The Murray-Darling Basin Authority Draft Plan, released yesterday, includes a reduction in water use of 2,750 gigalitres per year, compared to 2009 baseline diversions. So there will now be extra 2,750 GL/y in environmental flows. Does this give the right balance?

This Murray Cod is clearly unimpressed with the draft plan

The candidates for the biggest loser are (1) the irrigators, (2) the Basin communities and (3) the environment.

The extra environmental flow is estimated to lead to a reduction in irrigated agricultural production of about 11%. But the irrigators won’t be the big losers because they will be compensated by the water buyback scheme.

Also it’s important to remember that the past over-allocation of water has meant that water has been devoted at the margin to inefficient uses. The cut-back to a normal allocation will cut-out these inefficient uses, at small cost in output.

An extra 2,750GL in environmental flows is estimated to lead to a reduction of about 1% in gross regional product across the Basin. The big losers could be businesses and smaller communities that are highly dependent on irrigated agriculture, but unable to capture the benefits of water buyback.

The most severely affected of this type of irrigation-dependent businesses are likely to be in locations where the climate will not allow adequate substitution of dry-land agriculture to substantially replace irrigated output.

However, even here the structural adjustment programs within the scheme provide substantial benefits for affected communities. It is likely that for the most part, Basin communities will not be the biggest loser.

So the answer to the biggest loser question is: Probably not enough is being provided for the environment. It would seem to be the biggest loser. The science is uncertain, but it does suggest that a minimum of 4,000GL would be required to get us to the threshold required to achieve minimum environmental benefits.

Certainly, the extra 2,750GL in environmental flows will need to be managed judiciously in key locations to garner the best return to the environment (and the least cost to the community).

It is this management aspect that is the critical part of the plan. It promises three important things. First, it brings the idea of close monitoring of the effect of increased environmental flows. It does this partly by hydrological assessment at 122 key sites across the Basin. All this is designed to ensure that the environmental flows have maximum impact, or, to put it another way, that the environmental objectives are achieved with the lowest transfer of water from irrigation.

Second, management will be devolved to local communities. It is well known that putting the resource in the hands of the local community in this way tends to produce conservation of the resource through sustainable management. This will ensure the best long-run economic returns and achieve our ecological goals.

Third, the management of the plan also has a whole-of-Basin perspective instead of being constrained, as in the past, by State boundaries. This means that the overall management will be on an ecological basis rather than along political lines.

To achieve these three management objectives will be an enormous step forward and, if achieved, will form the basis of a sustainable, healthy river system.

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31 comments

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    • acotrel says:

      05:59am | 29/11/11

      ‘The science is uncertain, but it does suggest that a minimum of 4,000GL would be required to get us to the threshold required to achieve minimum environmental benefits.’

      What ? ?  Science ‘uncertain’  AGAIN ? Has this stuff got something to do with climate change ?

    • Sony B Goode says:

      10:33am | 29/11/11

      yep. The punch team are still not reporting on climagate II emails.

      This time its personal, the core AGW scientist have been outed as left wing zealots more interested in equity and social justice than scientific truth and accuracy.

    • mick says:

      06:05am | 29/11/11

      This fiasco is a sign of bad government and a farming/business community which considers its needs superior to a healthy river.  Normally the ‘money’ side of such an argument always wins such an argument and the environment loses so it will be interesting to see if a compromise will result in business as usual occurring.

      What this issue really needs to ram home to average Australians is that the 12 million extra people which big business has decided to cram into the nation will need water to drink and food to eat.  The Murray Darling is the canary in the cage and demonstrates that our already fragile eco system will be pushed over the edge if population is driven up on the whims of big business which has built a house of cards on an ill-conceived and logically flawed premise.  We need more population like a hole in the head and this water issue goes a long way to explaining why.

    • acotrel says:

      06:49am | 29/11/11

      @mick
      ’ the 12 million extra people which big business has decided to cram into the nation will need water to drink and food to eat.’

      You could fit the whole of the United Kingdom with its population into Victoria, so perhaps ‘cramming’ is not the correct expression ?  Drinking water is not at issue, the amount of water prescribed for the Murray Darling basin environmental flows is six times the content of Sydnery Harbour.  As far as food production is concerned, we export 60% of what we produce, and our farmers operate with stringent quotas fron canneries and wineries.  We don’t have the markets for our full potential, and lot of produce is left to rot.
      As far as population is concerned, we could beneficially double the population of every country town in Australia - our businesses would have better economies of scale to justify their investment in infrastructure, and their overheads.
      What we are hearing in the water debate is a lot of hysterical bullshit from people playing political games.  The view of regional Australia from within our capitol cities is coloured with a ‘townies’ perspective.  What you see is not what you get, in this matter.

