Update 3pm: The RBA surprised everyone and left interest rates on hold today.

In recent years a horrendous new phrase has appeared to describe people struggling to make ends meet. They’re suffering from “mortgage stress.”

The RBA offices in Sydney. Pic: File

This week it was reported almost half of the young people who availed of the Rudd Government’s increased help for first-home buyers were suffering from this terrible condition. If true life will get a whole lot more stressful for them over the coming months as interest rates return to normal, starting most likely with a Reserve Bank announcement this afternoon.

Where did this “mortgage stress” phrase come from, anyway? It sounds like some kind of psychological disease that should be covered by Medicare. As far as I can tell what it actually means is you have borrowed too much money.

Anyone who is doing it tough after losing a job or having work hours cut or for other unforseen reasons deserves sympathy. But if the reason you can’t pay your bills is you overborrowed, bought a house that’s too big or failed to listen to the warnings that interest rates would go up, then person most to blame is yourself.

I say “most to blame” because I there’s some missing leadership from politicians on this, particularly for failing to adequately communicate the risks of buying a house when interest rates were down at Tiger Woods’ average number of shots per hole.

Because supporting people in making a sensible household budget doesn’t neatly fit into a government portfolio nobody really cares about it; anyone buying a house in this situation falls between two policy chairs. Housing Minister Tanya Plibersek is trying to address undersupply and give people help to buy homes while Treasurer Wayne Swan is trying to manage the release of billions of dollars of government money in a way that stimulates the economy but doesn’t cause inflation to get out of control.

Of course there’s no legislating against reckless optimism, banking that you’ll get that pay rise, or living beyond your means.

But there are signs that Australians have some trouble with managing personal debt, and some of it to dangerous levels. Up to last November, Australians owed $46 billion on credit cards alone. And that was before the Christmas shopping and January sales.

House prices barely wobbled during the global financial crisis and last quarter saw the biggest increase in house prices nationwide since 2003. This is a testament to national optimism but when you see the figures in the - wince - mortgage stress survey, you have to wonder what the cost of it is going to be.

Fujitsu found 45% of first home owners were in “mortgage stress”, some of them were using credit cards to help make their mortgage repayments, and many were already in arrears on their loans.

The screws will be tightening over the months ahead. Might be time to chuck one of those credit cards or move house.

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10 comments

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    • Norm says:

      12:53pm | 02/02/10

      I’m stressed because my shrink doesn’t take credit cards

    • stephen says:

      03:01pm | 02/02/10

      Tell him yer got a split personality, and ter get his money off the other guy.

    • Don Clark says:

      01:41pm | 02/02/10

      Stressed? I’m not stressed. I kept my payments up while headline rates fell. Didn’t you?

      The Reserve bank has decided not to raise the cash rate again just yet.

      Stevens:
      “With the risk of serious economic contraction in Australia having passed, the Board had moved at recent meetings to lessen the degree of monetary stimulus that was put in place when the outlook appeared to be much weaker.  Lenders have generally raised rates a little more than the cash rate over recent months and most loan rates have risen by close to a percentage point.  Since information about the early impact of those changes is still limited, the Board judged it appropriate to hold a steady setting of monetary policy for the time being.

      Interest rates to most borrowers nonetheless remain lower than average.  If economic conditions evolve broadly as expected, the Board considers it likely that monetary policy will, over time, need to be adjusted further in order to ensure that inflation remains consistent with the target over the medium term.”
      More: http://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2010/mr-10-02.html

    • stealthpooch says:

      01:54pm | 02/02/10

      I get stressed when my mortgage goes up, and it’s not because I can’t afford to pay the mortgage (I allowed for double figure rates when I bought my first house last year), it’s just that I know that I’ll have less money for other things.

