyone remember pre-1950’s mass consumerism? The norm was often mum, dad, grandparents, kids, perhaps the odd uncle/aunt sharing ONE home, domestic/childminding duties, appliances, motor vehicles etc. However, this did not encourage consumer spending. Enter the emergence of the nuclear family. Divide and conquer. Now we need 3 homes (one for the grandparents, one for mum, dad and kids and one for aunt/uncle). 3x the appliances, 3x the cars etc.

      But wait, there’s more…..

      Risking stagnation of consumer demand, western society is now embracing post-nuclear family market trends. Divorce and single-parent families help. Homes now often involve 4+ (grandparents, mum in one, dad in another, aunt in one, uncle in another) and the fun continues. Multiple cars, childcare/aged-care becoming outsourced, more and more appliances…..you get the idea. Greed has become the new need.

      The question has to be asked “is it working for us?” This country is blessed with the strongest economy of all the developed nations, and yet, like other developed nations, even during the good times we are struggling to meet the basic human needs - current and future.
      We have broken the extended family unit, which for thousands of years fulfilled the role of provider/ protector. We are now looking to others to take up responsibility that we surrendered in the quest for more (individually). The reality is that we have spent our future - economically, socially, and morally. This isn’t an arguement owned by the Right, but one of common sense.

      Will our flat-screens keep us warm at night, house our children and feed us in our old age?

      Reply

    • Greg says:

      01:55pm | 28/06/10

      DomJ,
      I recognise you feel strongly on this not just because of double posting either but like with the two posts you do talk of different matters and perhaps they are somewhat related.
      Sure we live with different standards to what we did 60 years ago but even then many couples would go out on their own if starting a new family, not that they expected the Mc Mansions of today and TVs were not even a thought and entertainment was a pack of cards.
      I know that European and Asian families have maintained more of the stick together culture but numbers of generations will change that.

      You’re dead right in the urban sprawl on to fertile lands bit and it is shameful that that has not been stopped and in fact should be reversed but the dynamics of growth and greed will never see it happening.
      Rudd to his credit did not devise a plan for a Big Australia but actually appointed a Minister for Population , now sustainable population and the 35M figure came from an ABS report projecting current trends - more of the same - we grew from about 5m around WW2 to 20+M now btw.

      For a bit longer than that 60+ years since WW2 there has each and every year been masses of water in the tropical north that flow out to sea and occasionally cause inland flooding seas.
      A lot of our immigrants just after WW2 went and worked on projects like the Snowy Mountains Hydro Scheme.

      If you can draw the links, it goes something like
      Governments with a vision > some good planning > a massive northern waters harnessing scheme > implementation throughout this century
      and the spin offs to water supply reliability, no desalination, solar and wind power, even perhaps geothermal and then agriculture, decentralisation and employment opportunities for indigenous peoples are enormous.

    • DomJ says:

      06:58am | 28/06/10

      I personally believe that this country cannot support a larger population.
      This continent was never blessed with the sprawling fertile and water abundant environment that other regions throughout the world possess. The fragile landscape is already buckling under the increased demands to provide the necessary resources (water & food) to support the current level of population. The urban sprawl that so characterises the Australian urban landscape has overrun the rich fertile grounds that surrounded our cities and were once the food bowls of our communities. Further, the Murray-Darling basin - always considered the food bowl of the nation - is now under enormous pressure, and is barely coping to meet current demands placed on it.

      The notion that we are an aging population and must increase the population to ensure the welfare of the aged is flawed and a by-product of the capitalist model.

      Prior to the rise of mass consumerism in the 1950’s the existence of the extended family unit where many generations existed under the same roof was considered the norm. . Anyone remember pre-1950’s mass consumerism? The norm was often mum, dad, grandparents, kids, perhaps the odd uncle/aunt sharing ONE home, domestic/childminding duties, appliances, motor vehicles etc. However, this did not encourage consumer spending. Enter the emergence of the nuclear family. Divide and conquer. Now we need 3 homes (one for the grandparents, one for mum, dad and kids and one for aunt/uncle). 3x the appliances, 3x the cars etc.

      But wait, there’s more…..

      Risking stagnation of consumer demand, western society is now embracing post-nuclear family market trends. Divorce and single-parent families help. Homes now often involve 4+ (grandparents, mum in one, dad in another, aunt in one, uncle in another) and the fun continues. Multiple cars, childcare/aged-care becoming outsourced, more and more appliances…..you get the idea. Greed has become the new need.