    • acotrel says:

      06:10am | 29/11/11

      One of our main problems in rural Australia, is that we depend on farmers as the basis of our local economy,  and many of them are only farmers for lifestyle reasons.  If there was the opportunity to move to something else, they’d be there in a flash.  We need a concerted effort to provide alternative work in county towns.  The simple fact is that farmers are always playing catch -up.  A while back a lot of our locals got into wine grapes - there is now a glut.  Most operate with stringent quotas imposed by the canneries.  We have a situation of overproduction, and the use of the water for this purpose must be questioned. Perhaps we need a complete rethink about our manufacturing industries, decentralisation and population growth, and try to develop a new sense of direction ?

    • Mahhrat says:

      06:50am | 29/11/11

      Twice in two days I’m agreeing with you mate.  That could be habit forming.

    • Labor is Toxic says:

      07:45am | 29/11/11

      So you would be happy if Australia decreases meat/grain/cotton/wool production resulting in global inflation and starvation.

      Acotrel ..... your ignorance amazes me!!!

    • Arthur says:

      10:25am | 29/11/11

      First time I think I’ve disagreed with you Labor is Toxic…..Yes we well and truly should say stop any further degradation to the environment…THE ONLY way to do this is stop any further increase in human population.

      Not going to happen. Human greed will trump every time.

    • Arthur says:

      10:40am | 29/11/11

      “Mahhrat says: 07:50am | 29/11/11 Twice in two days I’m agreeing with you mate.  That could be habit forming.”

      First time for me Mahhrat…...

    • Peter says:

      06:41am | 29/11/11

      Another day another reminder of the most dishonest, most incompetent and worst Government in Australia’s history. Everything these political extremist touch turns into a disaster. No wonder it’s such a mess. Just do us all a favour and resign today before any more damage is done.

    • acotrel says:

      07:13am | 29/11/11

      @Peter
      ’ the most dishonest, most incompetent and worst Government in Australia’s history’

      It doesn’t matter how much you repeat that, it won’t make it the truth !  The LNP obviously believe that they can slide into power by lies and deceit.  However the Australian public just might recognise it when it’s done often enough !  Abbott is his own worst enemy. I know how I feel when I see him on TV getting slimy, and others must feel the same !

    • Labor is Toxic says:

      07:37am | 29/11/11

      Well I guess when Labor said that they would fix the Murray/Darling, you thought that the resultant book burning was a great result!!!

      Penny Wong was then promoted to Minister of Finance.

      Yes, it is a very, very pathetic Government

    • TimB says:

      07:47am | 29/11/11

      “:The LNP obviously believe that they can slide into power by lies and deceit”

      Well it worked for the ALP anyway.

      How’s that consensus on carbon pricing going?

    • MDG says:

      11:45am | 29/11/11

      Why do I get the feeling that Peter would have posted his biscuit-butter bile on any thread involving a federal issue?  There’s not even an attempt to customise it to pretend that it’s relevant to the actual topic.  There’s certainly no evidence of awareness that the MDBA was established by the Howard Government.

    • palone says:

      02:12pm | 29/11/11

      Peter, I think that you cut the above diatribe from a report on John Howard’s Government and put it away for when Labor came to office, and now you send it in whatever the topic.
      Didn’t you make that very same comment when Australia got kicked out of the World Cup? And when the Tassie girl married her Prince? And I’m sure you posted it when that horse was born with five legs. because that would obviously have been Gillard’s fault.
      Boring.

    • Mahhrat says:

      06:52am | 29/11/11

      This article is too close to the climate change arguments for me. 

      You are telling us the “environment” is the big loser, but you can’t tell me why.  At least with climate change we can see the dangers.

      The “environment” changes.  It’s natural for that to occur.  We should manage that change as best we can with the competing priorities, but we should never seek to keep the ecology in some kind of time-frozen status quo, just because that’s what we have today.

    • acotrel says:

      07:35am | 29/11/11

      @Mahrat
      It’s easy !  If it rains like buggery, the environmental flows will be adequate without water buy-backs.

    • Mark G says:

      07:16am | 29/11/11

      The only thing I will say on this topic is that sometimes a compromised plan doesn’t suit anybodies needs. Some plans need to be all or nothing.

    • Trevor says:

      08:24am | 29/11/11

      That’s right.

      Too much credit is given to compromise. In marriage for example compromise leads to having threeways with blow-up dolls. In the end nobody is happy.

    • Dozer says:

      11:04am | 29/11/11

      Unless you happen to be the purveyor of said blow-up doll

    • Gratuitous Adviser says:

      08:33am | 29/11/11

      I do not think I have ever experienced such an important issue that has been corrupted by vested and opportunistic interests on both sides.  A sign of the times I guess, where philosophical, systematic and self righteous greed overshadows what is in the best interests of the country.  All I know is that we get what we deserve. 
      Consensus is obviously impossible with these groups.  The Government and Windsor are looking to compromise, Tony Abbott is treacherously opposing everything (a bit of a Mao cultural revolution from opposition-interesting), the various Mayors are politicking, the Greens want everything, the irrigators (are any of these Australian owned?) are running a campaign similar in morals to the pokie lobby and the Liberal Premiers want war.  All I know is that we get what we deserve.