      I think that most of the stress, however, comes from all the media articles that are telling people like me - first home buyers - that I *should* be stressed, that interest rates are going up, that I’m in over my head, I’m greedy, I’ll lose my job, my credit cards will be maxed out, that I’ll lose my house… argh! No matter what I budgeted for, I’ll still be subject to fear-inspiring media beat-ups, and THAT’s what makes me quiver…

    • Nick says:

      02:10pm | 02/02/10

      Stealthpooch; Agree wholly with your synopsis. I’m in the same position, was paying out a great deal before rates were dropped right down, but I just left my payments at that high water mark, thus getting well ahead. Now as rates go back up, I’m paying less and less off the mortgage and more in interest, it isn’t stress so much as annoyance. I’m not naive and realise that the good times had to come to an end at some point.

      However I see its in the countries best interest for me to pay my loan (and anyone else’s) out as quickly as possible, thus enabling me to inject more disposable income into the economy.  Its a pretty simple statement, I’m aware and sure many rebukes will follow!

    • AdamC says:

      03:04pm | 02/02/10

      As a recent first home buyer, I cannot stress enough the importance of considering repayments across the cycle, not just having a small buffer when rates are historically low.

      I don’t think anyone teaches people about these sorts of common-sense money matters, though. Just like many people foolishly fixed their rate at the top of the cycle, many have borrowed too much in the past year at the bottom of the cycle. If people were better educated about personal finances, they would not do such silly things!

    • Andrew K says:

      03:05pm | 02/02/10

      I don’t think it is the avergage mortgage holder that the media is waxing lyrical about. As always it is the relatively rare but ever-existant ‘hard-luck’ story. Look there will invariably be those that bought in the last 6 months, in an interest rate nirvana, and somehow got a $600,000 mortgage on a $70K household income. Of course these people will become stressed and, ultimately, burned. These are the minority though. I have my own stresses, of my own doing and mainly of being advised to follow the traditional property ownership path of ‘working your way up’. So now I have a small medium-density property that I want to upgrade to a family home. I am prevented from doing this by transaction fees in the order of $50K (NSW). That really is money down the drain. I would have been better off getting the better property first up - using more of the available stamp duty concession (now forgone) and the $50K worth of 2nd stamp duty, legal fees, agent fees etc as more of a deposit on the bigger place. Some people consider this and do go the other way, then for whatever reason get into trouble. There may not be a golden panacea to getting your dream (or adequate) property. It is swings and roundabouts. At least the interest rate on my resultant small mortgage is not an issue though - like many others it just means that less of the extra I pay goes towards the balance, and more of it goes towards interest. Weekly budget bottom line unaffected unless I want to maintain the extra paid off the principle.

      Most people who have had a mortgage longer than a year, or who actually took notice of the term ‘emergency’ rates clearly bandied about in the last 6 months would have no difficulty with what is in essence a return to more normal rates.  Other than the recent overcommitteds, there will be those genuine cases that Paul mentions. But unfortunately those cases will exist no matter what the interest rate environment is.

    • Pete says:

      03:11pm | 02/02/10

      If you were foolish enough to gear yourself to the eyeballs at 4% you really have no-one to blame but yourself. Oh yeah, and maybe just maybe your bank for letting you have all that money in the first place. They, too, knew rates would go up again… greed catches up with us all eventually. It’s just a matter of when.

      p.s. Nice to see Ms Kelly from Banana Bank just splashed out 9 million on a new place. At least she should be right with her staff discount. No mortgage stress for her ...

    • Super D says:

      03:38pm | 02/02/10

      The fact that interest rates have not been raised is a very bad sign.  It means interest rates need to stay low because the economy is very fragile.  Perhaps we are about to have a second dip.  That would certainly make for interesting politics.  Fancy having negative growth figures announced mid campaign, imagine if you’d already sqandered the surplus and the cupboard was bare.  I wouldn’t want to be seeking re-election under those circumstances….

    • jed says:

      09:31pm | 02/02/10

      it’s amazing how the real estate spivs have been out lauding their insane price rises over the past year, then as it gets closer to the RBA decision they suddenly shift and start releasing new figures about cooling demand, price declines and housing stress. they’ve got a statistic for every occasion.

      no doubt they’ll be back to spruiking tomorrow.

 

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