      The question has to be asked “is it working for us?” This country is blessed with the strongest economy of all the developed nations, and yet, like other developed nations, even during the good times we are struggling to meet the basic human needs - current and future.
      We have broken the extended family unit, which for thousands of years fulfilled the role of provider/ protector. We are now looking to others to take up responsibility that we surrendered in the quest for more (individually). The reality is that we have spent our future - economically, socially, and morally. This isn’t an arguement owned by the Right, but one of common sense.

      Will our flat-screens keep us warm at night, house our children and feed us in our old age?

      Reply

    • OldGirl says:

      08:16am | 28/06/10

      A big population is fine in a country that has all the infrastructure, jobs and most importantly water. We have none of that. I am glad she is scaling things down, what is the use of promoting people to have families if there will be no jobs for those children when they grow up? We all bring our children into the world with high hopes. The roads are congested now, I can imagine in 10 or 20 years it will be faster to walk, its getting that way now..

      Reply

    • Greg says:

      08:01pm | 28/06/10

      OldGirl, aren’t you old enough to remember what the population might have been around WW2, probably about 5M was it? and no Snowy Hydro Scheme nor farming irrigation in many regions.
      Huge numbers of immigrants post WW2 working on the Snowy , Kiewa and Tassie systems not to mention the considerable number of water storages and power stations servicing population increase.
      By about another decade there’ll likely be dual carriageway motorway Melbourne - Sydney - Brisbane and much beyond in both directions.
      Whats wrong with a massive east coast water grid project that’ll dwarf the Snowy and improve reliability of water supplies so as not to need desalination.
      That’ll lead to decentralisation and could ease major city crushes but you do need cities of a reasonable size to be self sustaining re employment.
      The country needs vision of the right nature for the future and Julia’s of 40% of Australians getting University education is not necessarily going to help no matter what our population.

    • Daniel says:

      08:38am | 28/06/10

      Love the woman but will some woman get in her ear and let her know that opal shaped necklace is ugly and doing peoples heads in. Cant she sniff out some Mimco stuff on that massive salary she gets?

      Reply

    • Tiberious says:

      11:05am | 28/06/10

      eeeewww mimco? wtf?

      Is she a 14 yr old private school girl? Should she update her wardrobe at Kookai and sports girl?

      Hadn’t really noticed the necklace but clearly your taste is in your arse especially seening mimco is not at all age appropriate. Next you’ll be telling her she should wear juicey coutre as her exercise gear.

    • Julie Coker-Godson says:

      12:21am | 29/06/10

      @Daniel:  Her opal shaped necklace has nothing to do with whether or not she would lead a *stable* government of this country i.e. one where the *backroom boys* don’t stab their leader in the back whilst that leader is a sitting PM of Australia.  While ever that risk remains I won’t be voting Labor.  I would have to dragged screaming to the hustings to ever vote for the Greens so I’ll stay with the Liberal Party thank you.

    • she does NOT represent me says:

      09:16am | 28/06/10

      Daughter of the Dragon,
      Transplanted by Sea,
      Promised to lead a Nation,
      Destined to ruin a Nation.

      Hooded of Eye, and Red of Hair,
      The Cunning Lady makes the snare,
      The Cup is hers, and she holds it ever tight,
      Her Subjects fall to Poverty and to Blight.

      - Nostradamus

      Reply

    • Rob r Charteris says:

      09:44am | 28/06/10

      she does NOT represent me says:09:16am; I feel the same when Abbott say’s he represents me. Btw, your example of nostradamus is a good reason why he wasn’t know as a poet…. he is as good at that as he was at predicting the end of the world lol…. but I suppose it gives some fairies at the end of the garden types a goal in life.

    • Polywatcher says:

      09:55am | 28/06/10

      And so she is thinking of delaying discussion with the miners until after the next election. MINERS BEWARE!!  It may be the time to re introduce your television advertising with the emphasis on the need to have the discussion done and dusted before the election.

      Reply

    • Sherekahn says:

      10:46am | 28/06/10

      Polywatcher you’ve crept out of the woodwork:
      What a lot of drama!
      Opposition finance spokesman Andrew Robb said: “Labor will have no alternative but to bring down an emergency mini-Budget if it backs down on its great big new tax.”
      “its great big new tax” it is not!  It is a moderate increase in the present mining tax.
      With the G20 demanding dept reductions in three years, why can we not expect some help from the lucrative mining sector?