    • Knemon says:

      12:33pm | 29/11/11

      Well said GA.  For something so important, I’m surprised by the apathetic response here on The Punch, me thinks too many city folk!

    • Lapun says:

      10:03am | 29/11/11

      Here’s something for the Labour Forum to discuss to correct the dire siuations of places like Griffith, Leeton, Yanco, etc.  It’s an idea they tried there before that worked.    LEGALISE POT GROWING!

    • Col. of Blackburn says:

      10:26am | 29/11/11

      I am told that the northern plains of Victoria are still under water, 6 months after the floods. i ask you, what Murray Darling crisis?!

    • Rick with a silent P says:

      02:22pm | 29/11/11

      Yeh that’s the best place for Vic’s….....underwater!

    • Anna C says:

      10:56am | 29/11/11

      One would have thought that if both sides are upset about the Murray basin plan then maybe a good compromise has been reached on it.  No one gets exactly what they wanted.

      I heard on the news yesterday both environmentalists and farmers tearing the plan to shreds. Looks promising to me.

    • Dieter Moeckel says:

      12:20pm | 29/11/11

      I really like that way that the Murray Darling basin problem is Juliar’s fault after all. When Juliar was about 12 years old she influenced the massive irrigation projects in Bourke and Cubbi Station and the over allocation of water.
      A little earlier I, as a kid remember Bourke as a town in marginal desert sheep country.
      For shit sake why is everything that has happened in 220 years Labor and Juliars fault?
      There is no such thing as sustainable anything - It was a sustainable environment before we changed it with agriculture, pastoralism etc. Humans are no longer part of the environment but outside it and whatever we do to and in the environment stuffs it up there is no sustainable human use.
      We have two choices, 1. go back to the environment as part of it or 2. abuse and continue too abuse it until it is no longer liveable by humans.
      The oceans are stuffed, desertification is a fact of life in Africa, deforestation is fact in South America, over population is a fact in India and China, industry is poisoning the planet with plastics, humungous mountains of non degradable rubbish and carbon dioxide is inextricably changing the meteorological environment.
      Australia is blithely fucking the most fragile environment on Earth.
      A rural paper wrote,“Although the head has dropped in the bores of the Great Artesian Basin, all the water is still there.” with that sort of logic Australia will be the first to become uninhabitable by people.
      Thank Christ not in my life time.
      So why do anything at all? - catch all the fish, kill all the wild life, poison the earth and the air, used all the water, abuse the planet until ...

    • Rick of the soon to be Dustbowl says:

      02:03pm | 29/11/11

      mmm a sad sad situation and it’s getting more and more absurd, and with idiots like Allan in the next comment there seems no end to the stupidity of man kind.  Goolwa not Gawler!

    • Allan says:

      12:32pm | 29/11/11

      I note that once again the Gawler barrages are not considered to be part of the problem.
      The Murray mouth and the lower lakes was an estuary until the barrages were built in the early 1900’s.
      The Murray mouth was never navigtable, river freight being transferred to rail at Gawler and taken to Victor Harbour for on shipment.
      So we will get two big shallow fresh water lakes wasteing heaps of water to evaporation rather than using the water in the most productive fashion.
      Next thing will be that the environmentilists will demand that all the Snowy water should be returned to drain out through Marlo.
      The quid pro quo for the irrigators losing their water is the removal of the man made barrages.

    • palone says:

      02:02pm | 29/11/11

      Sorry to bust your dam Allan, but Gawler is north of Adelaide, (about 40 kms}, and there is not now, nor has there ever been a rail link between it and Victor Harbour.
      You obviously know little about the contents of Lake Alexandrina, the Estuary as it is completely undrinkable and unusable for irrigation.
      The Coorong is the natural result of build up in the area and is one of the most densely populated bird sanctuaries in the world.
      One thing ruined the Murray-Darling system. Greed. And so it will continue until someone cries, “Enough!”. And the irrigators don’t vote Labor. The greedy have brought themselves undone by their own greed.

    • Rick of the soon to be Dustbowl says:

      01:25pm | 29/11/11

      Allan at one time the Murry had no locks and would dry up in the summer. To say that the Goolwa( not Gawler)barrages are the problem is like sticking your head in the sand in front of an oncomming semi. Sounds like your from the East if you don’t know Gawler from Goolwa so I’m typing slowly so you can understand this, the problem is not at the mouth of the river it is up stream where over use of the water to grow crops like cotton and wine grapes (yes Barnaby not table grapes you idiot) is sucking the life out of the river , oh but nobody cares anymore because it has rained…..time to stick your head in the sand here comes another semi.

 

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