    • Wayne Fehlhaber says:

      08:37pm | 28/06/10

      Sherekahn :  Heh heh heh , ” a modest increase in the present mining tax “.  Wow ! now that was funny . ! 
      If the Prime Minister’s talks with the mining industry fail , the 2010-2011
      budget will fail .  $12 Billion dollars is not a modest amount of money
      in anyone’s accounting.
      ” why can we not expect some help from the lucrative mining sector “
      The mining sector currently pays royalties to the states coffers and they are prepared to pay a reasonable increase in tax on profits , as they have already stated.  The problem has been that Labor has tried to refill the depleted coffers federally , directly from the mining industry , by levying a tax at an investment destructive level , which has the potential to destroy the mining industry . It may have escaped your notice , but the Resourses industry is the backbone of Australia’s economic success.
      The debt reduction demanded at the G20 summit , can be met by Labor ceasing mismanaged schemes such as the BER school buildings ripoff and vote buying tactics etc etc .
      Andrew Robb is absolutely correct , without the inclusion of the $12 Billion from the R.S.P.T. in the 2010-2011 budget , a mini budget will be necessary.  Guess who will make up the shortfall.

    • Chris says:

      10:31am | 28/06/10

      Julia Gillard will never represent me. The manner in which she attained the top job and, now, her apparent about-face-tell-the-people-what-they-want-to-hear behaviour should have everyone feeling afraid, very afraid,

      Reply

    • Brad Coward says:

      11:27am | 28/06/10

      Now that Julia “Sparkles” Gillard is whilstling her own tune…do you suppose that the tune might be “Backstabber” or “Killer Queen” ?

      The public will wake up and it will be a very short honeymoon period for PM Julia “Sparkles” Gillard as it is realised that all that glitters is not gold.

      Reply

    • John L says:

      01:00pm | 28/06/10

      I can’t believe all of these “Julia - backstabber of poor Kev” comments. It was pretty well agreed by all last week that Kevin was a dead man walking, much despised by the political class and widely disliked in the “outer electorate” . She has done us all a favour.

      Reply

    • Anjuli says:

      01:24pm | 28/06/10

      You Can fool Some of the People etc, she has to follow the party line what ever that is as no one will find out till after the election there is a big chance that Labor will get back in because of the gender change ,fooling people that the leopard has changed it’s spots.

      Reply

    • antiperspirant says:

      01:26pm | 28/06/10

      Whistle what tune?

      She hasn’t got a plan. She renamed a ministry without any functional change and you swallow it line and sinker Leo? I though more of you.

      With current intake levels the 36 million will be reached by 2050. That is a fact.

      The real story is if she is against a “big Australia” ask what she will do to stop it.

      You will not get an answer because she doesn’t have one or the courage to enunciate one before she tries to steals an election win.

      Typical Labor strategy and already the msm are falling for it.

      I thought you guys learnt the lesson with your infatuation and deification of Rudd. Obviously not.

      Reply

    • Greg says:

      01:35pm | 28/06/10

      Crikey Leo, that’s one article all over the place like a leaky asylum seeker people smuggler’s boat in a typhoon!
      ” While it should be possible to demarcate a debate about a larger Australian population and asylum seekers, in the minds of many the two are hopelessly mixed. “
      Do you really really think that and if so why?, for nothing in the following figures supports it

      ‘’ 18 per cent of respondents guessed correctly that asylum seekers make up 1 per cent or less of our annual immigration intake. ” says only that guesses can only be that and not too surprising that they’re off the mark some seeing as it has only been in the last year or so that numbers have again dramatically risen - perhaps something to do with how Australia is again seen as a soft destination.
      Lewis noted: “To put it another way, 10 per cent of Australians thinks there are about 100,000 people breaching our borders and 25 per cent think there had been more than 50,000 boat arrivals in the last year. Nearly a third of people admitted they had no idea at all.”
      Again, all that says is that some people have no idea, possibly because they do not read/see/hear much on it and when it is, it’s possibly just snippets of info rather than the full picture.

      The Opposition has been able to take advantage of this confusion by mixing fears over asylum seekers with those of a Big Australia. As shadow immigration minister Scott Morrison wrote in The Punch at the time Kevin Rudd announced Tony Burke as the new population minister:

      “How can Australians trust Kevin Rudd on future population growth when he can’t even keep his promises to maintain the integrity of our borders. On his watch net overseas migration last year hit 285,000, that’s 105,000 more than the average forecast required for us to hit 36 million by 2050.”
      Not really too much of a mixture but that’s politics and politicians for you.

      At her first press conference as Prime Minister Julia Gillard well and truly ducked the question of changes to asylum seeker policy, all she did was say she recognised people’s fear and did not rule out hardening up measures.

      Yesterday she all but said to Laurie Oakes that she would extend the processing pause placed on Afghans and Tamils:

      Yes Julia has always been coy in interviews and her main tool is deflect and deflect again with reliance on this report and that report etc., just like BER and Orgill and no problem!!

      Her main piece de ristance in touching up the artwork over the weeken though is in
      ” Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s decision to abolish Kevin Rudd’s plan for a big Australia has as much to with concerns with over asylum seekers as it does over population. “
      For whilst in an acceptance speech she spoke of sharing the responsibility of losing the way, now in getting back on track she talks of Rudd’s plan!
      If truth be known, it wasn’t a Rudd Plan and even though he is on record as saying he can live with a Big Australia with the right infrastructure etc., the figure of 35M came from an ABS report on what population would be with current trends.

      So Crikey Leo, we all know Politicians will say anything but shouldn’t journalists report more accurately on the facts.

      Reply

    • Joan says:

      01:47pm | 28/06/10

      Whistle what tune? ` The silver-tongued Devil`- as she uses her exsolicitor skills to justify her ousting of Rudd on a technicality

      Reply

    • Against the Man says:

      01:48pm | 28/06/10

      It is gonna be hard to trust Jools - She did a good one on her boss, she doesn’t know what Australian family is all about cause she doesn’t have her own and her policies are well pretty much th same ol’ Labor crap. This election is about one thing - sending the Labor a message that we won’t put up with incompetence. Time for change, vote Labor out!

      Reply

    • Joan says:

      03:07pm | 28/06/10

      Yep!  The pollies are on Australian taxpayer payroll- so much for Jools`s Fair Work Australia ...... how many warnings did Rudd get before he got the sack?

    • Shane From Melbourne says:

      05:57pm | 28/06/10

      How can we send a message that we won’t put up with incompetence when there is no political party in Australia that isn’t incompetent?

    • Holly says:

      04:46pm | 28/06/10

      I notice Scott Morrison did not mention that immigration reached over 300,00 pa during Howard government.  Very selective use of statistics.

      Reply

    • sim says:

      06:38pm | 28/06/10

      “How can we send a message that we won’t put up with incompetence when there is no political party in Australia that isn’t incompetent?”

      +1.

      Reply

    • nosthow says:

      06:59pm | 28/06/10

      Well done Julia ! Abbott and his geriatrics have no answer. The old Redneck himself Tony “Battlelines” Abbott must now be sweating profusely having been given a glimpse of what is going to happen to him in the very near future ! Goodbye Abbott - enjoy your shadow backbench position - still way in over your head !

      Reply

    • BobM says:

      10:53pm | 28/06/10

      SMH Poll -
      Are you more likely to vote Labor with Julia Gillard as leader?
      Yes 42%
      No   58%
      Total votes: 150,258.
      Poll closed 28 Jun, 2010

      In a nationwide online poll held on 24th June, people were asked who they would vote for at the next federal election, Gillard or Abbott. - More than 46,000 people had their say in the News Ltd online poll.
      The state-by-state results were:
      •NSW - Julia Gillard 33.46 per cent support
      •Victoria - Gillard 43.88 per cent support
      •Queensland - Gillard 32.73 per cent support
      •South Australia - Gillard 48.02 per cent support
      •Western Australia - Gillard 35.36 per cent support

      Keep dreaming, nosthow.

    • Jason says:

      05:24pm | 29/06/10

      If that’s the case and he heads to the backbench - I’m sure he won’t be a blubbing mess with tears….  I still think he has the wicked witch of the west’s number in WA or QLD, where this election will be won.  Forget about Victorians, they’ve been proving to be stupid for years by voting in Labor everytime.

    • Kris says:

      03:07pm | 25/07/11

      At last, someone comes up with the “right” aswner!

      Reply
 
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